🌊 Lakefront
4470 Narraganset Trl Unit 90A · Bee Ridge, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy the best view in Tippecanoe from this beautifully maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo overlooking the lake. Features include granite countertops, an open-concept layout, and a screened-in patio ideal for enjoying the scenery year-round. A perfect blend of comfort, style, and waterfront living.
Key facts
- Screened-in patio
- Waterfront living
- $435 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unit is unfurnished
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $435; total annual fees $5,220; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Homeowners association managed by PRMI (Premium Resource Mgmt Inc); Monthly condo fee of $435 (includes cable TV, pool, insurance, maintenance, management, pest control, private road, sewer, trash, water and more); Clubhouse and community pool; Buyer approval required; Senior community; pets not allowed; Association approval required
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned covered parking; 1-car carport
- Utilities: Private well water; Private sewer; Cable connected; Water connected
- Home design: Residential condominium; 2 total stories; unit on 2nd floor; East-facing
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built as part of a multi-story building (building number 4470)
- Exterior features: Covered, enclosed and screened patio/porch options; Front porch; Patio; Balcony; Exterior storage; Near golf course; Paved lot; Asphalt road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Ice maker; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Thermostat; Tinted windows; Ice maker
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry area in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $159 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#370 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 159 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $53k; list at $199k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.43%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-28,550
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-36,707
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34233
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 159
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,270 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $867/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$435
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $159
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $435 · $5,220/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 299-char remark
-
2026-06-07$199,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $867 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,652 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- +$784/yr (+$65/mo · 90.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,239
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$867
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,179
- − Management
- −$2,179
- − HOA
- −$5,220
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable loss
- −$1,138
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$273
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,187/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sarasota
- NCES district ID
- 1201680
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,167
- Composite
- 53.68/100
- National rank
- #1428
- State rank
- #7 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bee Ridge
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #370
- US rank
- #6494
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bee Ridge, FL
- County
- Sarasota County · 448,376 people
- City population
- 18,875
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,123
- Household income
- $75,394
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 653.0
Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 452,380 people
- By 2030
- 474,175 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 511,577 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 541,467 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 604,947 · +33.7%
- By 2100
- 621,965 · +37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -281.79%
- Current HPI
- 258.6836
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.35%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+298.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $199,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1990-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 1984-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $867 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…