26 Cromwell St · Providence, RI 02906

$530,000

6 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,352 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 2022 3,520 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +17.6/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +5.5/10.0
• 1% rule +4.8/10.0
• Rent growth +4.4/5.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

~ All information recorded in the MLS is intended to be accurate but cannot be guaranteed. Buyer/buyer's agent advised to verify with all the appropriate departments and taking their own measurements. ~

Key facts

• 3,520 sq ft lot
• Built 2022

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $530k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $206/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $522k (1.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $522k (1.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.2% in Providence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in RI, #794 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F.
• Providence (urban): math 8% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #34 of 39 in RI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 145 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $5,216/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($103k/yr) (locally 1567% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $148k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $521,600 (1.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.98% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.23%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.34%
• DSCR: 1.15
• GRM: 8.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.46% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.76×
• Total profit: $-35,024
• Equity at exit: $79,025

10-year hold

• IRR: 8.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.77×
• Total profit: $113,849
• Equity at exit: $45,825

Cash invested: $148,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 31 Tenant-Leaning
• State Rhode Island: 31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

30-day notice; strong tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 02906

• Rents YoY: 7.5%
• Active inventory: 145
• Price-to-rent: 16.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $5,216 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,779
• Tax from tax record: −$708 /mo · $8,491/yr
• Insurance: −$221
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,095
• Net cashflow: $413

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,693

Max offer price $530,000

Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $713	-5% $563	+0% $413	+5% $263	+10% $113
Rent	-10% $1	-5% $207	+0% $413	+5% $619	+10% $825
Rate	-1.0pp $680	-0.5pp $548	base $413	+0.5pp $276	+1.0pp $136

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	3	2	$5,216
Total (2 units)			$5,216

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $132,500
• Closing costs: $15,900
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2023-01-25
   soldstatus $530,000
2. 2022-12-30
   status Pending
3. 2022-12-29
   listed $530,000 Active
4. 2021-06-14
   listed $59,900 Active
5. 2020-10-09
   soldstatus $155,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast RI · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $8,491 · $708/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $8,565 · $714/mo
• Expected delta: +$74/yr (+$6/mo · 0.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $62,592
• − Mortgage interest: −$29,688
• − Property taxes: −$8,491
• − Insurance: −$2,650
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$5,007
• − Management: −$5,007
• − Depreciation: −$15,418
• Taxable loss: −$3,670
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$881
• After-tax cash flow: $5,835/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Providence
• NCES district ID: 4400900
• Math proficiency: 8% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 16% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $38,197
• Composite: 10.12/100
• National rank: #9803
• State rank: #34 of 39 in RI

Livability — Providence

• Score: 84/100
• State rank: #2
• US rank: #794

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Providence, RI
• County: Providence County · 548,917 people
• City population: 212,734
• Metro: Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
• Population (ZIP): 26,380
• Household income: $103,050
• Rent vs Own: 48.5% rent · 51.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 1567.0

Population outlook (Providence County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 653,469 people
• By 2030: 660,819 · +1.1%
• By 2040: 672,747 · +3.0%
• By 2050: 683,741 · +4.6%
• By 2075: 720,435 · +10.2%
• By 2100: 741,582 · +13.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 72% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Black 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 6% Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4%
• Foreign-born: 17% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 80% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Spanish 5% Chinese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Providence

• 2024 margin: D (+14.4) · D 56.1% · R 41.7% · Other 2.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.4pp · 2024: 14.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+14.4 2020: D+22.9 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -792.46%
• Current HPI: 355.3795
• Rent YoY: ▲ 7.46%
• Metro: Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.25%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$373B
▸Food Distribution	1	$31B
▸Aerospace / Defense	1	$14B
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$4B

Price history

+241.9% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2023-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $530,000 Public Records
• 2022-12-30 Pending — RIS
• 2022-12-29 Listed $530,000 RIS
• 2021-06-14 Listed $59,900 RIS
• 2020-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+20.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,491 · +23.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.