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1221 Ballard St
B- Composite 68.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.6/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

1221 Ballard St · Lansing, MI 48906
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 880 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 223 Days on market
Built 1910 $108/sqft · at area comps Est $92k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity!!! This property includes a 3-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home plus the vacant lot next door, both sold together as one parcel. Perfect for investors, rehabbers, or homeowners looking for a project with plenty of potential. Property Highlights: • Sold AS-IS — needs some TLC but solid structure with recent remodeling • Spacious lot with plenty of room for expansion, additional parking, or new construction • Quiet street with easy access to highways, shopping, and downtown Lansing • Great investment property or rental opportunity The bathroom features a vanity mirror with a hidden window to reveal a nice view of the rear of the property. There is a hidden storage area in one of the upper bedroom. Spacious basement that could be repurposed as a master bedroom, family room, indoor garden, and/or a gym with washer/dryer connections. The home has utilities on-site and clear access from the front driveway. The adjoining lot is cleared and ready for development. Serious inquiries only. Showings by appointment. Cash or conventional financing preferred.

Key facts

  • Quiet street
  • Recent remodeling
  • Utilities on-site

Tags

RECENT REMODELINGSPACIOUS LOTQUIET STREETHIDDEN STORAGE AREASPACIOUS BASEMENTUTILITIES ON-SITE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 6.0% in Lansing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#94 in MI, #2,182 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Lansing Public School District (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #650 of 760 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 69% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 223 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 223 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
10.64%
Cash-on-cash
15.52%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$92,306
List price
$95,000
Delta
2.92%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1530 Ballard St 0.18mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-2%) 2mo $40,000 $46 82
1318 Massachusetts Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 913 (+4%) 8mo $86,000 $94 76
928 Porter St 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 915 (+4%) 8mo $95,000 $104 72
1101 May St 0.46mi 3/1.0 920 (+4%) 1mo $115,388 $125 70
1624 N High St 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 832 (-6%) 4mo $78,700 $95 68
1035 May St 0.45mi 3/1.0 786 (-11%) 2mo $55,000 $70 60
1520 Congress St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 902 (+2%) 4mo $100,000 $111 58
1016 Lake Lansing Rd 0.53mi 3/1.0 960 (+9%) 3mo $74,000 $77 57
1919 N East St 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 972 (+10%) 1mo $125,000 $129 54
721 Clark St 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 937 (+6%) 3mo $107,000 $114 54
2012 New York Ave 0.55mi 2/1.5 (-1) 972 (+10%) 2mo $150,100 $154 48
331 Douglas Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 804 (-9%) 2mo $105,000 $131 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$13,667
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
3.73×
Total profit
$72,643
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48906

Rents YoY
10.5%
Active inventory
138
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,343 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,149/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$344

Break-even live

Break-even rent $907
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1561 Massachusetts Ave Lansing, MI 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 44d 1 0.32mi
832 N Larch St Apt 3 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 890 $1,095 $1.23 44d 1 0.39mi
620 May St Lansing, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1126 $1,578 $1.40 14d 12 0.45mi
730 Johnson Ave Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 840 $1,225 $1.46 44d 1 0.47mi
824 Cleveland St Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 839 $1,150 $1.37 21d 1 0.49mi
117 E North St Unit A Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 812 $1,050 $1.29 14d 1 0.66mi
905 E Shiawassee St Unit 837-01 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 44d 1 0.73mi
905 E Shiawassee St Unit 837-02 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $750 $0.94 44d 1 0.73mi
1715 Peppertree Ln Lansing, MI 2.0–3.0 1.5 1120 $1,595 $1.42 44d 2 0.97mi
1228 N Fairview Ave Lansing, MI 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 44d 1 0.98mi
113 Pere Marquette Dr Lansing, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1065 $2,250 $2.11 14d 9 0.98mi
1010 N Pine St Unit B Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 44d 1 1.02mi
524 N Walnut St Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 44d 1 1.03mi
936 N Fairview Ave Lansing, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,245 $1.51 44d 2 1.05mi
410 W Lapeer St Unit 1 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 21d 1 1.05mi
427 Seymour Ave Unit 315 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 550 $1,300 $2.36 44d 1 1.05mi
427 Seymour Ave Unit 315 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 550 $1,300 $2.36 21d 1 1.05mi
504 W Lapeer St Apt A Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $895 $1.49 44d 1 1.10mi
208 S Bingham St Lansing, MI 4.0 1.0 1020 $1,500 $1.47 14d 1 1.12mi
1245 Weber Dr Unit 2 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 44d 1 1.18mi
712 N Sycamore St Lansing, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,650 $1.50 21d 1 1.18mi
731 N Sycamore St Unit 1 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $945 $0.99 44d 1 1.19mi
1629 E Michigan Ave Unit 306 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 901 $1,550 $1.72 44d 1 1.20mi
414 N Hayford Ave Lansing, MI 3.0 1.0 990 $1,425 $1.44 44d 1 1.30mi
2620 Senate Dr Lansing, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,800 $1.89 44d 1 1.33mi
507 S Hosmer St Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 1120 $1,075 $0.96 44d 1 1.34mi
919 Princeton Ave Lansing, MI 3.0 1.5 1119 $1,475 $1.32 21d 1 1.35mi
805 Bement St Unit Hosmer 507 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 1120 $1,075 $0.96 44d 1 1.37mi
401 S Washington Sq Unit 205 Lansing, MI 2.0 1.0 968 $1,355 $1.40 44d 1 1.40mi
1115 Chester Rd Unit Two Bedroom Lansing, MI 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,200 $1.09 44d 1 1.45mi
2222 E Michigan Ave Unit 411 Lansing, MI 2.0 2.0 900 $1,700 $1.89 21d 1 1.46mi
2222 E Michigan Ave Unit 206 Lansing, MI 2.0 2.0 900 $1,700 $1.89 44d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 223 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 222 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 221 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 220 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 218 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 217 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 215 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 214 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 213 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 212 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $95,000 Active 209 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 208 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 207 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 206 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 205 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $95,000 Active 204 DOM
  17. 2025-11-04
    listed $95,000 Active 1117-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1117 chars)

    Great investment opportunity!!! This property includes a 3-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home plus the vacant lot next door, both sold together as one parcel. Perfect for investors, rehabbers, or homeowners looking for a project with plenty of potential. Property Highlights: • Sold AS-IS — needs some TLC but solid structure with recent remodeling • Spacious lot with plenty of room for expansion, additional parking, or new construction • Quiet street with easy access to highways, shopping, and downtown Lansing • Great investment property or rental opportunity The bathroom features a vanity mirror with a hidden window to reveal a nice view of the rear of the property. There is a hidden storage area in one of the upper bedroom. Spacious basement that could be repurposed as a master bedroom, family room, indoor garden, and/or a gym with washer/dryer connections. The home has utilities on-site and clear access from the front driveway. The adjoining lot is cleared and ready for development. Serious inquiries only. Showings by appointment. Cash or conventional financing preferred.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,149 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,149 · $179/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,114
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$2,149
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,289
− Management
−$1,289
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$2,826
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$678
After-tax cash flow
$3,449/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lansing Public School District
NCES district ID
2621150
Math proficiency
14% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$37,453
Composite
18.76/100
National rank
#14002
State rank
#650 of 760 in MI

Livability — Lansing

Score
79/100
State rank
#94
US rank
#2182

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lansing, MI
County
Ingham County · 237,052 people
City population
161,269
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
Population (ZIP)
25,901
Household income
$64,315
Rent vs Own
30.7% rent · 69.3% own
Severe rent burden
851.0

Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
300,362 people
By 2030
307,808 · +2.5%
By 2040
320,492 · +6.7%
By 2050
333,223 · +10.9%
By 2075
373,693 · +24.4%
By 2100
392,021 · +30.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 15% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ingham

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.54%
Current HPI
228.7023
Rent YoY
▲ 10.50%
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-11-04 Listed $95,000 Fizber.com

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,149 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…