506 Willis Ave · Ashland, WI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great project house that is in need of some tlc. Would make a good rental or starter home.
Key facts
- 6,970 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $388 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 3.5% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#37 in WI, #750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: schools C-, employment F.
- Ashland School District (town): math 16% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #325 of 342 in WI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ashland County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.71%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $15,052
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 30.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.69×
- Total profit
- $45,206
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54806
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,127 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$163 /mo · $1,956/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $388
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-03-06status Pending 90-char remark
Show marketing remark (90 chars)
Great project house that is in need of some tlc. Would make a good rental or starter home.
-
2026-03-06status Pending 90-char remark
Show marketing remark (90 chars)
Great project house that is in need of some tlc. Would make a good rental or starter home.
-
2026-03-03$60,000 Active 90-char remark
Show marketing remark (90 chars)
Great project house that is in need of some tlc. Would make a good rental or starter home.
-
2026-03-03$60,000 Active 90-char remark
Show marketing remark (90 chars)
Great project house that is in need of some tlc. Would make a good rental or starter home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,956 · $163/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,956 · $163/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,527
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$1,956
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,082
- − Management
- −$1,082
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $4,000
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$960
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,694/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ashland School District
- NCES district ID
- 5500510
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,114
- Composite
- 19.4/100
- National rank
- #8782
- State rank
- #325 of 342 in WI
Livability — Ashland
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #750
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashland, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,708
Population outlook (Ashland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,204 people
- By 2030
- 14,639 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 13,198 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 11,841 · -22.1%
- By 2075
- 9,755 · -35.8%
- By 2100
- 8,675 · -42.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Native American 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ashland
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 46.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.4pp toward R · 2008: 37.1pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+11.0 2016: D+8.9 2012: D+30.8 2008: D+37.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.11%
- Current HPI
- 168.3012
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Pending — LSAR
- 2026-03-06 Pending — SAAR
- 2026-03-03 Listed $60,000 SAAR
- 2026-03-03 Listed $60,000 LSAR
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,956 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…