181 Main St · Ashville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$50,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home has character and beauty through out!! A must see!! Well maintained, updated, open with extra storage spaces. Close to hunting and fishing streams!! Home is ready to move right in!!Finished basement can be a 4th. bedroom!!Heated garage, heated sunroom. All reasonable offers will be considered!!!! Family is downsizing!!
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1975
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Private well water
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Built area above grade: 1,428
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $726 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,364 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, employment B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Penn Cambria SD (town): math 29% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #304 of 539 in PA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($349 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.63%
- DSCR
- 3.74
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,308
- List price
- $50,500
- Delta
- -39.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 181 Main St | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,428 (0%) | 1mo | $49,500 | $35 | 99 |
| 104 Main St | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,361 (-5%) | 18mo | $154,900 | $114 | 64 |
| 169 Main St | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,620 (+13%) | 16mo | $30,000 | $19 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 68.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.03×
- Total profit
- $57,033
- Equity at exit
- $27,680
- IRR
- 66.3%
- Equity multiple
- 10.40×
- Total profit
- $132,902
- Equity at exit
- $47,014
Cash invested: $14,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16613
- Home prices YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,361 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$265
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$63 /mo · $758/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $726
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $761 | -5% $744 | +0% $726 | +5% $709 | +10% $691 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $619 | -5% $672 | +0% $726 | +5% $780 | +10% $834 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $752 | -0.5pp $739 | base $726 | +0.5pp $713 | +1.0pp $700 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,625
- Closing costs
- $1,515
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 603-char remark
-
2026-05-01$50,500 Active 603-char remark
-
2014-07-18soldstatus $140,000 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
This home has character and beauty through out!! A must see!! Well maintained, updated, open with extra storage spaces. Close to hunting and fishing streams!! Home is ready to move right in!!Finished basement can be a 4th. bedroom!!Heated garage, heated sunroom. All reasonable offers will be considered!!!! Family is downsizing!!
-
2014-07-18soldstatus $140,000
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
This home has character and beauty through out!! A must see!! Well maintained, updated, open with extra storage spaces. Close to hunting and fishing streams!! Home is ready to move right in!!Finished basement can be a 4th. bedroom!!Heated garage, heated sunroom. All reasonable offers will be considered!!!! Family is downsizing!!
-
2014-05-05$135,900 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
This home has character and beauty through out!! A must see!! Well maintained, updated, open with extra storage spaces. Close to hunting and fishing streams!! Home is ready to move right in!!Finished basement can be a 4th. bedroom!!Heated garage, heated sunroom. All reasonable offers will be considered!!!! Family is downsizing!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,333
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,829
- − Property taxes
- −$758
- − Insurance
- −$252
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,307
- − Management
- −$1,307
- − Depreciation
- −$1,469
- Taxable income
- $8,412
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,019
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,696/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Penn Cambria SD
- NCES district ID
- 4213770
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,952
- Composite
- 36.48/100
- National rank
- #4657
- State rank
- #304 of 539 in PA
Livability — Ashville
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #1364
- US rank
- #17001
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashville, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,574
Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,754 people
- By 2030
- 115,827 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 101,309 · -17.5%
- By 2050
- 88,379 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 65,237 · -46.9%
- By 2100
- 46,909 · -61.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cambria
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.69%
- Current HPI
- 113.5687
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-63.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) $49,500 AHARMLS
- 2026-05-08 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $50,500 AHARMLS
- 2014-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2014-07-18 Sold (MLS) $140,000 AHARMLS
- 2014-05-05 Listed $135,900 AHARMLS
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2026): $3,382 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…