111 W Apache St · Wickenburg, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$255,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR SPECIAL: Three-bedroom, two-bath slump-block home positioned on a spacious corner lot with strong investment potential. The layout offers functional living space with room to update and add value. Exterior features include a two-car carport and dedicated storage area. Major systems have already been addressed: the roof was replaced in 2025, and the HVAC system was updated approximately eight years ago. With solid construction, key improvements completed, and ample space, this property is well-suited for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize and build equity.
Key facts
- Corner lot
- Roof replaced
- Hvac system updated
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $267 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (12.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $223k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.0% in Wickenburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#41 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Wickenburg Unified District (4236) (rural): math 33% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 249 in AZ (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 379 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($247k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.49%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $299,917
- List price
- $255,000
- Delta
- -14.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 W Yavapai St | 0.12mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,327 (-2%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $226 | 82 |
| 60 W Monte Cristo Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,333 (-2%) | 1mo | $352,000 | $264 | 80 |
| 640 E Desert Canyon Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,374 (+2%) | 1mo | $353,000 | $257 | 75 |
| 433 N Oxbow Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (+9%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $170 | 67 |
| 745 N Don Frank Ln | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,389 (+3%) | 1mo | $327,000 | $235 | 65 |
| 25 W Monte Cristo Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (-11%) | 2mo | $349,000 | $290 | 61 |
| 70 Cottonwood Ln | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (-11%) | 0mo | $340,000 | $282 | 60 |
| 40 Cottonwood Ln | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (-11%) | 1mo | $353,500 | $294 | 59 |
| 785 N Don Frank Ln | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,240 (-8%) | 2mo | $316,000 | $255 | 53 |
| 230 Cottonwood Ln | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,547 (+14%) | 2mo | $477,635 | $309 | 52 |
| 690 W Mclean Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,551 (+14%) | 3mo | $367,500 | $237 | 39 |
| 660 N Madison St | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,156 (-15%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $238 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-24,425
- Equity at exit
- $38,021
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $119
- Equity at exit
- $22,048
Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85390
- Home prices YoY
- -17.4%
- Active inventory
- 379
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,226 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $569/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$467
- Net cashflow
- $267
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $412 | -5% $340 | +0% $267 | +5% $195 | +10% $123 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $92 | -5% $179 | +0% $267 | +5% $355 | +10% $443 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $396 | -0.5pp $332 | base $267 | +0.5pp $201 | +1.0pp $134 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,750
- Closing costs
- $7,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70 W Monte Cristo Dr Wickenburg, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1338 | $3,000 | $2.24 | 2d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 70 W Monte Cristo Dr Wickenburg, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1338 | $3,000 | $2.24 | 11d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 18 W Monte Cristo Dr Wickenburg, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1338 | $2,100 | $1.57 | 20d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 600 Desert Canyon Rd Wickenburg, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 40 Cottonwood Ln Wickenburg, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 0d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 600 El Recreo Ct Wickenburg, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 600 El Recreo Ct Wickenburg, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 0d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 900 W Hermosa Dr Wickenburg, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1737 | $3,000 | $1.73 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1 Northridge Cir Wickenburg, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 54 Northridge Cir Unit 1 Wickenburg, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 5d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 54 Northridge Cir Wickenburg, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1227 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 6d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 54 Northridge Cir Wickenburg, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1227 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 18d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 737 Dylan Ct Wickenburg, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1542 | $1,750 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 741 Dylan Ct Wickenburg, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $1,645 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 736 Dylan Ct Wickenburg, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1543 | $1,750 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 757 Dylan Ct Wickenburg, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $1,585 | $1.23 | 6d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 640 Atchison Cir Wickenburg, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1611 | $3,500 | $2.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 560 Penn Ln Wickenburg, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1051 | $1,675 | $1.59 | 0d | 6 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $255,000 Pending 56 DOM
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2026-06-16statusdays on market $255,000 Pending 24 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $255,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 56 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $255,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 54 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $255,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 53 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $255,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 50 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $255,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 49 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $255,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 48 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $255,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 45 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $255,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 44 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $255,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 43 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $255,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 42 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $255,000 Under Contract Accepting Backups 41 DOM
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2026-05-15status Pending 587-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL: Three-bedroom, two-bath slump-block home positioned on a spacious corner lot with strong investment potential. The layout offers functional living space with room to update and add value. Exterior features include a two-car carport and dedicated storage area. Major systems have already been addressed: the roof was replaced in 2025, and the HVAC system was updated approximately eight years ago. With solid construction, key improvements completed, and ample space, this property is well-suited for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize and build equity.
-
2026-05-15historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL: Three-bedroom, two-bath slump-block home positioned on a spacious corner lot with strong investment potential. The layout offers functional living space with room to update and add value. Exterior features include a two-car carport and dedicated storage area. Major systems have already been addressed: the roof was replaced in 2025, and the HVAC system was updated approximately eight years ago. With solid construction, key improvements completed, and ample space, this property is well-suited for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize and build equity.
-
2026-05-06price $255,000 587-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL: Three-bedroom, two-bath slump-block home positioned on a spacious corner lot with strong investment potential. The layout offers functional living space with room to update and add value. Exterior features include a two-car carport and dedicated storage area. Major systems have already been addressed: the roof was replaced in 2025, and the HVAC system was updated approximately eight years ago. With solid construction, key improvements completed, and ample space, this property is well-suited for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize and build equity.
-
2026-05-06price $255,000 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL: Three-bedroom, two-bath slump-block home positioned on a spacious corner lot with strong investment potential. The layout offers functional living space with room to update and add value. Exterior features include a two-car carport and dedicated storage area. Major systems have already been addressed: the roof was replaced in 2025, and the HVAC system was updated approximately eight years ago. With solid construction, key improvements completed, and ample space, this property is well-suited for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize and build equity.
-
2026-04-29price $275,000 587-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL: Three-bedroom, two-bath slump-block home positioned on a spacious corner lot with strong investment potential. The layout offers functional living space with room to update and add value. Exterior features include a two-car carport and dedicated storage area. Major systems have already been addressed: the roof was replaced in 2025, and the HVAC system was updated approximately eight years ago. With solid construction, key improvements completed, and ample space, this property is well-suited for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize and build equity.
-
2026-04-29price $275,000 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL: Three-bedroom, two-bath slump-block home positioned on a spacious corner lot with strong investment potential. The layout offers functional living space with room to update and add value. Exterior features include a two-car carport and dedicated storage area. Major systems have already been addressed: the roof was replaced in 2025, and the HVAC system was updated approximately eight years ago. With solid construction, key improvements completed, and ample space, this property is well-suited for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize and build equity.
-
2026-04-21$295,000 Active 587-char remark
Show marketing remark (587 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL: Three-bedroom, two-bath slump-block home positioned on a spacious corner lot with strong investment potential. The layout offers functional living space with room to update and add value. Exterior features include a two-car carport and dedicated storage area. Major systems have already been addressed: the roof was replaced in 2025, and the HVAC system was updated approximately eight years ago. With solid construction, key improvements completed, and ample space, this property is well-suited for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize and build equity.
-
2026-04-20$295,000 Active 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL: Three-bedroom, two-bath slump-block home positioned on a spacious corner lot with strong investment potential. The layout offers functional living space with room to update and add value. Exterior features include a two-car carport and dedicated storage area. Major systems have already been addressed: the roof was replaced in 2025, and the HVAC system was updated approximately eight years ago. With solid construction, key improvements completed, and ample space, this property is well-suited for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize and build equity.
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1995-03-17soldstatus $6,200,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $569 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,683 · $140/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,114/yr (+$93/mo · 195.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,708
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,284
- − Property taxes
- −$569
- − Insurance
- −$1,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,137
- − Management
- −$2,137
- − Depreciation
- −$7,418
- Taxable loss
- −$1,111
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$267
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,475/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wickenburg Unified District (4236)
- NCES district ID
- 0409190
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,369
- Composite
- 29.27/100
- National rank
- #6560
- State rank
- #92 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Wickenburg
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #7975
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wickenburg, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 10,298
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,298
- Household income
- $68,591
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 251.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.26%
- Current HPI
- 314.3169
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
-95.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $255,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $255,000 ARMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $275,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $275,000 ARMLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $295,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Listed $295,000 ARMLS
- 1995-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $6,200,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $569 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…