804 4th St E · Scott City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2 bedroom 1 bath has lots of extra space for a house this size, including a small bonus room that could function as a 3rd bedroom or office. Pull in from the rear alley to a 2 car detached carport near the rear of this elevated lot and enjoy the privacy of a sparsely populated area in a small town. It needs some work but for this price range it has great potential!
Key facts
- Detached carport
- Bonus room
- Elevated lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#514 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Scott City R-I (town): math 30% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #193 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Scott City Elem. (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #910 of 1,115 statewide, top 83%, 270 students, 64% FRL); Scott City Middle (math 33% / reading 49%, grade F, #172 of 391 statewide, top 46%, 225 students, 60% FRL); Scott City High (math 42% / reading 54%, grade D, #151 of 521 statewide, top 29%, 260 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 123 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Scott County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $58k (49%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.35%
- DSCR
- 2.62
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $105,123
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- -43.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $22,638
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 39.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.66×
- Total profit
- $61,315
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63780
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,099 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$21 /mo · $255/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $508
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $542 | -5% $525 | +0% $508 | +5% $491 | +10% $474 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $421 | -5% $465 | +0% $508 | +5% $552 | +10% $595 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $538 | -0.5pp $523 | base $508 | +0.5pp $493 | +1.0pp $477 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 33 events
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2026-06-21days on market $59,900 Active 185 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $59,900 Active 183 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 182 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 179 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $59,900 Active 177 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $59,900 Active 176 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $67,500 Active 174 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $67,500 Active 173 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $67,500 Active 172 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $67,500 Active 171 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $67,500 Active 168 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $67,500 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $67,500 Active 165 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $67,500 Active 164 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $67,500 Active 163 DOM
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2026-05-04price $67,500 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
This 2 bedroom 1 bath has lots of extra space for a house this size, including a small bonus room that could function as a 3rd bedroom or office. Pull in from the rear alley to a 2 car detached carport near the rear of this elevated lot and enjoy the privacy of a sparsely populated area in a small town. It needs some work but for this price range it has great potential!
-
2026-03-24price $74,000 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
This 2 bedroom 1 bath has lots of extra space for a house this size, including a small bonus room that could function as a 3rd bedroom or office. Pull in from the rear alley to a 2 car detached carport near the rear of this elevated lot and enjoy the privacy of a sparsely populated area in a small town. It needs some work but for this price range it has great potential!
-
2026-02-13price $86,000 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
This 2 bedroom 1 bath has lots of extra space for a house this size, including a small bonus room that could function as a 3rd bedroom or office. Pull in from the rear alley to a 2 car detached carport near the rear of this elevated lot and enjoy the privacy of a sparsely populated area in a small town. It needs some work but for this price range it has great potential!
-
2026-01-23price $104,900 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
This 2 bedroom 1 bath has lots of extra space for a house this size, including a small bonus room that could function as a 3rd bedroom or office. Pull in from the rear alley to a 2 car detached carport near the rear of this elevated lot and enjoy the privacy of a sparsely populated area in a small town. It needs some work but for this price range it has great potential!
-
2025-12-19$117,500 Active 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
This 2 bedroom 1 bath has lots of extra space for a house this size, including a small bonus room that could function as a 3rd bedroom or office. Pull in from the rear alley to a 2 car detached carport near the rear of this elevated lot and enjoy the privacy of a sparsely populated area in a small town. It needs some work but for this price range it has great potential!
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2020-07-16soldstatus
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2020-07-15soldstatus Closed 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
This home is in a quiet neighborhood. Open concept kitchen with dining room, living room, full bath with walk in shower and main level laundry. Upstairs there are 2 bedrooms with 3rd. room that can be used as office. Dining room open concept 10x10. Dawn to dusk light in alley by Ameran UE $10 month. 4 car parking includes 2 car metal carport. Metal storage shed in back. Metal roof on house. Laundry room combined Breakfast room on main level.
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2020-06-01status Pending 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
This home is in a quiet neighborhood. Open concept kitchen with dining room, living room, full bath with walk in shower and main level laundry. Upstairs there are 2 bedrooms with 3rd. room that can be used as office. Dining room open concept 10x10. Dawn to dusk light in alley by Ameran UE $10 month. 4 car parking includes 2 car metal carport. Metal storage shed in back. Metal roof on house. Laundry room combined Breakfast room on main level.
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2020-03-06price $72,000 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
This home is in a quiet neighborhood. Open concept kitchen with dining room, living room, full bath with walk in shower and main level laundry. Upstairs there are 2 bedrooms with 3rd. room that can be used as office. Dining room open concept 10x10. Dawn to dusk light in alley by Ameran UE $10 month. 4 car parking includes 2 car metal carport. Metal storage shed in back. Metal roof on house. Laundry room combined Breakfast room on main level.
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2020-03-06status Active 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
This home is in a quiet neighborhood. Open concept kitchen with dining room, living room, full bath with walk in shower and main level laundry. Upstairs there are 2 bedrooms with 3rd. room that can be used as office. Dining room open concept 10x10. Dawn to dusk light in alley by Ameran UE $10 month. 4 car parking includes 2 car metal carport. Metal storage shed in back. Metal roof on house. Laundry room combined Breakfast room on main level.
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2020-02-26status Pending 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
This home is in a quiet neighborhood. Open concept kitchen with dining room, living room, full bath with walk in shower and main level laundry. Upstairs there are 2 bedrooms with 3rd. room that can be used as office. Dining room open concept 10x10. Dawn to dusk light in alley by Ameran UE $10 month. 4 car parking includes 2 car metal carport. Metal storage shed in back. Metal roof on house. Laundry room combined Breakfast room on main level.
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2020-01-23price $74,000 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
This home is in a quiet neighborhood. Open concept kitchen with dining room, living room, full bath with walk in shower and main level laundry. Upstairs there are 2 bedrooms with 3rd. room that can be used as office. Dining room open concept 10x10. Dawn to dusk light in alley by Ameran UE $10 month. 4 car parking includes 2 car metal carport. Metal storage shed in back. Metal roof on house. Laundry room combined Breakfast room on main level.
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2019-10-30$79,900 Active 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
This home is in a quiet neighborhood. Open concept kitchen with dining room, living room, full bath with walk in shower and main level laundry. Upstairs there are 2 bedrooms with 3rd. room that can be used as office. Dining room open concept 10x10. Dawn to dusk light in alley by Ameran UE $10 month. 4 car parking includes 2 car metal carport. Metal storage shed in back. Metal roof on house. Laundry room combined Breakfast room on main level.
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2019-09-27price $82,000
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2019-09-11price $84,900
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1998-04-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $255 · $21/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $581 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$326/yr (+$27/mo · 128.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,191
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$255
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,055
- − Management
- −$1,055
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $5,428
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,303
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,794/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scott City R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2915450
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,560
- Composite
- 31.27/100
- National rank
- #6021
- State rank
- #193 of 324 in MO
Livability — Scott City
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #514
- US rank
- #19568
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Scott City, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,155
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,964 people
- By 2030
- 36,963 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 34,632 · -8.8%
- By 2050
- 32,024 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 25,250 · -33.5%
- By 2100
- 18,078 · -52.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.9) · D 20.2% · R 79.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.4pp · 2024: -58.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.9 2020: R+56.5 2016: R+55.6 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.62%
- Current HPI
- 153.643
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-20.5% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $67,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $74,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $86,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $104,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-19 Listed $117,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-07-15 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-01 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-06 Price Changed $72,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-06 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-02-26 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-01-23 Price Changed $74,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-30 Listed $79,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-27 Price Changed $82,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-11 Price Changed $84,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-04-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $255 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…