CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
5555 San Juan Dr
D Composite 43.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

5555 San Juan Dr · Baton Rouge, LA 70811
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,401 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1956 0.26 ac lot Est $140k · at est. ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Estate Sale Opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,529 sq. ft. of living space and is full of potential for an investor or a buyer ready to add their personal touch. The home features a spacious living room, dining room, large primary bedroom, double carport, and a generously sized fenced backyard. Located in a desirable neighborhood just minutes from Southern University, the Metro Airport, and easy Interstate access, this property offers convenience and value. The home does need a new roof and updating, and will qualify for Cash, Conventional, or FHA 203k financing only. Bring your vision and TLC to make this property shine again!

Key facts

  • Dining room
  • Fenced backyard
  • Spacious living room

Tags

SPACIOUS LIVING ROOMDINING ROOMFENCED BACKYARDDESIRABLE NEIGHBORHOODEASY INTERSTATE ACCESS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking; 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Wood siding, brick, and frame construction; Asbestos siding material present; Slab foundation; Built using composition roofing
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Composition roof; Lot approximately 0.26 acres (73.57 x 156.6)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Cooktop; Electric cooktop; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Range Hood
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $62 ($746/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (10.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (10.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.3% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
  • East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,582 (10.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.83%
Cash-on-cash
1.90%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$140,100
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7024 Albatross Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,351 (-4%) 1mo $145,000 $107 61
6421 D'juanna Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,467 (+5%) 12mo $242,000 $165 58
5944 D'juanna Dr 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-14%) 9mo $174,000 $145 55
5581 Monarch Ave 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,575 (+12%) 0mo $149,500 $95 52
5553 Paige St 0.37mi 3/3.0 1,238 (-12%) 13mo $99,000 $80 49
5525 Paige St 0.37mi 3/3.0 1,238 (-12%) 13mo $99,000 $80 49
5535 Paige St 0.37mi 3/3.0 1,238 (-12%) 13mo $99,000 $80 49
5515 Paige St 0.37mi 3/3.0 1,238 (-12%) 13mo $95,000 $77 48
8815 Cedar Glen Dr 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,546 (+10%) 3mo $180,000 $116 47
5284 Peerless St 0.48mi 3/3.0 1,238 (-12%) 9mo $130,000 $105 47
6646 Hooper Rd 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,500 (+7%) 11mo $149,700 $100 46
8652 Sharon Hills Blvd 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,559 (+11%) 14mo $129,900 $83 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.3%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-18,729
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-11,226
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70811

Home prices YoY
-30.8%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,256 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,649/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$62

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,177
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8210 Cypress Rd Baton Rouge, LA 1.0–2.0 1.0 765 $920 $1.20 14d 1 0.21mi
5515 Paige St Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 3.0 1238 $1,400 $1.13 14d 1 0.38mi
4540 Crown Ave Unit 91 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 19d 1 0.93mi
4540 Crown Ave Unit 94 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,098 $1.10 44d 1 0.93mi
4540 Crown Ave Unit 94 Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 23d 1 0.93mi
4378 Dawson Dr Baton Rouge, LA 4.0 2.0 1400 $1,600 $1.14 44d 1 1.34mi
5115 Woodlawn Ave Baton Rouge, LA 4.0 2.0 1789 $1,550 $0.87 14d 1 1.39mi
4963 Greenwell St Baton Rouge, LA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 23d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $140,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $140,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $140,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $140,000 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,000 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-05-26
    listed $140,000 Active
  17. 2024-09-22
    historical
  18. 2024-09-10
    price $150,000
  19. 2024-06-12
    price $167,500
  20. 2024-03-21
    listed $173,000 Active
  21. 2024-03-21
    listed $150,000
  22. 1981-10-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,649 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,649 · $137/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,070
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$1,649
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,206
− Management
−$1,206
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$1,605
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$385
After-tax cash flow
$1,131/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Baton Rouge Parish
NCES district ID
2200540
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$46,263
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7745
State rank
#47 of 98 in LA

Livability — Baton Rouge

Score
74/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#4535

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
City population
351,868
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
Population (ZIP)
12,154
Household income
$45,523
Rent vs Own
35.3% rent · 64.7% own
Severe rent burden
444.0

Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
464,810 people
By 2030
472,137 · +1.6%
By 2040
480,243 · +3.3%
By 2050
484,422 · +4.2%
By 2075
492,069 · +5.9%
By 2100
476,347 · +2.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 82% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge

2024 margin
D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.98%
Current HPI
146.22
Rent YoY
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $140,000 GBRMLS
  • 2024-09-22 Delisted GBRMLS
  • 2024-09-10 Price Changed $150,000 GBRMLS
  • 2024-06-12 Price Changed $167,500 GBRMLS
  • 2024-03-21 Listed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2024-03-21 Listed $173,000 GBRMLS
  • 1981-10-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+21.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,649 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…