16228 SW Two Wood Way N #1 · Indiantown, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$132,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Brand new 2026 home - The Belmont - featuring stylish, modern finishes throughout. Interior highlights include a walk-in closet, den, crown molding, stainless steel appliances, dedicated laundry room, and luxury plank flooring. Exterior features include a shed with electricity, screened-in porch, double tandem carport, and completed professional landscaping. This beautifully finished home is move-in ready and designed for comfort, functionality, and curb appeal.
Key facts
- Screened-in porch
- Walk-in closet
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $133k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $927 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $133k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 10.9% in Indiantown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#829 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($919 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
- Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.88%
- DSCR
- 2.33
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $23,450
- List price
- $132,900
- Delta
- 466.74%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14621 SW Divot Dr Unit A-17 | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,456 (-4%) | 2mo | $25,000 | $17 | 85 |
| 16222 SW Five Wood Way | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,456 (-4%) | 1mo | $1,000 | $1 | 83 |
| 16227 SW Two Wood Way | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,600 (+6%) | 7mo | $7,000 | $4 | 83 |
| 15957 Indianwood Circle Cir | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,568 (+4%) | 6mo | $26,000 | $17 | 83 |
| 14581 Divot Dr SW | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,456 (-4%) | 4mo | $32,000 | $22 | 82 |
| 16241 SW Sw Five Wood Way Unit J-15 | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,456 (-4%) | 2mo | $20,000 | $14 | 81 |
| 14473 SW Rake Dr | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,456 (-4%) | 6mo | $10,000 | $7 | 79 |
| 16446 SW Three Wood Way | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,456 (-4%) | 5mo | $20,000 | $14 | 78 |
| 14389 SW Sand Wedge Dr | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,456 (-4%) | 2mo | $34,000 | $23 | 76 |
| 16456 SW Three Wood Way | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,680 (+11%) | 4mo | $29,000 | $17 | 67 |
| 16477 SW Two Wood Way Way SW | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,680 (+11%) | 6mo | $28,000 | $17 | 65 |
| 16112 SW Indianwood Cir | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 | 1,712 (+13%) | 3mo | $32,500 | $19 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.76×
- Total profit
- $102,625
- Equity at exit
- $89,077
- IRR
- 38.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.84×
- Total profit
- $254,558
- Equity at exit
- $166,540
Cash invested: $37,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34956
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,336 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$697
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$166 /mo · $1,994/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$490
- Net cashflow
- $927
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,225
- Closing costs
- $3,987
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15817 SW Winter Rd Indiantown, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $2,300 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 15760 SW Hammock Way Indiantown, FL | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 1918 | $2,420 | $1.26 | 1d | 41 | 1.06mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $132,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $132,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $132,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $132,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $132,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $132,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $132,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $132,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $132,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $132,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $132,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $132,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $132,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $132,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $132,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-03-14$132,900 Active 466-char remark
Show marketing remark (466 chars)
Brand new 2026 home - The Belmont - featuring stylish, modern finishes throughout. Interior highlights include a walk-in closet, den, crown molding, stainless steel appliances, dedicated laundry room, and luxury plank flooring. Exterior features include a shed with electricity, screened-in porch, double tandem carport, and completed professional landscaping. This beautifully finished home is move-in ready and designed for comfort, functionality, and curb appeal.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,027
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,444
- − Property taxes
- −$1,994
- − Insurance
- −$664
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,242
- − Management
- −$2,242
- − Depreciation
- −$3,866
- Taxable income
- $9,574
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,298
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,822/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This move-in ready manufactured home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and professional landscaping, making it an attractive investment.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can add value
- Both Install smart home features — Improves comfort and can attract tech-savvy buyers
- Both Add smart thermostat — Saves energy and can attract eco-conscious buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can add value ↑
- Both Install smart home features — Improves comfort and can attract tech-savvy buyers ↑
- Both Add smart thermostat — Saves energy and can attract eco-conscious buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin
- NCES district ID
- 1201290
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,482
- Composite
- 45.1/100
- National rank
- #2690
- State rank
- #24 of 73 in FL
Livability — Indiantown
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #829
- US rank
- #20298
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indiantown, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,639
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 172,383 people
- By 2030
- 180,192 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 194,114 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 204,992 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 229,641 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 232,146 · +34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% Black 24% White 24% Two or more races 16% Native American 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 42%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.65%
- Current HPI
- 561.896
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-14 Listed $132,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…