600 Linden Dr #303 · Arnolds Park, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$399,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention investors!! For the 1st time ever, Summerlake Hotel/Condos at Bridges Bay are for sale. Each unit consists of 3 separate rooms, and are considered a 3-room lockout unit. Excellent income potential!! Currently the onsite property management company is responsible for all of the bookings, maintenance, cleaning, etc. However, if you wish to purchase a unit for your own personal use, you may. This Lakeview unit will come fully furnished, turnkey so you or your renters can start enjoying Bridges Bay immediately. The SummerLake building is only a few years old, and the units show great. Financials available!! If you wish to stay in the property management program as a passive investment, you will receive 14 days of personal use annually. All you pay is a cleaning fee during your personal use time. Enjoy the same Bridges Bay amenities such as 6 daily passes to the indoor and outdoor water park, onsite fitness center, arcade, easy access to restaurants and easy access to docks. Some photos may not be of the actual unit for sale.
Key facts
- Lakeview unit
- Fully furnished
- Turnkey
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath condo listed at $399k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-28k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $38k (90.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (69.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $38k (90.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#140 in IA, #2,548 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Okoboji Community School District (town): math 78% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #40 of 289 in IA (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Okoboji Elementary School (math 82% / reading 67%, grade A, #131 of 616 statewide, top 27%, 533 students, 40% FRL); Okoboji Middle School (math 83% / reading 82%, grade A+, #16 of 246 statewide, top 8%, 346 students, 36% FRL); Okoboji High School (math 68% / reading 85%, grade A-, #73 of 336 statewide, top 22%, 365 students, 37% FRL).
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 295 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $43k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Dickinson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$69k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 339 days — a 12% lower offer ($351k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 58% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 339 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 90% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.31% ✗
- Cap rate
- -0.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- -25.37%
- DSCR
- -0.13
- GRM
- 27.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $618,799
- List price
- $399,000
- Delta
- -35.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $67,275
- Equity at exit
- $359,451
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.84×
- Total profit
- $317,134
- Equity at exit
- $775,169
Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51331
- Home prices YoY
- 10.3%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 27.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,233 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,092
- Tax from tax record
- −$365 /mo · $4,380/yr
- Insurance
- −$166
- HOA
- −$712
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $-2,362
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-2,136 | -5% $-2,249 | +0% $-2,362 | +5% $-2,474 | +10% $-2,587 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,459 | -5% $-2,410 | +0% $-2,362 | +5% $-2,313 | +10% $-2,264 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-2,161 | -0.5pp $-2,260 | base $-2,362 | +0.5pp $-2,465 | +1.0pp $-2,570 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,750
- Closing costs
- $11,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $712 · $8,544/yr
- Likely covers
- watergym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $399,000 Active 339 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $399,000 Active 338 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $399,000 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $399,000 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $399,000 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $399,000 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $399,000 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,000 Active 330 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $399,000 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $399,000 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $399,000 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $399,000 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $399,000 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $399,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $399,000 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $399,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $399,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $399,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2025-07-18$399,000 Active 1049-char remark
Show marketing remark (1049 chars)
Attention investors!! For the 1st time ever, Summerlake Hotel/Condos at Bridges Bay are for sale. Each unit consists of 3 separate rooms, and are considered a 3-room lockout unit. Excellent income potential!! Currently the onsite property management company is responsible for all of the bookings, maintenance, cleaning, etc. However, if you wish to purchase a unit for your own personal use, you may. This Lakeview unit will come fully furnished, turnkey so you or your renters can start enjoying Bridges Bay immediately. The SummerLake building is only a few years old, and the units show great. Financials available!! If you wish to stay in the property management program as a passive investment, you will receive 14 days of personal use annually. All you pay is a cleaning fee during your personal use time. Enjoy the same Bridges Bay amenities such as 6 daily passes to the indoor and outdoor water park, onsite fitness center, arcade, easy access to restaurants and easy access to docks. Some photos may not be of the actual unit for sale.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,380 · $365/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,322 · $444/mo
- Expected delta
- +$942/yr (+$79/mo · 21.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,797
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,350
- − Property taxes
- −$4,380
- − Insurance
- −$1,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,184
- − Management
- −$1,184
- − HOA
- −$8,544
- − Depreciation
- −$11,607
- Taxable loss
- −$36,447
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8,747
- After-tax cash flow
- $-19,591/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okoboji Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1900021
- Math proficiency
- 78% ▲ 8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 80% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,522
- Composite
- 66.88/100
- National rank
- #403
- State rank
- #40 of 289 in IA
Livability — Arnolds Park
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #2548
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Arnolds Park, IA
- City population
- 920
- Population (ZIP)
- 920
Population outlook (Dickinson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,133 people
- By 2030
- 18,610 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 19,456 · +7.3%
- By 2050
- 20,307 · +12.0%
- By 2075
- 23,155 · +27.7%
- By 2100
- 24,449 · +34.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Slovak 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dickinson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.0) · D 29.5% · R 69.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.4pp · 2024: -40.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.0 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+18.0 2008: R+5.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 19.42%
- Current HPI
- 207.79
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-07-18 Listed $399,000 Iowa Great Lakes BOR
Property tax history
-27.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,380 · -58.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…