CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
808 Avoca St #23
A- Composite 81.39
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

808 Avoca St #23 · Sheridan, WY 82801
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,050 sqft · Manufactured · 16 Days on market
Built 1982 Good condition Est $89k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Walking path
  • Corner lot
  • Vinyl plank flooring

Tags

CORNER LOTMATURE TREESWALKING PATHVINYL PLANK FLOORINGTILED COUNTERTOPSTILE BACKSPLASH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer (sewer connected)
  • Home design: Mobile home (residential)
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $923 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.4% vs local median 2.4% in Sheridan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#7 in WY, #2,337 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, commute F.
  • Sheridan County School District #2 (town): math 68% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #1 of 41 in WY (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 509 active listings in the ZIP; 309 units permitted in Sheridan County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sheridan County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,926 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.68%
Cap rate
23.36%
Cash-on-cash
60.97%
DSCR
3.71
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,250
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
808 Avoca Ave #18 0.03mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (-9%) 0mo $69,000 $72 75
808 Avoca Ave #12 0.03mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,152 (+10%) 5mo $39,999 $35 73
808 Avoca Ave #15 0.03mi 2/2.0 (-1) 924 (-12%) 3mo $79,000 $85 71
808 Avoca Ave #25 0.03mi 2/2.0 (-1) 924 (-12%) 4mo $74,500 $81 70
1331 Emerson St 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,152 (+10%) 0mo $424,000 $368 69
261 E College Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 986 (-6%) 5mo $259,000 $263 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.8%
Equity multiple
3.66×
Total profit
$48,314
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
64.5%
Equity multiple
7.49×
Total profit
$117,897
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Wyoming
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.

ZIP-level market 82801

Active inventory
509
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,736 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $974/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$923

Break-even live

Break-even rent $568
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $968 -5% $946 +0% $923 +5% $901 +10% $878
Rent -10% $786 -5% $855 +0% $923 +5% $992 +10% $1,060
Rate -1.0pp $956 -0.5pp $940 base $923 +0.5pp $906 +1.0pp $889

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $64,900 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,900 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,900 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,900 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,900 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $64,900 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $64,900 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,900 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,900 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,900 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    listed $64,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,837
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$974
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,667
− Management
−$1,667
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$10,682
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,564
After-tax cash flow
$8,516/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates, making it move-in ready and suitable for both resale and rental markets. Minor improvements can further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Upgrading lighting fixtures — Modern lighting can improve the home's ambiance and increase its value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and value, especially for younger buyers/tenants.
  • Both Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can improve the home's functionality and appeal, especially for younger buyers/tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Upgrading lighting fixtures — Modern lighting can improve the home's ambiance and increase its value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and value, especially for younger buyers/tenants.
  • Both Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can improve the home's functionality and appeal, especially for younger buyers/tenants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sheridan County School District #2
NCES district ID
5605695
Math proficiency
68% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$50,902
Composite
59.44/100
National rank
#923
State rank
#1 of 41 in WY

Livability — Sheridan

Score
79/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#2337

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sheridan, WY
County
Sheridan County · 26,310 people
City population
26,310
Metro
Sheridan, WY
Population (ZIP)
26,310
Household income
$73,213
Rent vs Own
31.4% rent · 68.6% own
Severe rent burden
742.0

Population outlook (Sheridan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
32,048 people
By 2030
32,834 · +2.5%
By 2040
33,843 · +5.6%
By 2050
34,744 · +8.4%
By 2075
37,231 · +16.2%
By 2100
37,261 · +16.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Slovak 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Sheridan

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.1) · D 24.2% · R 74.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-11.9pp toward R · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -50.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.1 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+51.7 2012: R+46.8 2008: R+38.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -194.82%
Current HPI
190.3135
Rent YoY
Metro
Sheridan, WY
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $64,900 SBORWY

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…