808 Avoca St #23 · Sheridan, WY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $564 – $1,046
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Walking path
- Corner lot
- Vinyl plank flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public sewer (sewer connected)
- Home design: Mobile home (residential)
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s)
Interior
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $923 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.4% vs local median 2.4% in Sheridan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#7 in WY, #2,337 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, commute F.
- Sheridan County School District #2 (town): math 68% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #1 of 41 in WY (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 509 active listings in the ZIP; 309 units permitted in Sheridan County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sheridan County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.97%
- DSCR
- 3.71
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $89,250
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 808 Avoca Ave #18 | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-9%) | 0mo | $69,000 | $72 | 75 |
| 808 Avoca Ave #12 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (+10%) | 5mo | $39,999 | $35 | 73 |
| 808 Avoca Ave #15 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 924 (-12%) | 3mo | $79,000 | $85 | 71 |
| 808 Avoca Ave #25 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 924 (-12%) | 4mo | $74,500 | $81 | 70 |
| 1331 Emerson St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+10%) | 0mo | $424,000 | $368 | 69 |
| 261 E College Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 986 (-6%) | 5mo | $259,000 | $263 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.66×
- Total profit
- $48,314
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 64.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.49×
- Total profit
- $117,897
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Wyoming
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 82801
- Active inventory
- 509
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,736 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $974/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$365
- Net cashflow
- $923
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $968 | -5% $946 | +0% $923 | +5% $901 | +10% $878 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $786 | -5% $855 | +0% $923 | +5% $992 | +10% $1,060 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $956 | -0.5pp $940 | base $923 | +0.5pp $906 | +1.0pp $889 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $64,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $64,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $64,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-05$64,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,837
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$974
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,667
- − Management
- −$1,667
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $10,682
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,564
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,516/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates, making it move-in ready and suitable for both resale and rental markets. Minor improvements can further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more potential buyers/tenants.
- Both Upgrading lighting fixtures — Modern lighting can improve the home's ambiance and increase its value.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and value, especially for younger buyers/tenants.
- Both Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can improve the home's functionality and appeal, especially for younger buyers/tenants.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Upgrading lighting fixtures — Modern lighting can improve the home's ambiance and increase its value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and value, especially for younger buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can improve the home's functionality and appeal, especially for younger buyers/tenants. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sheridan County School District #2
- NCES district ID
- 5605695
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,902
- Composite
- 59.44/100
- National rank
- #923
- State rank
- #1 of 41 in WY
Livability — Sheridan
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #2337
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sheridan, WY
- County
- Sheridan County · 26,310 people
- City population
- 26,310
- Metro
- Sheridan, WY
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,310
- Household income
- $73,213
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 742.0
Population outlook (Sheridan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,048 people
- By 2030
- 32,834 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 33,843 · +5.6%
- By 2050
- 34,744 · +8.4%
- By 2075
- 37,231 · +16.2%
- By 2100
- 37,261 · +16.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Slovak 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sheridan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.1) · D 24.2% · R 74.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.9pp toward R · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -50.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.1 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+51.7 2012: R+46.8 2008: R+38.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.82%
- Current HPI
- 190.3135
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Sheridan, WY
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $64,900 SBORWY
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…