400-402 Pitman Pl · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special! Prime corner building located in the highly sought-after Station North Arts District and Greenmount West neighborhood. This double-unit shell requires a full renovation and is ideally suited for a multi-family mixed-use development. The property is currently approved for 6 units, including 4 residential apartments and 2 ground-floor units. Much of the preliminary work is complete, allowing the next owner to focus on design and build-out. Documents available upon request. Projected annual income exceeds $100,000 once completed, making this an excellent long-term investment opportunity in a thriving area.
Key facts
- Approved for 6 units
- Double-unit shell
- 2 ground-floor units
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 8-bed/4.0-bath townhouse listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.7% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 134 active listings in the ZIP; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,498/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 1863% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (43%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.05%
- DSCR
- 3.45
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $296,101
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -66.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 E 21st St | 0.36mi | 7/2.0 (-1) | 2,200 (-12%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $73 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $59,668
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 55.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.80×
- Total profit
- $134,225
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21202
- Home prices YoY
- -8.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,498 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $1,283
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $99,900 Pending 155 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $99,900 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Investor special! Prime corner building located in the highly sought-after Station North Arts District and Greenmount West neighborhood. This double-unit shell requires a full renovation and is ideally suited for a multi-family mixed-use development. The property is currently approved for 6 units, including 4 residential apartments and 2 ground-floor units. Much of the preliminary work is complete, allowing the next owner to focus on design and build-out. Documents available upon request. Projected annual income exceeds $100,000 once completed, making this an excellent long-term investment opportunity in a thriving area.
-
2026-01-02$175,000 Active 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Investor special! Prime corner building located in the highly sought-after Station North Arts District and Greenmount West neighborhood. This double-unit shell requires a full renovation and is ideally suited for a multi-family mixed-use development. The property is currently approved for 6 units, including 4 residential apartments and 2 ground-floor units. Much of the preliminary work is complete, allowing the next owner to focus on design and build-out. Documents available upon request. Projected annual income exceeds $100,000 once completed, making this an excellent long-term investment opportunity in a thriving area.
-
2025-12-26historical
-
2025-12-26historical
-
2025-10-09price $250,000
-
2025-10-09price $250,000
-
2025-09-04price $299,000
-
2025-09-04price $299,000
-
2025-07-25price $315,000
-
2025-07-25price $315,000
-
2025-06-24status Active
-
2025-06-24status Active
-
2025-06-10historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-06-10historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-02-26price $325,000
-
2025-02-26price $325,000
-
2025-01-22price $350,000
-
2025-01-22price $350,000
-
2025-01-11price $365,000
-
2025-01-11price $365,000
-
2024-12-18price $370,000
-
2024-12-18price $370,000
-
2024-11-23price $375,000
-
2024-11-23price $375,000
-
2024-10-31price $395,000
-
2024-10-31price $395,000
-
2024-09-19price $430,000
-
2024-09-19price $430,000
-
2024-09-10price $450,000
-
2024-09-10price $450,000
-
2024-08-28$475,000 Active
-
2024-08-21status Active
-
2024-08-19$475,000 Active
-
2024-08-19historical
-
2021-01-07soldstatus $90,000
-
2017-11-17soldstatus $90,000
-
1981-12-10soldstatus $6,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,980
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,398
- − Management
- −$2,398
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $14,683
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,524
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,876/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,683
- Household income
- $59,377
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1863.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -25.44%
- Current HPI
- 291.3702
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.59%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+1565.0% since first listed37 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-02 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-26 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-26 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-04 Price Changed $299,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-04 Price Changed $299,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-25 Price Changed $315,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-25 Price Changed $315,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-24 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-24 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-10 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-10 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-02-26 Price Changed $325,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-02-26 Price Changed $325,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-22 Price Changed $350,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-22 Price Changed $350,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-11 Price Changed $365,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-11 Price Changed $365,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-12-18 Price Changed $370,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-12-18 Price Changed $370,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-23 Price Changed $375,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-23 Price Changed $375,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-10-31 Price Changed $395,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-10-31 Price Changed $395,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-09-19 Price Changed $430,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-09-19 Price Changed $430,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-09-10 Price Changed $450,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-09-10 Price Changed $450,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-08-28 Listed $475,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-08-21 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-08-19 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-08-19 Listed $475,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2017-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 1981-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-10.0%/yrLatest (2025): $117 · -96.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…