3702 Palm Desert Ln #5428 · Oak Ridge, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NICE 1BED/1BATH CONDO IN CONVENIENT LOCATION NEAR SHOPPING, DINING, AND MAJOR HIGHWAYS. SPACIOUS FLOORPLAN AND PLENTY OF STORAGE. KITCHEN INCLUDES ALL APPLIANCES. ENJOY PEACEFUL POND VIEW FROM BACK PORCH. WALK-IN CLOSET. THIS HOME IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY!WELCOME!
Key facts
- Private balcony
- Community amenities
- Prime location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Condominium with land not included
- Financial info: Total annual HOA fees approximately $4,812; No lease restrictions indicated
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $401; Association covers pool, building maintenance, and grounds maintenance; Association: Sentry Management; Community amenities include pool, playground, community mailbox, deed restrictions, and sidewalks; Pets allowed (maximum ~50 lbs)
Exterior
- Parking: Parking details not provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; High-speed/ broadband internet available; Electricity available
- Home design: Residential condominium; 3-story building; Unit located on the 2nd floor; North-facing
- Construction: Stucco and frame construction; Shingle roof; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Balcony; Playground; Sidewalks; Sliding doors
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (unit on 2nd floor)
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $180 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#115 in FL, #1,768 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Millennia Gardens Elementary (math 20% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,061 of 2,144 statewide, top 96%, 873 students, 69% FRL); Lake Buena Vista High School (1,714 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Orange average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $21k; list at $110k implies a 435% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.03%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-11,038
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-12,953
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32839
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,700 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,664/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$401
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $180
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $243 | -5% $212 | +0% $180 | +5% $149 | +10% $118 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $46 | -5% $113 | +0% $180 | +5% $248 | +10% $315 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $236 | -0.5pp $208 | base $180 | +0.5pp $152 | +1.0pp $123 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5579 Pga Blvd Unit 524 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,900 | $1.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 322 1 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,770 | $1.73 | 9d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 311 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $2,100 | $1.94 | 16d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 322 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,770 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 310 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $2,100 | $1.94 | 9d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd #205 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,945 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 103 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 213 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,950 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 511 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $2,050 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 410 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $2,150 | $2.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 507 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,900 | $1.86 | 21d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 423 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $2,100 | $2.05 | 12d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 209 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,800 | $1.76 | 19d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd #216 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,780 | $1.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 223 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,900 | $1.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 503 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,800 | $2.40 | 9d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd #521 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $2,000 | $1.96 | 3d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 424 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,700 | $1.66 | 9d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 519 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,545 | $2.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 421 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,825 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 105 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,800 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 505 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,850 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 303 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5579 Millenia Park Blvd Unit 219 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,580 | $2.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5550 Pga Blvd Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,600 | $1.51 | 5d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3701 Castle Pines Ln Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,395 | $1.31 | 15d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 5538 P G a Blvd #5013 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,150 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 5592 Pga Blvd Unit 521 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,750 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5592 Pga Blvd Unit 304 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,750 | $1.71 | 5d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5526 Pga Blvd Apt 4932 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 947 | $1,425 | $1.50 | 9d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5587 millenia park Blvd #502 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $2,340 | $2.29 | 15d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5587 millenia park Blvd #510 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,800 | $1.76 | 21d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5587 millenia park Blvd #519 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 825 | $1,950 | $2.36 | 19d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5587 millenia park Blvd #409 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $2,380 | $2.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5587 millenia park Blvd Unit 403 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5587 millenia park Blvd Unit 504 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,645 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5587 millenia park Blvd #202 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $2,220 | $2.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5587 millenia park Blvd Unit 415 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 825 | $1,650 | $2.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5587 millenia park Blvd #209 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $2,350 | $2.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5587 millenia park Blvd Unit 424 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,800 | $1.76 | 3d | 1 | 0.19mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $401 · $4,812/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 14 events
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2026-06-13statusdays on market $110,000 Pending 64 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-05-14price $110,000
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2026-04-09$115,000 Active
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2010-03-19soldstatus $20,550 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
NICE 1BED/1BATH CONDO IN CONVENIENT LOCATION NEAR SHOPPING, DINING, AND MAJOR HIGHWAYS. SPACIOUS FLOORPLAN AND PLENTY OF STORAGE. KITCHEN INCLUDES ALL APPLIANCES. ENJOY PEACEFUL POND VIEW FROM BACK PORCH. WALK-IN CLOSET. THIS HOME IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY!WELCOME!
-
2009-12-29$19,900 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
NICE 1BED/1BATH CONDO IN CONVENIENT LOCATION NEAR SHOPPING, DINING, AND MAJOR HIGHWAYS. SPACIOUS FLOORPLAN AND PLENTY OF STORAGE. KITCHEN INCLUDES ALL APPLIANCES. ENJOY PEACEFUL POND VIEW FROM BACK PORCH. WALK-IN CLOSET. THIS HOME IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY!WELCOME!
-
2007-01-25soldstatus $281,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,664 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,664 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,398
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,664
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,632
- − Management
- −$1,632
- − HOA
- −$4,812
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $746
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$179
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,987/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Oak Ridge
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #115
- US rank
- #1768
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oak Ridge, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,242
- Household income
- $47,313
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5337.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 39% Black 35% Two or more races 17% White 16% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 2% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Estonian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 33% French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.65%
- Current HPI
- 357.4828
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.50%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-60.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Listed $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-19 Sold (MLS) $20,550 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-12-29 Listed $19,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $281,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,664 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…