230 N 2nd St #36 · Berthoud, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
$0 BUYER CLOSING AGENT COSTS for all contracts accepted by 4/30/26! Experience the perfect blend of small-town serenity and modern luxury in this stunning, brand-new family retreat. Designed for effortless entertaining, the open-concept floor plan features a gourmet kitchen anchored by a massive social island and a dedicated custom coffee bar. The main living area boasts a designer-crafted custom accent wall, adding a sophisticated, high-end touch to this move-in-ready home. The exterior is equally impressive, situated on a spacious lot featuring a heavy-duty, oversized shed-ideal for a professional workshop, hobby studio, or premium storage. Located in a highly sought-after community, you
Key facts
- Massive island
- Spacious yard
- Heavy-duty shed
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No designated parking features listed
- Utilities: City water (meter installed); Public sewer; Natural gas available (Xcel); Electricity available; Cable available; Satellite available; High-speed internet available; Community trash service
- Home design: Manufactured in park (mobile home); Built by Champion, model Embrace
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition siding; Composition roof; Under carriage: HUD
- Exterior features: Deck; Land lease; Storage structure; Evergreen trees; Level lot; Paved; Asphalt road surface; City street frontage; Minimal flood or C flood plain rating; Level lot accessibility; Stall shower (accessibility feature)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Cathedral ceilings; Open floorplan; Kitchen island; Window coverings; Fire alarm
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.1% vs local median 3.2% in Berthoud — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#100 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Thompson School District R-2J (suburban): math 28% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #28 of 86 in CO (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Berthoud Early Childhood (30 students, 23% FRL); Berthoud High School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #115 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 691 students, 15% FRL).
- Market conditions: 357 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.43%
- DSCR
- 3.20
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $73,984
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230 N 2nd St #83 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-3%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $52 | 93 |
| 230 N 2nd St #4 | 0.02mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,056 (-3%) | 13mo | $49,000 | $46 | 76 |
| 230 N 2nd St N #80 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-12%) | 0mo | $82,000 | $85 | 74 |
| 235 N 2nd St #17 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+12%) | 2mo | $83,000 | $68 | 73 |
| 230 N 2nd St #7 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 924 (-15%) | 6mo | $66,999 | $73 | 69 |
| 230 N 2nd St #50 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+12%) | 12mo | $70,000 | $58 | 69 |
| 227 N 2nd St #20 | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-12%) | 3mo | $72,000 | $75 | 65 |
| 230 N 2nd St #9 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-12%) | 18mo | $84,000 | $88 | 60 |
| 230 N 2nd St #10 | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 980 (-10%) | 18mo | $52,000 | $53 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $65,822
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- 52.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.16×
- Total profit
- $166,159
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80513
- Active inventory
- 357
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,683 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,724/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$563
- Net cashflow
- $1,325
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,405 | -5% $1,365 | +0% $1,325 | +5% $1,285 | +10% $1,246 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,113 | -5% $1,219 | +0% $1,325 | +5% $1,431 | +10% $1,537 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,383 | -0.5pp $1,354 | base $1,325 | +0.5pp $1,295 | +1.0pp $1,265 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1155 Summit Vista Dr Berthoud, CO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1377 | $2,650 | $1.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $114,900 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,900 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $114,900 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,900 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$114,900 Active 167 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,190
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$1,724
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,575
- − Management
- −$2,575
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $14,963
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,591
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,311/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This move-in-ready manufactured home offers a modern and well-maintained interior with a good condition exterior. It's located in a desirable community and would benefit from some landscaping and exterior painting to further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both Painting exterior — refreshes the home's appearance
- Both Landscaping around the shed — improves the overall aesthetic and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Painting exterior — refreshes the home's appearance ↑
- Both Landscaping around the shed — improves the overall aesthetic and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thompson School District R-2J
- NCES district ID
- 0805400
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,040
- Composite
- 34.01/100
- National rank
- #5313
- State rank
- #28 of 86 in CO
Livability — Berthoud
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #100
- US rank
- #8538
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berthoud, CO
- County
- Larimer County · 338,255 people
- City population
- 18,271
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,271
- Household income
- $126,726
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 55.0
Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,361 people
- By 2030
- 457,762 · +10.2%
- By 2040
- 542,310 · +30.6%
- By 2050
- 627,048 · +51.0%
- By 2075
- 833,722 · +100.7%
- By 2100
- 952,590 · +129.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Larimer
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -411.30%
- Current HPI
- 260.0027
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-11.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Price Changed $114,900 IRES
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $119,900 IRES
- 2025-12-22 Listed $129,900 IRES
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…