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1030 W Nichols St
C+ Composite 64.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

1030 W Nichols St · Springfield, MO 65802
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 686 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1897 8,276 sqft lot $124/sqft · 14% below area Est $99k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor opportunity with tenant already in place in Springfield's Midtown area. This 1 bed, 1 bath home offers immediate rental income potential and convenient access to downtown, shopping, dining, and local amenities. Functional layout with solid upside for investors looking to add to their portfolio. Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Convenient access
  • Functional layout
  • 8,276 sq ft lot

Tags

IMMEDIATE RENTAL INCOMECONVENIENT ACCESSFUNCTIONAL LAYOUT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Square footage: 686 (above grade finished area 686)
  • Financial info: Tax amount listed (financial specifics otherwise excluded)
  • HOA & community: HOA information not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking details not provided
  • Security: Security details not provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single Family Residence; Residential property; One story
  • Construction: Construction details not provided; Year built not provided
  • Exterior features: Lot on approximately 0.19 acres; Located in the Greene-Not in List subdivision; Directions: From Fort head east on Nichols; house is on the right (south) side of the road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen details not provided
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms information not provided
  • Flooring: Flooring details not provided
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating (type described as Other); No central air / No cooling system
  • Interior features: One-level layout
  • Laundry & utility: Heating present (type: Other); No cooling

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($869 rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Weaver Elem. (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #611 of 1,115 statewide, top 59%, 224 students, 91% FRL); Central High (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #92 of 521 statewide, top 20%, 1,464 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 46% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 512 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $82,450 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.73%
Cash-on-cash
8.70%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$98,683
List price
$85,000
Delta
-13.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
920 W Central St 0.17mi 2/1.0 (+1) 700 (+2%) 13mo $89,000 $127 73
1318 N Douglas Ave 0.39mi 2/1.0 (+1) 714 (+4%) 1mo $92,500 $130 69
920 W Brower St 0.21mi 2/1.0 (+1) 624 (-9%) 1mo $134,900 $216 69
1308 N Franklin Ave 0.27mi 2/1.0 (+1) 656 (-4%) 10mo $110,000 $168 67
803 N Concord Ave 0.41mi 2/1.0 (+1) 720 (+5%) 4mo $85,000 $118 64
1025 W Scott St 0.11mi 2/1.0 (+1) 784 (+14%) 10mo $25,500 $33 58
1635 W Lynn St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (+1) 732 (+7%) 1mo $115,000 $157 54
806 N Farmer Ave 0.55mi 2/1.0 (+1) 672 (-2%) 15mo $105,000 $156 54
711 W Hovey St 0.54mi 2/1.0 (+1) 756 (+10%) 10mo $75,000 $99 44
1016 N Wabash Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 (+1) 630 (-8%) 9mo $89,900 $143 42
921 N Lexington Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 (+1) 748 (+9%) 13mo $133,500 $178 40
1459 N Nettleton Ave 0.60mi 1/1.0 588 (-14%) 12mo $89,900 $153 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-5,386
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$10,945
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65802

Home prices YoY
-31.9%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
512
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$869 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $389/yr
Insurance
$35
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$182
Net cashflow
$106

Break-even live

Break-even rent $734
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1126 W Hamilton St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 648 $895 $1.38 23d 1 0.28mi
813 W Poplar St Unit 813 Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 560 $795 $1.42 13d 1 0.29mi
916 N Kansas Expy Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 573 $595 $1.04 43d 1 0.42mi
733 W College St Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $750 $1.07 13d 1 0.75mi
235 N Market Ave Springfield, MO 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1350 $1,150 $0.85 13d 4 0.80mi
235 N Market Ave Springfield, MO 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1350 $1,150 $0.85 23d 5 0.80mi
138 Park Central Sq Springfield, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1083 $969 $0.89 13d 8 0.90mi
305 S Campbell Ave Unit 208 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 649 $975 $1.50 13d 1 0.91mi
302 W Commercial St Unit 206F Springfield, MO 1.0 615 $850 $1.38 43d 1 0.94mi
209 W McDaniel St Unit 209-207 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 43d 1 0.97mi
522 N Park Ave Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 608 $950 $1.56 43d 1 1.00mi
1623 N Jefferson Ave Unit B Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 43d 1 1.02mi
1911 W Elm St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 580 $875 $1.51 43d 1 1.13mi
301 W State St Unit D Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 570 $875 $1.54 23d 1 1.28mi
940 E Webster St Springfield, MO 1.0 350 $735 $2.10 43d 1 1.34mi
511 E Cherry St Unit 8 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 500 $775 $1.55 13d 1 1.34mi
511 E Cherry St Unit 2 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 43d 1 1.34mi
934 E Webster St Springfield, MO 1.0 350 $818 $2.34 13d 6 1.35mi
435 E Harrison St Unit 50302 Springfield, MO 1.0 400 $895 $2.24 23d 1 1.38mi
435 E Harrison St Unit 435108 Springfield, MO 1.0 400 $700 $1.75 13d 1 1.38mi
435 E Harrison St Unit 435203 Springfield, MO 1.0 400 $895 $2.24 13d 1 1.39mi
755 South Ave Unit 2 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 600 $850 $1.42 23d 1 1.40mi
407 E Dale St Apt B Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 720 $795 $1.10 13d 1 1.41mi
2712 W Nichols St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 619 $795 $1.28 43d 1 1.46mi
806 South Ave Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 670 $1,085 $1.62 13d 3 1.47mi
745 S Jefferson Ave Unit 1 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 410 $795 $1.94 23d 1 1.50mi
745 S Jefferson Ave Unit 6 Springfield, MO 1.0 1.0 500 $850 $1.70 43d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $85,000 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    listed $85,000 Active 316-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$389 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$824 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$435/yr (+$36/mo · 111.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,423
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$389
− Insurance
−$1,222
− Repairs & maintenance
−$834
− Management
−$834
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable loss
−$90
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$22
After-tax cash flow
$1,295/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield R-XII
NCES district ID
2928860
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,886
Composite
32.45/100
National rank
#5717
State rank
#174 of 324 in MO

Livability — Springfield

Score
75/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#4121

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, MO
County
Greene County · 244,327 people
City population
223,044
Metro
Springfield, MO
Population (ZIP)
46,739
Household income
$55,019
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
1818.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,054 people
By 2030
335,135 · +5.0%
By 2040
366,186 · +14.8%
By 2050
397,431 · +24.6%
By 2075
477,035 · +49.5%
By 2100
520,828 · +63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.72%
Current HPI
212.9826
Rent YoY
▲ 4.82%
Metro
Springfield, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $85,000 SOMO

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $389 · +23.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…