1221 Ballard St · Lansing, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +6.2/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity!!! This property includes a 3-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home plus the vacant lot next door, both sold together as one parcel. Perfect for investors, rehabbers, or homeowners looking for a project with plenty of potential. Property Highlights: • Sold AS-IS — needs some TLC but solid structure with recent remodeling • Spacious lot with plenty of room for expansion, additional parking, or new construction • Quiet street with easy access to highways, shopping, and downtown Lansing • Great investment property or rental opportunity The bathroom features a vanity mirror with a hidden window to reveal a nice view of the rear of the property. There is a hidden storage area in one of the upper bedroom. Spacious basement that could be repurposed as a master bedroom, family room, indoor garden, and/or a gym with washer/dryer connections. The home has utilities on-site and clear access from the front driveway. The adjoining lot is cleared and ready for development. Serious inquiries only. Showings by appointment. Cash or conventional financing preferred.
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Recent remodeling
- Utilities on-site
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 6.0% in Lansing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#94 in MI, #2,182 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Lansing Public School District (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #650 of 760 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 69% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 223 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 223 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.52%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $92,306
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- 2.92%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1530 Ballard St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-2%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $46 | 82 |
| 1318 Massachusetts Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 913 (+4%) | 8mo | $86,000 | $94 | 76 |
| 928 Porter St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 915 (+4%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $104 | 72 |
| 1101 May St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 920 (+4%) | 1mo | $115,388 | $125 | 70 |
| 1624 N High St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 832 (-6%) | 4mo | $78,700 | $95 | 68 |
| 1035 May St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 786 (-11%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $70 | 60 |
| 1520 Congress St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 902 (+2%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $111 | 58 |
| 1016 Lake Lansing Rd | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+9%) | 3mo | $74,000 | $77 | 57 |
| 1919 N East St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 972 (+10%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $129 | 54 |
| 721 Clark St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 937 (+6%) | 3mo | $107,000 | $114 | 54 |
| 2012 New York Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 972 (+10%) | 2mo | $150,100 | $154 | 48 |
| 331 Douglas Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 804 (-9%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $131 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $13,667
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.73×
- Total profit
- $72,643
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48906
- Rents YoY
- 10.5%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,343 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,149/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $344
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1561 Massachusetts Ave Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 832 N Larch St Apt 3 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,095 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 620 May St Lansing, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1126 | $1,578 | $1.40 | 14d | 12 | 0.45mi |
| 730 Johnson Ave Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,225 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 824 Cleveland St Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $1,150 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 117 E North St Unit A Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $1,050 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 905 E Shiawassee St Unit 837-01 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 905 E Shiawassee St Unit 837-02 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1715 Peppertree Ln Lansing, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,595 | $1.42 | 44d | 2 | 0.97mi |
| 1228 N Fairview Ave Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 113 Pere Marquette Dr Lansing, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1065 | $2,250 | $2.11 | 14d | 9 | 0.98mi |
| 1010 N Pine St Unit B Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 524 N Walnut St Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 936 N Fairview Ave Lansing, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,245 | $1.51 | 44d | 2 | 1.05mi |
| 410 W Lapeer St Unit 1 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 427 Seymour Ave Unit 315 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,300 | $2.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 427 Seymour Ave Unit 315 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,300 | $2.36 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 504 W Lapeer St Apt A Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $895 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 208 S Bingham St Lansing, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,500 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1245 Weber Dr Unit 2 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 712 N Sycamore St Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 731 N Sycamore St Unit 1 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $945 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1629 E Michigan Ave Unit 306 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 901 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 414 N Hayford Ave Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,425 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2620 Senate Dr Lansing, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,800 | $1.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 507 S Hosmer St Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,075 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 919 Princeton Ave Lansing, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1119 | $1,475 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 805 Bement St Unit Hosmer 507 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,075 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 401 S Washington Sq Unit 205 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,355 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1115 Chester Rd Unit Two Bedroom Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2222 E Michigan Ave Unit 411 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2222 E Michigan Ave Unit 206 Lansing, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $95,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $95,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2025-11-04$95,000 Active 1117-char remark
Show marketing remark (1117 chars)
Great investment opportunity!!! This property includes a 3-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home plus the vacant lot next door, both sold together as one parcel. Perfect for investors, rehabbers, or homeowners looking for a project with plenty of potential. Property Highlights: • Sold AS-IS — needs some TLC but solid structure with recent remodeling • Spacious lot with plenty of room for expansion, additional parking, or new construction • Quiet street with easy access to highways, shopping, and downtown Lansing • Great investment property or rental opportunity The bathroom features a vanity mirror with a hidden window to reveal a nice view of the rear of the property. There is a hidden storage area in one of the upper bedroom. Spacious basement that could be repurposed as a master bedroom, family room, indoor garden, and/or a gym with washer/dryer connections. The home has utilities on-site and clear access from the front driveway. The adjoining lot is cleared and ready for development. Serious inquiries only. Showings by appointment. Cash or conventional financing preferred.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,149 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,149 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,114
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$2,149
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,289
- − Management
- −$1,289
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $2,826
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$678
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,449/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lansing Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2621150
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,453
- Composite
- 18.76/100
- National rank
- #14002
- State rank
- #650 of 760 in MI
Livability — Lansing
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #94
- US rank
- #2182
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lansing, MI
- County
- Ingham County · 237,052 people
- City population
- 161,269
- Metro
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,901
- Household income
- $64,315
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 851.0
Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 300,362 people
- By 2030
- 307,808 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 320,492 · +6.7%
- By 2050
- 333,223 · +10.9%
- By 2075
- 373,693 · +24.4%
- By 2100
- 392,021 · +30.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 15% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ingham
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.54%
- Current HPI
- 228.7023
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.50%
- Metro
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-11-04 Listed $95,000 Fizber.com
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,149 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…