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1840 S 19th St
B Composite 70.26
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

1840 S 19th St · Coos Bay, OR 97420
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1952 6,534 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

AS-IS Sale! Must be all cash! Home had a recent fire & has extensive but mostly interior fire & smoke damage. Built in 1952 with approx. 1344 sq.ft., 3 Bed/1 Bath plus a bonus room in the partially finished basement area. Deck & storage area. Carport plus room to park an RV. Lots of mature plantings in the yard with a cute Gazebo in the back. Corner lot, .15 of an acre. Caution Debris! See Disclosures for additional info on the fire.

Key facts

  • Rv parking
  • Bonus room
  • Carport

Tags

CORNER LOTBONUS ROOMMATURE LANDSCAPINGRV PARKINGCARPORTDECK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space); Driveway; RV parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity; Wood burning fuel option
  • Home design: Single-family residence (detached); Residential property; Main level living area; Territorial and trees/woods views
  • Construction: Built in 1952; Built-up roof; Block and concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Yard; Wood siding; Corner lot with trees; Gentle sloping to level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level; Second bedroom; Third bedroom
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1); Partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Cap rate 20.3% vs local median 4.2% in Coos Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#257 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Coos Bay SD 9 (town): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #45 of 58 in OR (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Eastside School (315 students, 50% FRL); Marshfield Senior High School (math 17% / reading 54%, grade F, #89 of 143 statewide, top 62%, 835 students, 31% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.7%/yr); 342 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $53k; list at $95k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $95,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.38%
Cap rate
20.31%
Cash-on-cash
50.07%
DSCR
3.23
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$291,648
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1565 California Ave 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,386 (+3%) 8mo $268,000 $193 79
1751 S 19th St 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,427 (+6%) 9mo $310,000 $217 75
1387 Washington Ave 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,413 (+5%) 9mo $180,000 $127 71
1169 Washington Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,376 (+2%) 8mo $380,000 $276 67
1148 Minnesota Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,293 (-4%) 3mo $197,500 $153 61
1142 Minnesota Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,318 (-2%) 6mo $257,700 $196 60
1775 California Ave 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+12%) 13mo $225,000 $149 60
1357 Washington Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,241 (-8%) 17mo $265,000 $214 59
1296 Dakota St 0.49mi 3/3.0 1,320 (-2%) 15mo $354,000 $268 54
1348 Dakota St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,147 (-15%) 2mo $325,000 $283 52
1355 Washington Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,508 (+12%) 15mo $407,000 $270 48
1349 Washington Ave 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,189 (-12%) 16mo $275,000 $231 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.5%
Equity multiple
3.53×
Total profit
$67,321
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
60.6%
Equity multiple
8.68×
Total profit
$204,342
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97420

Rents YoY
8.7%
Active inventory
342
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,266 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$142 /mo · $1,704/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$476
Net cashflow
$1,110

Break-even live

Break-even rent $861
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,164 -5% $1,137 +0% $1,110 +5% $1,083 +10% $1,056
Rent -10% $931 -5% $1,020 +0% $1,110 +5% $1,199 +10% $1,289
Rate -1.0pp $1,158 -0.5pp $1,134 base $1,110 +0.5pp $1,085 +1.0pp $1,060

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1398 Oregon Ave Coos Bay, OR 3.0 2.0 1600 $6,000 $3.75 44d 1 0.24mi
1449 Anderson Ave Coos Bay, OR 3.0 2.0 1785 $2,700 $1.51 44d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $95,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    remarks 459-char remark
  3. 2026-06-18
    listed $95,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,704 · $142/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,704 · $142/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥78°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,186
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,704
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,175
− Management
−$2,175
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$12,572
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,017
After-tax cash flow
$10,302/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coos Bay SD 9
NCES district ID
4103660
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$38,630
Composite
25.46/100
National rank
#7450
State rank
#45 of 58 in OR

Livability — Coos Bay

Score
61/100
State rank
#257
US rank
#17474

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Coos Bay, OR
County
Coos County · 27,621 people
City population
27,621
Metro
Coos Bay, OR
Population (ZIP)
27,621
Household income
$61,574
Rent vs Own
32.7% rent · 67.3% own
Severe rent burden
799.0

Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,222 people
By 2030
61,120 · -1.8%
By 2040
58,478 · -6.0%
By 2050
56,819 · -8.7%
By 2075
54,915 · -11.7%
By 2100
51,403 · -17.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Native American 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Coos

2024 margin
R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.5% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-16.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.9 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+24.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+3.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -315.58%
Current HPI
198.3249
Rent YoY
▲ 8.65%
Metro
Coos Bay, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+59.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $95,000 RMLS
  • 2018-11-30 Sold (MLS) $53,200 RMLS
  • 2018-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $53,200 Public Records
  • 2018-10-31 Pending RMLS
  • 2018-10-16 Listed $59,500 RMLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,704 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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