355 Albert Ivy Ln · Parsons, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2.64 Acres & Small Pasture! Located just seconds from the small town of Parsons, this mobile home and acres are located on a quiet dead end street.
Key facts
- 2.64 acre lot
- Built 1987
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($845 rent vs $35k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#288 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Decatur County (rural): math 45% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #19 of 139 in TN (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Parsons Elementary (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #119 of 952 statewide, top 14%, 376 students, 0% FRL); Decatur County Middle School (math 48% / reading 28%, grade F, #51 of 333 statewide, top 16%, 426 students, 0% FRL); Riverside High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #104 of 332 statewide, top 33%, 460 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Decatur County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Decatur County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 56.09%
- DSCR
- 3.50
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 68.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.92×
- Total profit
- $48,229
- Equity at exit
- $31,531
- IRR
- 62.5%
- Equity multiple
- 13.15×
- Total profit
- $119,071
- Equity at exit
- $67,997
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38363
- Home prices YoY
- 9.8%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $845 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$12 /mo · $138/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$177
- Net cashflow
- $458
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $478 | -5% $468 | +0% $458 | +5% $448 | +10% $438 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $391 | -5% $425 | +0% $458 | +5% $491 | +10% $525 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $476 | -0.5pp $467 | base $458 | +0.5pp $449 | +1.0pp $440 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-02remarks 149-char remark
-
2026-06-02$35,000 Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $138 · $12/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $249 · $21/mo
- Expected delta
- +$111/yr (+$9/mo · 80.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,142
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$138
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$811
- − Management
- −$811
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $5,228
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,255
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,242/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Decatur County
- NCES district ID
- 4700960
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,877
- Composite
- 32.28/100
- National rank
- #5756
- State rank
- #19 of 139 in TN
Livability — Parsons
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #288
- US rank
- #20310
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 5,600
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,600
Population outlook (Decatur County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,311 people
- By 2030
- 10,995 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 10,268 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 9,512 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 7,988 · -29.4%
- By 2100
- 6,639 · -41.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Decatur
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+69.1) · D 15.0% · R 84.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.2pp · 2024: -69.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+69.1 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+58.7 2012: R+37.0 2008: R+32.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 27.34%
- Current HPI
- 305.7717
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $35,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-01 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-31 Delisted — Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
- 2026-05-30 Delisted — CWTAR
- 2026-05-30 Listed $35,000 CWTAR
- 2026-05-30 Listed $35,000 Memphis Area Association of Realtors(R) MLS
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $138 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…