1840 S 19th St · Coos Bay, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 78°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AS-IS Sale! Must be all cash! Home had a recent fire & has extensive but mostly interior fire & smoke damage. Built in 1952 with approx. 1344 sq.ft., 3 Bed/1 Bath plus a bonus room in the partially finished basement area. Deck & storage area. Carport plus room to park an RV. Lots of mature plantings in the yard with a cute Gazebo in the back. Corner lot, .15 of an acre. Caution Debris! See Disclosures for additional info on the fire.
Key facts
- Rv parking
- Bonus room
- Carport
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space); Driveway; RV parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity; Wood burning fuel option
- Home design: Single-family residence (detached); Residential property; Main level living area; Territorial and trees/woods views
- Construction: Built in 1952; Built-up roof; Block and concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Yard; Wood siding; Corner lot with trees; Gentle sloping to level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level; Second bedroom; Third bedroom
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No central air conditioning
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1); Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 20.3% vs local median 4.2% in Coos Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#257 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Coos Bay SD 9 (town): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #45 of 58 in OR (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Eastside School (315 students, 50% FRL); Marshfield Senior High School (math 17% / reading 54%, grade F, #89 of 143 statewide, top 62%, 835 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.7%/yr); 342 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $53k; list at $95k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.07%
- DSCR
- 3.23
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $291,648
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1565 California Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,386 (+3%) | 8mo | $268,000 | $193 | 79 |
| 1751 S 19th St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,427 (+6%) | 9mo | $310,000 | $217 | 75 |
| 1387 Washington Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,413 (+5%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $127 | 71 |
| 1169 Washington Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,376 (+2%) | 8mo | $380,000 | $276 | 67 |
| 1148 Minnesota Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,293 (-4%) | 3mo | $197,500 | $153 | 61 |
| 1142 Minnesota Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,318 (-2%) | 6mo | $257,700 | $196 | 60 |
| 1775 California Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+12%) | 13mo | $225,000 | $149 | 60 |
| 1357 Washington Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,241 (-8%) | 17mo | $265,000 | $214 | 59 |
| 1296 Dakota St | 0.49mi | 3/3.0 | 1,320 (-2%) | 15mo | $354,000 | $268 | 54 |
| 1348 Dakota St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,147 (-15%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $283 | 52 |
| 1355 Washington Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (+12%) | 15mo | $407,000 | $270 | 48 |
| 1349 Washington Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,189 (-12%) | 16mo | $275,000 | $231 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.53×
- Total profit
- $67,321
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 60.6%
- Equity multiple
- 8.68×
- Total profit
- $204,342
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97420
- Rents YoY
- 8.7%
- Active inventory
- 342
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,266 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$142 /mo · $1,704/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$476
- Net cashflow
- $1,110
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,164 | -5% $1,137 | +0% $1,110 | +5% $1,083 | +10% $1,056 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $931 | -5% $1,020 | +0% $1,110 | +5% $1,199 | +10% $1,289 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,158 | -0.5pp $1,134 | base $1,110 | +0.5pp $1,085 | +1.0pp $1,060 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1398 Oregon Ave Coos Bay, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $6,000 | $3.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1449 Anderson Ave Coos Bay, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1785 | $2,700 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $95,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 459-char remark
-
2026-06-18$95,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,704 · $142/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,704 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥78°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,186
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,704
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,175
- − Management
- −$2,175
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $12,572
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,017
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,302/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coos Bay SD 9
- NCES district ID
- 4103660
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,630
- Composite
- 25.46/100
- National rank
- #7450
- State rank
- #45 of 58 in OR
Livability — Coos Bay
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #257
- US rank
- #17474
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Coos Bay, OR
- County
- Coos County · 27,621 people
- City population
- 27,621
- Metro
- Coos Bay, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,621
- Household income
- $61,574
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 799.0
Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,222 people
- By 2030
- 61,120 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 58,478 · -6.0%
- By 2050
- 56,819 · -8.7%
- By 2075
- 54,915 · -11.7%
- By 2100
- 51,403 · -17.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Coos
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.5% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.9 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+24.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+3.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -315.58%
- Current HPI
- 198.3249
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.65%
- Metro
- Coos Bay, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+59.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $95,000 RMLS
- 2018-11-30 Sold (MLS) $53,200 RMLS
- 2018-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $53,200 Public Records
- 2018-10-31 Pending — RMLS
- 2018-10-16 Listed $59,500 RMLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,704 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…