115 Reynolds Ln · Vidor, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great home on a large lot. Updated paint throughout, large kitchen-dining combo, spacious bedrooms, huge fenced back yard, and covered patio for easy entertaining. This is a great home for any young family.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Garage
- Listed 7 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Located in the Reynolds subdivision
- Construction: Brick veneer construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.26-acre lot (approximately 96 x 120)
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Storage structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Range
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Pantry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 4.6% in Vidor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#576 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Vidor ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #422 of 826 in TX (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 242 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 235 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.44%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $176,040
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 Reynolds Ln | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,522 (+4%) | 11mo | $182,500 | $120 | 81 |
| 570 Moreland St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,458 (-1%) | 2mo | $229,000 | $157 | 72 |
| 276 Pineburr St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,463 (-0%) | 2mo | $254,900 | $174 | 70 |
| 105 Butler Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,410 (-4%) | 2mo | $238,000 | $169 | 64 |
| 265 Beach St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (-11%) | 7mo | $132,900 | $102 | 63 |
| 515 W Park St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-3%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $85 | 61 |
| 390 W Park St | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,390 (-5%) | 12mo | $169,000 | $122 | 50 |
| 1018 Hickory St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (-6%) | 16mo | $148,199 | $108 | 46 |
| 345 Byrd St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (-12%) | 10mo | $146,000 | $114 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $12,160
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $46,387
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77662
- Active inventory
- 242
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,564 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$267 /mo · $3,204/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $431
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $485 | -5% $458 | +0% $431 | +5% $404 | +10% $377 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $307 | -5% $369 | +0% $431 | +5% $493 | +10% $554 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $479 | -0.5pp $455 | base $431 | +0.5pp $406 | +1.0pp $381 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 290 Beach St Vidor, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 15d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 575 Moreland St Vidor, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1418 | $1,395 | $0.98 | 15d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 315 N Dwayne Cir Vidor, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $1,600 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 475 S Denver St Vidor, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $925 | $1.02 | 45d | 2 | 0.85mi |
| 475 S Denver St Unit St216 Vidor, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $850 | $0.97 | 15d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-09status $95,000 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 532-char remark
-
2026-06-02$95,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,204 · $267/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,204 · $267/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,769
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$3,204
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,502
- − Management
- −$1,502
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $4,002
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$960
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,210/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vidor ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844160
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,169
- Composite
- 33.95/100
- National rank
- #5331
- State rank
- #422 of 826 in TX
Livability — Vidor
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #576
- US rank
- #11001
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vidor, TX
- County
- Orange County · 87,112 people
- City population
- 25,041
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,041
- Household income
- $72,243
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 401.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 88,065 people
- By 2030
- 89,591 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 91,982 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 93,023 · +5.6%
- By 2075
- 94,871 · +7.7%
- By 2100
- 88,155 · +0.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.4% · R 83.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.6pp toward R · 2008: -47.1pp · 2024: -66.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+54.3 2008: R+47.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.46%
- Current HPI
- 141.0844
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+5.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $95,000 BBOR
- 2014-06-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-06-04 Sold (MLS) — BBOR
- 2014-04-07 Listed $89,900 BBOR
- 2012-07-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,204 · -11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…