610 Alpine Rd · Camden, TN 38320

$127,900

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured · 20 Days on market

Built 2015 Good condition 0.57 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.7/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.9/10.0
• 1% rule +5.7/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Perfect lake retreat or retirement home. Lots of parking for the boat and vehicles. Close to stirling access right across the water from Beaverdam marina. New flooring, HVAC and plumbing. City water and permitted septic in. Ready to move in and enjoy the summer.

Key facts

• Plumbing
• Lake retreat
• Hvac

Tags

• LAKE RETREAT
• LOTS OF PARKING
• CLOSE TO MARINA
• NEW FLOORING
• HVAC
• PLUMBING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $128k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $128k).
• Recommended offer: $126k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#133 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
• Benton County (town): math 31% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #66 of 139 in TN (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Camden Elementary (473 students, 0% FRL); Camden Jr High School (math 37% / reading 23%, grade F, #98 of 333 statewide, top 32%, 371 students, 0% FRL); Camden Central High School (math 8% / reading 37%, grade F, #156 of 332 statewide, top 49%, 521 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $884 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Benton County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $125,981 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.07% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.13%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.57%
• DSCR: 1.29
• GRM: 7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.77×
• Total profit: $-8,221
• Equity at exit: $19,070

10-year hold

• IRR: 3.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.25×
• Total profit: $9,001
• Equity at exit: $11,058

Cash invested: $35,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Tennessee: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 38320

• Home prices YoY: -6.5%
• Active inventory: 112
• Price-to-rent: 7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,367 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$671
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$160 /mo · $1,918/yr
• Insurance: −$53
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$287
• Net cashflow: $196

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,119

Max offer price $127,900

Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $284	-5% $240	+0% $196	+5% $152	+10% $108
Rent	-10% $88	-5% $142	+0% $196	+5% $250	+10% $304
Rate	-1.0pp $260	-0.5pp $229	base $196	+0.5pp $163	+1.0pp $129

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $31,975
• Closing costs: $3,837
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $127,900 Active 20 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $127,900 Active 18 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $127,900 Active 17 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $127,900 Active 16 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $127,900 Active 15 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $127,900 Active 13 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $127,900 Active 12 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $127,900 Active 9 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $127,900 Active 8 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $127,900 Active 7 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $127,900 Active 6 DOM
12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $127,900 Active 3 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $127,900 Active 2 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    remarks 262-char remark
15. 2026-06-01
    listed $127,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,404
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,164
• − Property taxes: −$1,918
• − Insurance: −$640
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,312
• − Management: −$1,312
• − Depreciation: −$3,721
• Taxable income: $336
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$81
• After-tax cash flow: $2,272/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates, including new flooring, HVAC, and paint. It's ready to move in and enjoy the summer, with potential for further improvements to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters.
• Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting and maintain its value.
• Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters. ↑
• Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting and maintain its value. ↑
• Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Benton County
• NCES district ID: 4700240
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 28% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $33,587
• Composite: 24.24/100
• National rank: #7722
• State rank: #66 of 139 in TN

Livability — Camden

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #133
• US rank: #12196

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 10,470

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 15,046 people
• By 2030: 14,425 · -4.1%
• By 2040: 13,296 · -11.6%
• By 2050: 12,298 · -18.3%
• By 2075: 10,347 · -31.2%
• By 2100: 8,594 · -42.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (91%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 91% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · China
• Languages at home: 99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+62.9) · D 18.1% · R 81.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -46.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.2pp · 2024: -62.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+62.9 2020: R+57.0 2016: R+51.3 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+16.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -16.25%
• Current HPI: 233.3477
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.78%
• F500 in state: 22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	3	$91B
▸Retail	3	$72B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$88B
▸Paper / Packaging	1	$19B
▸Insurance	1	$13B
▸Energy	1	$12B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-01 Listed $127,900 TVAR