606 Walker Ave · Graham, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity or ideal starter home! This long-term rental property offers loads of potential for investors or first-time buyers looking to make it their own. Featuring 2 bedrooms and 1 bath with ceramic tile, this home also includes Pergo laminate flooring throughout the living space. The roof was installed in 2024, adding peace of mind for future owners. Enjoy a spacious lot with a privacy-fenced backyard, perfect for outdoor living, pets, or gardening. Window air conditioning units, electric range and dishwasher have not been tested and are sold as-is. Fencing needs some repair. House being sold as-is. Affordable and full of possibilities—don’t miss this opportunity! Seller is a licensed NC Real Estate agent.
Key facts
- Spacious lot
- Ceramic tile
- Outdoor living
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed in Alamance County; Road frontage on a city street with public maintenance and asphalt surface
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; 2 open parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: One‑story house; Entry level: 1; Site built
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof; Built as a single‑family house
- Exterior features: Front porch; Fenced yard with privacy fencing; Private yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Free‑standing range; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Ceiling fan(s); Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Washer/dryer hookups located in a laundry closet in the kitchen; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.3% in Graham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#144 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Alamance-Burlington Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #133 of 178 in NC (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 400 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,466 units permitted in Alamance County in 2024 (403 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alamance County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $49k; list at $120k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.23%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $166,656
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 Moser St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 770 (+0%) | 9mo | $197,500 | $256 | 84 |
| 409 Moser St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 844 (+10%) | 5mo | $200,000 | $237 | 71 |
| 409 Walker Ave | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 830 (+8%) | 14mo | $180,000 | $217 | 67 |
| 507 Town Branch Rd | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+4%) | 17mo | $110,000 | $138 | 59 |
| 513 Kernodle Dr | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 855 (+11%) | 21mo | $125,000 | $146 | 55 |
| 202 Whitsett St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 747 (-3%) | 18mo | $90,000 | $120 | 53 |
| 102 Allen St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 877 (+14%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $228 | 50 |
| 514 Townbranch Rd | 0.41mi | 2/1.5 | 864 (+12%) | 14mo | $162,500 | $188 | 47 |
| 307 Oneida St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 873 (+14%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $160 | 42 |
| 216 Walker Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 656 (-15%) | 19mo | $170,000 | $259 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,026
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $18,370
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27253
- Home prices YoY
- -34.2%
- Active inventory
- 400
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,237 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $469/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $259
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $327 | -5% $293 | +0% $259 | +5% $225 | +10% $191 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $161 | -5% $210 | +0% $259 | +5% $307 | +10% $356 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $319 | -0.5pp $289 | base $259 | +0.5pp $227 | +1.0pp $196 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400 Walker Ave Graham, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 552 | $1,100 | $1.99 | 22d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 614 E Parker St Unit J Graham, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,125 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 632 New St Graham, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 22d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 212 College St Apt G Graham, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,125 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1013 Townbranch Rd Graham, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 840 | $1,175 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 511 Poplar St Unit C Graham, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,195 | $1.33 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 317 E Gilbreath St Unit 319 Graham, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,295 | $1.62 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2120 Waterside Cir Graham, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,475 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2310 Vantage Pt Graham, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $1,323 | $1.56 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Investment opportunity or ideal starter home! This long-term rental property offers loads of potential for investors or first-time buyers looking to make it their own. Featuring 2 bedrooms and 1 bath with ceramic tile, this home also includes Pergo laminate flooring throughout the living space. The roof was installed in 2024, adding peace of mind for future owners. Enjoy a spacious lot with a privacy-fenced backyard, perfect for outdoor living, pets, or gardening. Window air conditioning units, electric range and dishwasher have not been tested and are sold as-is. Fencing needs some repair. House being sold as-is. Affordable and full of possibilities—don’t miss this opportunity! Seller is a licensed NC Real Estate agent.
-
2026-05-18status Pending 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Investment opportunity or ideal starter home! This long-term rental property offers loads of potential for investors or first-time buyers looking to make it their own. Featuring 2 bedrooms and 1 bath with ceramic tile, this home also includes Pergo laminate flooring throughout the living space. The roof was installed in 2024, adding peace of mind for future owners. Enjoy a spacious lot with a privacy-fenced backyard, perfect for outdoor living, pets, or gardening. Window air conditioning units, electric range and dishwasher have not been tested and are sold as-is. Fencing needs some repair. House being sold as-is. Affordable and full of possibilities—don’t miss this opportunity! Seller is a licensed NC Real Estate agent.
-
2026-05-15$120,000 Active
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Investment opportunity or ideal starter home! This long-term rental property offers loads of potential for investors or first-time buyers looking to make it their own. Featuring 2 bedrooms and 1 bath with ceramic tile, this home also includes Pergo laminate flooring throughout the living space. The roof was installed in 2024, adding peace of mind for future owners. Enjoy a spacious lot with a privacy-fenced backyard, perfect for outdoor living, pets, or gardening. Window air conditioning units, electric range and dishwasher have not been tested and are sold as-is. Fencing needs some repair. House being sold as-is. Affordable and full of possibilities—don’t miss this opportunity! Seller is a licensed NC Real Estate agent.
-
2026-05-15$120,000 Active 743-char remark
Show marketing remark (743 chars)
Investment opportunity or ideal starter home! This long-term rental property offers loads of potential for investors or first-time buyers looking to make it their own. Featuring 2 bedrooms and 1 bath with ceramic tile, this home also includes Pergo laminate flooring throughout the living space. The roof was installed in 2024, adding peace of mind for future owners. Enjoy a spacious lot with a privacy-fenced backyard, perfect for outdoor living, pets, or gardening. Window air conditioning units, electric range and dishwasher have not been tested and are sold as-is. Fencing needs some repair. House being sold as-is. Affordable and full of possibilities—don’t miss this opportunity! Seller is a licensed NC Real Estate agent.
-
2004-05-14soldstatus $49,000
-
2004-04-22historical
-
2003-10-08$54,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $469 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $984 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$515/yr (+$43/mo · 109.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,840
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$469
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,187
- − Management
- −$1,187
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $1,184
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$284
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,819/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alamance-Burlington Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700030
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,359
- Composite
- 29.68/100
- National rank
- #6460
- State rank
- #133 of 178 in NC
Livability — Graham
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #144
- US rank
- #8181
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Graham, NC
- County
- Alamance County · 173,369 people
- City population
- 33,114
- Metro
- Burlington, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,114
- Household income
- $62,774
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 879.0
Population outlook (Alamance County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 173,381 people
- By 2030
- 180,609 · +4.2%
- By 2040
- 194,327 · +12.1%
- By 2050
- 206,158 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 235,665 · +35.9%
- By 2100
- 258,626 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 16% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Alamance
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.2) · D 45.4% · R 53.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -8.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.2 2020: R+8.4 2016: R+12.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.91%
- Current HPI
- 200.155
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Burlington, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+122.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — TMLS
- 2026-05-18 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $120,000 Triad MLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $120,000 TMLS
- 2004-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
- 2004-04-22 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2003-10-08 Listed $54,000 TMLS
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $469 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…