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403 Dwight Dr
C Composite 56.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

403 Dwight Dr · Portsmouth, VA 23701
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 926 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 119 Days on market
Built 1954 7,840 sqft lot $200/sqft · 16% below area Est $219k · 16% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great starter home or investment property. This 3 bedroom ranch home sits on a spacious lot with a large detached shed in the backyard. Looking for a buyer to put some sweat equity in the home to make it their own. HVAC was replaced approximately 5 years ago. Property being sold as-is where-is. Come by today!

Key facts

  • Hvac replaced
  • Large detached shed
  • Investment property

Tags

INVESTMENT PROPERTYSPACIOUS LOTLARGE DETACHED SHEDHVAC REPLACED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (7.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $168k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.6% in Portsmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.9%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $168,350 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.09%
Cash-on-cash
2.85%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$219,222
List price
$185,000
Delta
-15.61%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
507 Eisenhower Cir 0.13mi 3/1.0 930 (+0%) 4mo $252,500 $272 90
510 Bunche Blvd 0.16mi 3/1.0 926 (0%) 3mo $135,000 $146 90
408 Roosevelt Blvd 0.21mi 3/1.0 926 (0%) 3mo $215,000 $232 88
402 Orton St 0.26mi 3/1.0 945 (+2%) 3mo $133,000 $141 82
3802 Greenwood Dr 0.35mi 3/1.5 924 (-0%) 3mo $156,000 $169 79
743 Bold St 0.08mi 3/1.0 816 (-12%) 0mo $252,000 $309 76
4 Gatling Ct 0.41mi 3/1.0 950 (+3%) 1mo $240,000 $253 76
1303 Stratford St 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,000 (+8%) 1mo $250,000 $250 74
310 Bunche Blvd 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,007 (+9%) 3mo $219,600 $218 70
403 Viking St 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,000 (+8%) 1mo $267,000 $267 62
1621 Spectator St 0.64mi 3/1.0 842 (-9%) 4mo $108,000 $128 52
121 York Dr 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,056 (+14%) 3mo $150,000 $142 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-13,130
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$39,678
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23701

Rents YoY
11.9%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,707 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$178 /mo · $2,136/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$123

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,551
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
902 Liston Ln Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.0 1039 $1,785 $1.72 24d 1 0.52mi
98 Francis St Portsmouth, VA 2.0 2.0 984 $1,395 $1.42 15d 1 0.72mi
102 Francis St #98 Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,395 $1.40 16d 1 0.73mi
4642 Greenwood Dr Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 946 $1,550 $1.64 44d 1 1.05mi
200 Chowan Dr Portsmouth, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 737 $1,600 $2.17 2d 8 1.19mi
9 Seminole Dr Portsmouth, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0 545 $1,155 $2.12 44d 5 1.25mi
9 Seminole Dr Unit SEB08-N Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 610 $1,050 $1.72 44d 1 1.29mi
49 Carver Cir Portsmouth, VA 2.0 2.0 800 $1,450 $1.81 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 119 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 118 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 117 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 116 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 114 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 110 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 109 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 108 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 104 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 103 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 102 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 101 DOM
  13. 2026-05-07
    price $185,000 310-char remark
    Show marketing remark (310 chars)

    Great starter home or investment property. This 3 bedroom ranch home sits on a spacious lot with a large detached shed in the backyard. Looking for a buyer to put some sweat equity in the home to make it their own. HVAC was replaced approximately 5 years ago. Property being sold as-is where-is. Come by today!

  14. 2026-02-19
    listed $200,000 Active 310-char remark
    Show marketing remark (310 chars)

    Great starter home or investment property. This 3 bedroom ranch home sits on a spacious lot with a large detached shed in the backyard. Looking for a buyer to put some sweat equity in the home to make it their own. HVAC was replaced approximately 5 years ago. Property being sold as-is where-is. Come by today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,136 · $178/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,136 · $178/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,480
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$2,136
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,638
− Management
−$1,638
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$1,603
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$385
After-tax cash flow
$1,861/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Portsmouth City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103000
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -40.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$46,152
Composite
39.01/100
National rank
#4071
State rank
#107 of 131 in VA

Livability — Portsmouth

Score
73/100
State rank
#172
US rank
#5381

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Portsmouth, VA
County
Portsmouth City · 96,366 people
City population
96,366
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
24,298
Household income
$62,349
Rent vs Own
31.0% rent · 69.0% own
Severe rent burden
580.0

Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
96,730 people
By 2030
96,760 · +0.0%
By 2040
96,573 · -0.2%
By 2050
95,606 · -1.2%
By 2075
93,579 · -3.3%
By 2100
83,756 · -13.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 52% White 39% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Portsmouth

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.6) · D 68.6% · R 30.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-0.7pp no change · 2008: 39.3pp · 2024: 38.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.6 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+36.5 2012: D+39.6 2008: D+39.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -218.96%
Current HPI
310.8218
Rent YoY
▲ 11.92%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $185,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $200,000 REINMLS

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,136 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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