403 Dwight Dr · Portsmouth, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great starter home or investment property. This 3 bedroom ranch home sits on a spacious lot with a large detached shed in the backyard. Looking for a buyer to put some sweat equity in the home to make it their own. HVAC was replaced approximately 5 years ago. Property being sold as-is where-is. Come by today!
Key facts
- Hvac replaced
- Large detached shed
- Investment property
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (7.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $168k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.6% in Portsmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
- Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.9%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.85%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $219,222
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- -15.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 Eisenhower Cir | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 930 (+0%) | 4mo | $252,500 | $272 | 90 |
| 510 Bunche Blvd | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 926 (0%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $146 | 90 |
| 408 Roosevelt Blvd | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 926 (0%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $232 | 88 |
| 402 Orton St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 945 (+2%) | 3mo | $133,000 | $141 | 82 |
| 3802 Greenwood Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 924 (-0%) | 3mo | $156,000 | $169 | 79 |
| 743 Bold St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 816 (-12%) | 0mo | $252,000 | $309 | 76 |
| 4 Gatling Ct | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (+3%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $253 | 76 |
| 1303 Stratford St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (+8%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $250 | 74 |
| 310 Bunche Blvd | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,007 (+9%) | 3mo | $219,600 | $218 | 70 |
| 403 Viking St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (+8%) | 1mo | $267,000 | $267 | 62 |
| 1621 Spectator St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 842 (-9%) | 4mo | $108,000 | $128 | 52 |
| 121 York Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (+14%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $142 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-13,130
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $39,678
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23701
- Rents YoY
- 11.9%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,707 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$178 /mo · $2,136/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $123
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 902 Liston Ln Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1039 | $1,785 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 98 Francis St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,395 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 102 Francis St #98 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4642 Greenwood Dr Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,550 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 200 Chowan Dr Portsmouth, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 737 | $1,600 | $2.17 | 2d | 8 | 1.19mi |
| 9 Seminole Dr Portsmouth, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 545 | $1,155 | $2.12 | 44d | 5 | 1.25mi |
| 9 Seminole Dr Unit SEB08-N Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $1,050 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 49 Carver Cir Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,450 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $185,000 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Great starter home or investment property. This 3 bedroom ranch home sits on a spacious lot with a large detached shed in the backyard. Looking for a buyer to put some sweat equity in the home to make it their own. HVAC was replaced approximately 5 years ago. Property being sold as-is where-is. Come by today!
-
2026-02-19$200,000 Active 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Great starter home or investment property. This 3 bedroom ranch home sits on a spacious lot with a large detached shed in the backyard. Looking for a buyer to put some sweat equity in the home to make it their own. HVAC was replaced approximately 5 years ago. Property being sold as-is where-is. Come by today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,136 · $178/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,136 · $178/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,480
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,136
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,638
- − Management
- −$1,638
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$1,603
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$385
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,861/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portsmouth City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103000
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,152
- Composite
- 39.01/100
- National rank
- #4071
- State rank
- #107 of 131 in VA
Livability — Portsmouth
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #5381
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portsmouth, VA
- County
- Portsmouth City · 96,366 people
- City population
- 96,366
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,298
- Household income
- $62,349
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 580.0
Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,730 people
- By 2030
- 96,760 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 96,573 · -0.2%
- By 2050
- 95,606 · -1.2%
- By 2075
- 93,579 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 83,756 · -13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% White 39% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Portsmouth
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.6) · D 68.6% · R 30.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 39.3pp · 2024: 38.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.6 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+36.5 2012: D+39.6 2008: D+39.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -218.96%
- Current HPI
- 310.8218
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.92%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-7.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $185,000 REINMLS
- 2026-02-19 Listed $200,000 REINMLS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,136 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…