7351 Charles Loring Jr Rd · Panama City, FL 32404

$244,900

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,439 sqft · SingleFamily · 91 Days on market

Built 2026 Excellent condition 5,663 sqft lot $170/sqft · 12% below area Est $279k · 12% under ↓ 4% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +13.5/30.0
• ARV discount +12.9/15.0
• Condition / age +4.8/5.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• DSCR +4.1/10.0
• 1% rule +3.8/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.8/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Sutton Plan, one of our new plans at Liberty in Panama City, Florida. The Sutton is a spacious single-story home with 1,439 square feet of comfortable living. This beautiful home offers 4 bedrooms with 2 bathrooms, and a 1-car garage. As you enter the home, the foyer welcomes you with beautiful EVP flooring which spans throughout the home in the main areas and bathrooms. Right by the front door are the 3 guest bedrooms, a full bathroom, and down the hallway is the laundry room and storage area leading into the kitchen and living room. Each bedroom boasts plenty of space and sizeable closets for organization with soft carpet flooring. The kitchen is equipped with beautiful granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and beautiful white cabinetry. The pantry is located next to the laundry room across from the linen and coat closets. Natural light illuminates this main area for your family and friends to enjoy. The back yard features a back patio located by the primary bedroom and the dining area. The spacious primary bedroom features its own bathroom complete with granite countertops, a large walk-in closet, and a relaxing shower. Both bathrooms feature beautiful granite countertops and white cabinetry. In addition to all the features and amenities our Sutton plan offers, each is built with our Smart Home technology package, designed to bring the ease and convenience of life right to your fingertips. On the outside of this popular plan, you will see durable vinyl siding, a rear patio to enjoy the spacious back yard. Sidewalks line the neighborhood streets for you to enjoy the beautiful Florida weather. Our Liberty community features underground utilities making it less susceptible to damage from severe weather leading to fewer outages and more reliable service. Residents of Liberty can enjoy exclusive access to two amenity centers, complete with two pools, a children's splash pad, two playgrounds for endless fun, a well-equipped fitness center, two pickleball courts and a basketball court to name a few things. To learn more about this home for yourself, call us to get connected today!

Key facts

• Durable vinyl siding
• Walk-in closet
• Granite countertops

Tags

• GRANITE COUNTERTOPS
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• WHITE CABINETRY
• WALK-IN CLOSET
• SMART HOME TECHNOLOGY
• DURABLE VINYL SIDING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($104/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (12.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $215k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.7% in Panama City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#350 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 969 active listings in the ZIP; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $215,328 (12.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.88% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.34%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.15%
• DSCR: 1.01
• GRM: 9.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $278,642
• List price: $244,900
• Delta: -12.11%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 14 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7306 Charles Loring Jr Rd	0.00mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,443 (+0%)	4mo	$259,900	$180	91
7358 Charles Loring Jr Rd	0.00mi	4/2.0	1,504 (+4%)	2mo	$265,000	$176	91
7326 Charles Loring Jr Rd	0.00mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,281 (-11%)	3mo	$252,900	$197	74

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -18.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.37×
• Total profit: $-43,100
• Equity at exit: $36,515

10-year hold

• IRR: -14.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.23×
• Total profit: $-52,489
• Equity at exit: $21,174

Cash invested: $68,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32404

• Home prices YoY: -16.1%
• Rents YoY: 1.1%
• Active inventory: 969
• Price-to-rent: 9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,153 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,284
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$306 /mo · $3,674/yr
• Insurance: −$102
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$452
• Net cashflow: $9

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,142

Max offer price $244,900

Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $61,225
• Closing costs: $7,347
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-06-19
   statusdays on market $244,900 Active 91 DOM
2. 2026-04-30
   price $249,900 2139-char remark

   Show marketing remark (2139 chars)

   Welcome to the Sutton Plan, one of our new plans at Liberty in Panama City, Florida. The Sutton is a spacious single-story home with 1,439 square feet of comfortable living. This beautiful home offers 4 bedrooms with 2 bathrooms, and a 1-car garage. As you enter the home, the foyer welcomes you with beautiful EVP flooring which spans throughout the home in the main areas and bathrooms. Right by the front door are the 3 guest bedrooms, a full bathroom, and down the hallway is the laundry room and storage area leading into the kitchen and living room. Each bedroom boasts plenty of space and sizeable closets for organization with soft carpet flooring. The kitchen is equipped with beautiful granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and beautiful white cabinetry. The pantry is located next to the laundry room across from the linen and coat closets. Natural light illuminates this main area for your family and friends to enjoy. The back yard features a back patio located by the primary bedroom and the dining area. The spacious primary bedroom features its own bathroom complete with granite countertops, a large walk-in closet, and a relaxing shower. Both bathrooms feature beautiful granite countertops and white cabinetry. In addition to all the features and amenities our Sutton plan offers, each is built with our Smart Home technology package, designed to bring the ease and convenience of life right to your fingertips. On the outside of this popular plan, you will see durable vinyl siding, a rear patio to enjoy the spacious back yard. Sidewalks line the neighborhood streets for you to enjoy the beautiful Florida weather. Our Liberty community features underground utilities making it less susceptible to damage from severe weather leading to fewer outages and more reliable service. Residents of Liberty can enjoy exclusive access to two amenity centers, complete with two pools, a children's splash pad, two playgrounds for endless fun, a well-equipped fitness center, two pickleball courts and a basketball court to name a few things. To learn more about this home for yourself, call us to get connected today!

3. 2026-02-24
   listed $259,900 Active 2139-char remark

   Show marketing remark (2139 chars)

   Welcome to the Sutton Plan, one of our new plans at Liberty in Panama City, Florida. The Sutton is a spacious single-story home with 1,439 square feet of comfortable living. This beautiful home offers 4 bedrooms with 2 bathrooms, and a 1-car garage. As you enter the home, the foyer welcomes you with beautiful EVP flooring which spans throughout the home in the main areas and bathrooms. Right by the front door are the 3 guest bedrooms, a full bathroom, and down the hallway is the laundry room and storage area leading into the kitchen and living room. Each bedroom boasts plenty of space and sizeable closets for organization with soft carpet flooring. The kitchen is equipped with beautiful granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and beautiful white cabinetry. The pantry is located next to the laundry room across from the linen and coat closets. Natural light illuminates this main area for your family and friends to enjoy. The back yard features a back patio located by the primary bedroom and the dining area. The spacious primary bedroom features its own bathroom complete with granite countertops, a large walk-in closet, and a relaxing shower. Both bathrooms feature beautiful granite countertops and white cabinetry. In addition to all the features and amenities our Sutton plan offers, each is built with our Smart Home technology package, designed to bring the ease and convenience of life right to your fingertips. On the outside of this popular plan, you will see durable vinyl siding, a rear patio to enjoy the spacious back yard. Sidewalks line the neighborhood streets for you to enjoy the beautiful Florida weather. Our Liberty community features underground utilities making it less susceptible to damage from severe weather leading to fewer outages and more reliable service. Residents of Liberty can enjoy exclusive access to two amenity centers, complete with two pools, a children's splash pad, two playgrounds for endless fun, a well-equipped fitness center, two pickleball courts and a basketball court to name a few things. To learn more about this home for yourself, call us to get connected today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 17% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,839
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,718
• − Property taxes: −$3,674
• − Insurance: −$1,224
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,067
• − Management: −$2,067
• − Depreciation: −$7,124
• Taxable loss: −$4,036
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$969
• After-tax cash flow: $1,072/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This move-in-ready home in Liberty, Panama City, FL, offers a spacious layout with modern finishes and excellent curb appeal. It's in excellent condition with minimal maintenance required.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
• Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves durability and appearance
• Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
• Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves durability and appearance ↑
• Both New kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and appeal ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Bay
• NCES district ID: 1200090
• Math proficiency: 51% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $47,740
• Composite: 43.41/100
• National rank: #3014
• State rank: #29 of 73 in FL

Livability — Panama City

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #350
• US rank: #5823

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Bay County · 163,593 people
• City population: 91,445
• Metro: Panama City, FL
• Population (ZIP): 42,514
• Household income: $74,708
• Rent vs Own: 30.8% rent · 69.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1218.0

Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 206,264 people
• By 2030: 217,740 · +5.6%
• By 2040: 238,738 · +15.7%
• By 2050: 255,545 · +23.9%
• By 2075: 288,295 · +39.8%
• By 2100: 288,638 · +39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (69%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 69% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada, Vietnam, Mexico
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bay

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -50.59%
• Current HPI: 263.7178
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.12%
• Metro: Panama City, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-3.8% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-30 Price Changed $249,900 CPARMLS
• 2026-02-24 Listed $259,900 CPARMLS