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400-402 Pitman Pl
B- Composite 67.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

400-402 Pitman Pl · Baltimore, MD 21202
8 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,500 sqft · Townhouse · 155 Days on market
Built 1920 4,356 sqft lot $40/sqft · 66% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special! Prime corner building located in the highly sought-after Station North Arts District and Greenmount West neighborhood. This double-unit shell requires a full renovation and is ideally suited for a multi-family mixed-use development. The property is currently approved for 6 units, including 4 residential apartments and 2 ground-floor units. Much of the preliminary work is complete, allowing the next owner to focus on design and build-out. Documents available upon request. Projected annual income exceeds $100,000 once completed, making this an excellent long-term investment opportunity in a thriving area.

Key facts

  • Approved for 6 units
  • Double-unit shell
  • 2 ground-floor units

Tags

DOUBLE-UNIT SHELLAPPROVED FOR 6 UNITS4 RESIDENTIAL APARTMENTS2 GROUND-FLOOR UNITSTHRIVING AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8-bed/4.0-bath townhouse listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.7% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 134 active listings in the ZIP; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,498/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 1863% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (43%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.50%
Cap rate
21.71%
Cash-on-cash
55.05%
DSCR
3.45
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$296,101
List price
$99,900
Delta
-66.26%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
705 E 21st St 0.36mi 7/2.0 (-1) 2,200 (-12%) 8mo $160,000 $73 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.6%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$59,668
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
55.0%
Equity multiple
5.80×
Total profit
$134,225
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21202

Home prices YoY
-8.0%
Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,498 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$525
Net cashflow
$1,283

Break-even live

Break-even rent $874
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 43 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $99,900 Pending 155 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 153 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 152 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 151 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 150 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 149 DOM
  7. 2026-05-06
    price $99,900 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Investor special! Prime corner building located in the highly sought-after Station North Arts District and Greenmount West neighborhood. This double-unit shell requires a full renovation and is ideally suited for a multi-family mixed-use development. The property is currently approved for 6 units, including 4 residential apartments and 2 ground-floor units. Much of the preliminary work is complete, allowing the next owner to focus on design and build-out. Documents available upon request. Projected annual income exceeds $100,000 once completed, making this an excellent long-term investment opportunity in a thriving area.

  8. 2026-01-02
    listed $175,000 Active 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Investor special! Prime corner building located in the highly sought-after Station North Arts District and Greenmount West neighborhood. This double-unit shell requires a full renovation and is ideally suited for a multi-family mixed-use development. The property is currently approved for 6 units, including 4 residential apartments and 2 ground-floor units. Much of the preliminary work is complete, allowing the next owner to focus on design and build-out. Documents available upon request. Projected annual income exceeds $100,000 once completed, making this an excellent long-term investment opportunity in a thriving area.

  9. 2025-12-26
    historical
  10. 2025-12-26
    historical
  11. 2025-10-09
    price $250,000
  12. 2025-10-09
    price $250,000
  13. 2025-09-04
    price $299,000
  14. 2025-09-04
    price $299,000
  15. 2025-07-25
    price $315,000
  16. 2025-07-25
    price $315,000
  17. 2025-06-24
    status Active
  18. 2025-06-24
    status Active
  19. 2025-06-10
    historical Active Under Contract
  20. 2025-06-10
    historical Active Under Contract
  21. 2025-02-26
    price $325,000
  22. 2025-02-26
    price $325,000
  23. 2025-01-22
    price $350,000
  24. 2025-01-22
    price $350,000
  25. 2025-01-11
    price $365,000
  26. 2025-01-11
    price $365,000
  27. 2024-12-18
    price $370,000
  28. 2024-12-18
    price $370,000
  29. 2024-11-23
    price $375,000
  30. 2024-11-23
    price $375,000
  31. 2024-10-31
    price $395,000
  32. 2024-10-31
    price $395,000
  33. 2024-09-19
    price $430,000
  34. 2024-09-19
    price $430,000
  35. 2024-09-10
    price $450,000
  36. 2024-09-10
    price $450,000
  37. 2024-08-28
    listed $475,000 Active
  38. 2024-08-21
    status Active
  39. 2024-08-19
    listed $475,000 Active
  40. 2024-08-19
    historical
  41. 2021-01-07
    soldstatus $90,000
  42. 2017-11-17
    soldstatus $90,000
  43. 1981-12-10
    soldstatus $6,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,980
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,498
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,398
− Management
−$2,398
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$14,683
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,524
After-tax cash flow
$11,876/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
20,683
Household income
$59,377
Rent vs Own
78.6% rent · 21.4% own
Severe rent burden
1863.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Black 52% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -25.44%
Current HPI
291.3702
Rent YoY
▲ 0.59%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1565.0% since first listed
37 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-02 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-26 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-26 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-09 Price Changed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-09 Price Changed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-04 Price Changed $299,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-04 Price Changed $299,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-25 Price Changed $315,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-25 Price Changed $315,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-24 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-24 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-10 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-10 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-26 Price Changed $325,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-26 Price Changed $325,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-01-22 Price Changed $350,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-01-22 Price Changed $350,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-01-11 Price Changed $365,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-01-11 Price Changed $365,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-12-18 Price Changed $370,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-12-18 Price Changed $370,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-23 Price Changed $375,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-23 Price Changed $375,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-10-31 Price Changed $395,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-10-31 Price Changed $395,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-09-19 Price Changed $430,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-09-19 Price Changed $430,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-09-10 Price Changed $450,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-09-10 Price Changed $450,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-08-28 Listed $475,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-08-21 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-08-19 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-08-19 Listed $475,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2017-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 1981-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-10.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $117 · -96.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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