5555 San Juan Dr · Baton Rouge, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Estate Sale Opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,529 sq. ft. of living space and is full of potential for an investor or a buyer ready to add their personal touch. The home features a spacious living room, dining room, large primary bedroom, double carport, and a generously sized fenced backyard. Located in a desirable neighborhood just minutes from Southern University, the Metro Airport, and easy Interstate access, this property offers convenience and value. The home does need a new roof and updating, and will qualify for Cash, Conventional, or FHA 203k financing only. Bring your vision and TLC to make this property shine again!
Key facts
- Dining room
- Fenced backyard
- Spacious living room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family detached residence; Residential property
- Construction: Wood siding, brick, and frame construction; Asbestos siding material present; Slab foundation; Built using composition roofing
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Composition roof; Lot approximately 0.26 acres (73.57 x 156.6)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Cooktop; Electric cooktop; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Range Hood
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $62 ($746/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (10.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $126k (10.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.3% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
- East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.90%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $140,100
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7024 Albatross Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,351 (-4%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $107 | 61 |
| 6421 D'juanna Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,467 (+5%) | 12mo | $242,000 | $165 | 58 |
| 5944 D'juanna Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-14%) | 9mo | $174,000 | $145 | 55 |
| 5581 Monarch Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,575 (+12%) | 0mo | $149,500 | $95 | 52 |
| 5553 Paige St | 0.37mi | 3/3.0 | 1,238 (-12%) | 13mo | $99,000 | $80 | 49 |
| 5525 Paige St | 0.37mi | 3/3.0 | 1,238 (-12%) | 13mo | $99,000 | $80 | 49 |
| 5535 Paige St | 0.37mi | 3/3.0 | 1,238 (-12%) | 13mo | $99,000 | $80 | 49 |
| 5515 Paige St | 0.37mi | 3/3.0 | 1,238 (-12%) | 13mo | $95,000 | $77 | 48 |
| 8815 Cedar Glen Dr | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,546 (+10%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $116 | 47 |
| 5284 Peerless St | 0.48mi | 3/3.0 | 1,238 (-12%) | 9mo | $130,000 | $105 | 47 |
| 6646 Hooper Rd | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,500 (+7%) | 11mo | $149,700 | $100 | 46 |
| 8652 Sharon Hills Blvd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,559 (+11%) | 14mo | $129,900 | $83 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-18,729
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-11,226
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70811
- Home prices YoY
- -30.8%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,256 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,649/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $62
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8210 Cypress Rd Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $920 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 5515 Paige St Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1238 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 4540 Crown Ave Unit 91 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 19d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4540 Crown Ave Unit 94 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,098 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4540 Crown Ave Unit 94 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4378 Dawson Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5115 Woodlawn Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1789 | $1,550 | $0.87 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4963 Greenwell St Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $140,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $140,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $140,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$140,000 Active
-
2024-09-22historical
-
2024-09-10price $150,000
-
2024-06-12price $167,500
-
2024-03-21$173,000 Active
-
2024-03-21$150,000
-
1981-10-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,649 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,649 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,070
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,649
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,206
- − Management
- −$1,206
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$1,605
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$385
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,131/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Baton Rouge Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,263
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7745
- State rank
- #47 of 98 in LA
Livability — Baton Rouge
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #4535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
- City population
- 351,868
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,154
- Household income
- $45,523
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 444.0
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 82% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.98%
- Current HPI
- 146.22
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-19.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $140,000 GBRMLS
- 2024-09-22 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2024-09-10 Price Changed $150,000 GBRMLS
- 2024-06-12 Price Changed $167,500 GBRMLS
- 2024-03-21 Listed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-03-21 Listed $173,000 GBRMLS
- 1981-10-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+21.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,649 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…