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171 Unit St
D Composite 41.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.3/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$375,000

171 Unit St · Providence, RI 02909
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 134 Days on market
Built 1927 3,800 sqft lot $319/sqft · 6% below area Est $400k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious and well located this 4BR-2BA Cape offers comfort, convenience , and room to grow. Generously sized rooms provide an open, airy feel throughout , perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. A Partially finished basement adds flexible bonus space along with abundant storage options. Ideally situated in Rhode Island's capital city, this location offers easy access to shopping, dining, schools, and major routes-making daily life effortless while keeping you close to everything Providence has to offer.

Key facts

  • 3,800 sq ft lot
  • 7 parking spots
  • Built 1927

Tags

PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENTABUNDANT STORAGE OPTIONSEASY ACCESS TO SHOPPINGEASY ACCESS TO DININGEASY ACCESS TO SCHOOLSEASY ACCESS TO MAJOR ROUTES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $375k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-217/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $372k (0.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $293k (21.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $293k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.2% in Providence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in RI, #794 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F.
  • Providence (urban): math 8% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #34 of 39 in RI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,929/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 2000% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $179k; list at $375k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $292,911 (21.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.21%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$400,335
List price
$375,000
Delta
-6.33%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
28 Cedar St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,112 (-5%) 23mo $380,000 $342 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.68% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.0%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-60,013
Equity at exit
$55,914
10-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-45,812
Equity at exit
$32,423

Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
31 Tenant-Leaning
State Rhode Island
31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; strong tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 02909

Home prices YoY
-13.3%
Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,929 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,967
Tax from tax record
$209 /mo · $2,511/yr
Insurance
$156
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$615
Net cashflow
$-18

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,952
Max offer price $371,812
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$93,750
Closing costs
$11,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1035 Atwells Ave Unit 2 Providence, RI 4.0 2.0 1300 $2,950 $2.27 24d 1 0.36mi
90 Rowley St Providence, RI 3.0 1.5 1352 $3,500 $2.59 2d 1 0.67mi
25 Devereux St #316 Providence, RI 3.0 1.5 1400 $2,300 $1.64 2d 1 0.91mi
1189 Smith St Providence, RI 3.0 1.5 1112 $2,400 $2.16 24d 1 1.10mi
729 Academy Ave Providence, RI 3.0 1.0 1261 $2,395 $1.90 17d 1 1.15mi
29 Dunford St Unit 2 Providence, RI 3.0 2.0 1116 $2,400 $2.15 24d 1 1.21mi
788 Academy Ave Unit 2 Providence, RI 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 24d 1 1.25mi
38 Tyndall Ave Providence, RI 4.0 2.0 1500 $3,500 $2.33 19d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $375,000 Active 134 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $375,000 Active 133 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $375,000 Active 132 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $375,000 Active 131 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $375,000 Active 129 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $375,000 Active 125 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $375,000 Active 124 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $375,000 Active 123 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $375,000 Active 120 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $375,000 Active 119 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $375,000 Active 118 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $375,000 Active 117 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $375,000 Active 116 DOM
  14. 2026-05-12
    status Active 519-char remark
    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    Spacious and well located this 4BR-2BA Cape offers comfort, convenience , and room to grow. Generously sized rooms provide an open, airy feel throughout , perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. A Partially finished basement adds flexible bonus space along with abundant storage options. Ideally situated in Rhode Island's capital city, this location offers easy access to shopping, dining, schools, and major routes-making daily life effortless while keeping you close to everything Providence has to offer.

  15. 2026-04-24
    historical Active Under Contract 519-char remark
    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    Spacious and well located this 4BR-2BA Cape offers comfort, convenience , and room to grow. Generously sized rooms provide an open, airy feel throughout , perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. A Partially finished basement adds flexible bonus space along with abundant storage options. Ideally situated in Rhode Island's capital city, this location offers easy access to shopping, dining, schools, and major routes-making daily life effortless while keeping you close to everything Providence has to offer.

  16. 2026-04-03
    price $375,000 519-char remark
    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    Spacious and well located this 4BR-2BA Cape offers comfort, convenience , and room to grow. Generously sized rooms provide an open, airy feel throughout , perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. A Partially finished basement adds flexible bonus space along with abundant storage options. Ideally situated in Rhode Island's capital city, this location offers easy access to shopping, dining, schools, and major routes-making daily life effortless while keeping you close to everything Providence has to offer.

  17. 2026-02-18
    price $399,900 519-char remark
    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    Spacious and well located this 4BR-2BA Cape offers comfort, convenience , and room to grow. Generously sized rooms provide an open, airy feel throughout , perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. A Partially finished basement adds flexible bonus space along with abundant storage options. Ideally situated in Rhode Island's capital city, this location offers easy access to shopping, dining, schools, and major routes-making daily life effortless while keeping you close to everything Providence has to offer.

  18. 2026-02-09
    price $419,900 519-char remark
    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    Spacious and well located this 4BR-2BA Cape offers comfort, convenience , and room to grow. Generously sized rooms provide an open, airy feel throughout , perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. A Partially finished basement adds flexible bonus space along with abundant storage options. Ideally situated in Rhode Island's capital city, this location offers easy access to shopping, dining, schools, and major routes-making daily life effortless while keeping you close to everything Providence has to offer.

  19. 2026-02-04
    listed $449,900 Active 519-char remark
    Show marketing remark (519 chars)

    Spacious and well located this 4BR-2BA Cape offers comfort, convenience , and room to grow. Generously sized rooms provide an open, airy feel throughout , perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. A Partially finished basement adds flexible bonus space along with abundant storage options. Ideally situated in Rhode Island's capital city, this location offers easy access to shopping, dining, schools, and major routes-making daily life effortless while keeping you close to everything Providence has to offer.

  20. 2005-11-04
    historical
  21. 2005-05-20
    listed $225,000
  22. 2004-11-06
    soldstatus $179,000
  23. 2004-11-03
    soldstatus $179,000
  24. 2004-08-27
    historical
  25. 2004-07-29
    listed $179,900
  26. 2004-07-05
    historical
  27. 2004-01-05
    listed $190,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast RI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,511 · $209/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,312 · $359/mo
Expected delta
+$1,801/yr (+$150/mo · 71.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,149
− Mortgage interest
−$21,006
− Property taxes
−$2,511
− Insurance
−$1,875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,812
− Management
−$2,812
− Depreciation
−$10,909
Taxable loss
−$6,775
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,626
After-tax cash flow
$1,410/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Providence
NCES district ID
4400900
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$38,197
Composite
10.12/100
National rank
#9803
State rank
#34 of 39 in RI

Livability — Providence

Score
84/100
State rank
#2
US rank
#794

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Providence, RI
County
Providence County · 548,917 people
City population
212,734
Metro
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
Population (ZIP)
46,014
Household income
$64,649
Rent vs Own
60.2% rent · 39.8% own
Severe rent burden
2000.0

Population outlook (Providence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
653,469 people
By 2030
660,819 · +1.1%
By 2040
672,747 · +3.0%
By 2050
683,741 · +4.6%
By 2075
720,435 · +10.2%
By 2100
741,582 · +13.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 60% Two or more races 23% White 22% Black 12% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 23%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Russian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
35% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
43% English-only · Spanish 50% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Providence

2024 margin
D (+14.4) · D 56.1% · R 41.7% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.4pp · 2024: 14.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.4 2020: D+22.9 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.78%
Current HPI
474.9956
Rent YoY
▲ 3.68%
Metro
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.25%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+97.4% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted RIS
  • 2026-04-24 Contingent RIS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $375,000 RIS
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $399,900 RIS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $419,900 RIS
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $449,900 RIS
  • 2005-11-04 Listing Removed RIS
  • 2005-05-20 Listed $225,000 RIS
  • 2004-11-06 Sold (MLS) $179,000 RIS
  • 2004-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $179,000 Public Records
  • 2004-08-27 Listing Removed RIS
  • 2004-07-29 Listed $179,900 RIS
  • 2004-07-05 Listing Removed RIS
  • 2004-01-05 Listed $190,000 RIS

Property tax history

-1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,511 · -36.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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