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12150 Woodland Park Dr NE
D Composite 43.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.1/30.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0

$245,000

12150 Woodland Park Dr NE · Belding, MI 48809
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1994 2.25 ac lot Est $257k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this charming 3 bedroom , 2 bath home in Belding, just steps from beautiful Big Pine Island Lake! This property offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Enjoy extra storage and workspace with the two stall detached garage and additional shed. Whether you're looking for year round home or a peaceful getaway near a lake, this could be the one for you.

Key facts

  • Additional shed
  • 2.25 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

TWO STALL DETACHED GARAGEADDITIONAL SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Two-car garage
  • Utilities: Well water; Electricity available
  • Home design: Ranch-style residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1994; Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Wooded lot; Shed on the property; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Eight total rooms; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-189 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (13.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (34.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $161k (34.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#169 in MI, #4,436 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Belding Area School District (town): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #398 of 540 in MI (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Ellis Elementary School (394 students, 59% FRL); Belding Middle School (math 20% / reading 34%, grade F, #372 of 493 statewide, top 77%, 325 students, 50% FRL); Belding High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #462 of 713 statewide, top 66%, 557 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $83k; list at $245k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $161,447 (34.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
5.37%
Cash-on-cash
-3.31%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
12.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$256,704
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12500 Woodland Park Dr NE 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,532 (+14%) 20mo $292,000 $191 43
7105 Lessiter Rd NE 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,485 (+10%) 12mo $275,000 $185 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$121,253
Equity at exit
$220,715
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
6.34×
Total profit
$366,327
Equity at exit
$475,981

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48809

Home prices YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
12.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,614 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $936/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$-189

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,854
Max offer price $211,538
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-51 -5% $-120 +0% $-189 +5% $-259 +10% $-328
Rent -10% $-317 -5% $-253 +0% $-189 +5% $-126 +10% $-62
Rate -1.0pp $-66 -0.5pp $-127 base $-189 +0.5pp $-253 +1.0pp $-317

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    listed $245,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (379 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming 3 bedroom , 2 bath home in Belding, just steps from beautiful Big Pine Island Lake! This property offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Enjoy extra storage and workspace with the two stall detached garage and additional shed. Whether you're looking for year round home or a peaceful getaway near a lake, this could be the one for you.

  2. 2026-05-22
    listed $245,000 Active 428-char remark
    Show marketing remark (379 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming 3 bedroom , 2 bath home in Belding, just steps from beautiful Big Pine Island Lake! This property offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Enjoy extra storage and workspace with the two stall detached garage and additional shed. Whether you're looking for year round home or a peaceful getaway near a lake, this could be the one for you.

  3. 2026-05-22
    listed $245,000 Active 428-char remark
    Show marketing remark (379 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming 3 bedroom , 2 bath home in Belding, just steps from beautiful Big Pine Island Lake! This property offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Enjoy extra storage and workspace with the two stall detached garage and additional shed. Whether you're looking for year round home or a peaceful getaway near a lake, this could be the one for you.

  4. 2014-09-16
    historical
  5. 1999-09-22
    soldstatus $83,400
  6. 1999-09-22
    soldstatus $83,400
  7. 1999-05-24
    listed $84,900
  8. 1999-05-24
    listed $84,900
  9. 1999-04-14
    historical
  10. 1998-12-14
    listed $84,900
  11. 1998-12-14
    listed $84,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$936 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,354 · $196/mo
Expected delta
+$1,419/yr (+$118/mo · 151.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,374
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$936
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,550
− Management
−$1,550
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$6,738
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,617
After-tax cash flow
$-656/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belding Area School District
NCES district ID
2604530
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$46,310
Composite
23.33/100
National rank
#7915
State rank
#398 of 540 in MI

Livability — Belding

Score
74/100
State rank
#169
US rank
#4436

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,292

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
712,484 people
By 2030
748,618 · +5.1%
By 2040
814,777 · +14.4%
By 2050
868,556 · +21.9%
By 2075
966,487 · +35.7%
By 2100
967,975 · +35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 7% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.30%
Current HPI
412.5108
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+188.6% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-29 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $245,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $245,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $245,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-09-16 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 1999-09-22 Sold (MLS) $83,400 REALCOMP
  • 1999-09-22 Sold (MLS) $83,400 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1999-05-24 Listed $84,900 REALCOMP
  • 1999-05-24 Listed $84,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1999-04-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1998-12-14 Listed $84,900 REALCOMP
  • 1998-12-14 Listed $84,900 SW Michigan MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…