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4972 Lanett Dr
D+ Composite 47.35
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.9/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,900

4972 Lanett Dr · Bellview, FL 32526
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,768 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1975 0.27 ac lot Est $271k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

VERY WELL MAINTAINED HOME. X-LARGE BREAKFAST BAR. STONE FIREPLACE IN FAMILY ROOM. NEW COVERED PATIO INSIDE PRIVACY FENCED CORNER LOT. FORMAL LIVING AND FAMILY ROOMS. LOTS OF CLOSETS. SIDEWALKS. SPRINKLER IS NOT WORKING, SOLD "AS IS". VERY LOVABLE HOME. KITCHEN IS CENTER OF HOME.

Key facts

  • Breakfast nook
  • Community park
  • Covered patio

Tags

CORNER LOTWOOD BURNING FIREPLACESTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESBREAKFAST NOOKCOVERED PATIOCOMMUNITY PARK

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association; If applicable, association fees listed annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with one covered/garage space; Oversized garage with side entrance and garage door opener; One total parking space
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Copper wiring; Cable available; Paved county-maintained road
  • Home design: One-story home; Resale property; Not attached to another property; Homestead eligible; Shingle, gable and hip roof
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Back yard with privacy fencing; Corner lot; Central access; Interior lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Laminate counters; Pantry; Built-in microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Energy Star qualified dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor; All bedrooms on the first floor
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Central heat and air; Heat pump (Energy Star qualified); Fireplace(s); Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Baseboards; Ceiling fans; High-speed internet; Storm windows; Blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry with washer/dryer hookups; Electric water heater; Energy Star qualified water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $101 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (19.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.2% in Bellview — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#561 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Bellview Elementary School (math 28% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,854 of 2,144 statewide, top 87%, 545 students, 75% FRL); Bellview Middle School (math 17% / reading 23%, grade F, #558 of 571 statewide, top 98%, 992 students, 76% FRL); Pine Forest High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #494 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 1,870 students, 62% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Escambia average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 421 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $127k; list at $250k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $201,661 (19.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.78%
Cash-on-cash
1.74%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$270,504
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5800 Avondale Rd 0.47mi 4/2.0 1,700 (-4%) 1mo $110,000 $65 71
5686 Ventura Ln 0.27mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,824 (+3%) 7mo $260,000 $143 71
5940 Muldoon Rd 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,684 (-5%) 3mo $273,000 $162 67
4655 Kimberly Dr 0.47mi 4/2.0 1,850 (+5%) 5mo $270,000 $146 67
5687 Nicholas Ln 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,863 (+5%) 4mo $155,000 $83 57
5000 Stevendale Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,699 (-4%) 6mo $225,000 $132 55
5630 Ferndale Ct 0.37mi 4/2.0 1,512 (-14%) 9mo $235,000 $155 51
5224 Westwind Cir 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,595 (-10%) 2mo $289,000 $181 49
5233 Westwind Cir 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,550 (-12%) 1mo $237,500 $153 47
6044 Champion Oaks Dr 0.52mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (-14%) 1mo $200,000 $132 46
6041 Champion Oaks Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,555 (-12%) 8mo $255,000 $164 45
5030 Stevendale Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,539 (-13%) 5mo $260,000 $169 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-31,223
Equity at exit
$37,261
10-year hold
IRR
-1.4%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-6,987
Equity at exit
$21,607

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32526

Home prices YoY
-28.3%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
421
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,017 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $924/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$423
Net cashflow
$101

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,888
Max offer price $249,900
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $243 -5% $172 +0% $101 +5% $31 +10% $-40
Rent -10% $-58 -5% $22 +0% $101 +5% $181 +10% $261
Rate -1.0pp $227 -0.5pp $165 base $101 +0.5pp $37 +1.0pp $-29

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4856 Genevive Ct Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1900 $1,850 $0.97 15d 1 0.17mi
6077 Royal Port Ct Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.5 1542 $1,775 $1.15 25d 1 0.62mi
6081 Royal Port Ct Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.5 1428 $1,850 $1.30 25d 1 0.62mi
5217 Saufley Field Rd Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.5 1817 $1,895 $1.04 25d 1 0.63mi
5184 Regalo Dr Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1504 $1,900 $1.26 25d 1 0.63mi
3230 Palmdale Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 25d 1 0.75mi
6225 Mobile Hwy Pensacola, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1036 $2,595 $2.50 15d 15 0.87mi
6379 Mers Ln Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.5 1811 $1,900 $1.05 23d 1 1.02mi
5519 Lexlee Blvd Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.5 1543 $1,850 $1.20 25d 1 1.05mi
5604 Scotland Ter Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1231 $1,600 $1.30 15d 1 1.17mi
5172 Zachary Blvd Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1803 $1,900 $1.05 25d 1 1.34mi
1860 Broyhill Ln Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1561 $1,600 $1.02 25d 1 1.36mi
2702 Massachusetts Ave Pensacola, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1150 $1,745 $1.52 15d 9 1.38mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $249,900 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,900 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,900 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,900 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,900 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $249,900 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $249,900 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,900 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,900 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,900 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,900 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,900 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,900 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,900 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,900 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    status Active
  17. 2026-05-12
    historical
  18. 2026-04-14
    listed $249,900 Active
  19. 2005-01-06
    soldstatus $126,900
  20. 2003-12-11
    soldstatus $98,900
  21. 2003-11-25
    soldstatus $98,900 291-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    VERY WELL MAINTAINED HOME. X-LARGE BREAKFAST BAR. STONE FIREPLACE IN FAMILY ROOM. NEW COVERED PATIO INSIDE PRIVACY FENCED CORNER LOT. FORMAL LIVING AND FAMILY ROOMS. LOTS OF CLOSETS. SIDEWALKS. SPRINKLER IS NOT WORKING, SOLD "AS IS". VERY LOVABLE HOME. KITCHEN IS CENTER OF HOME.

  22. 2003-08-18
    listed $99,900 291-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    VERY WELL MAINTAINED HOME. X-LARGE BREAKFAST BAR. STONE FIREPLACE IN FAMILY ROOM. NEW COVERED PATIO INSIDE PRIVACY FENCED CORNER LOT. FORMAL LIVING AND FAMILY ROOMS. LOTS OF CLOSETS. SIDEWALKS. SPRINKLER IS NOT WORKING, SOLD "AS IS". VERY LOVABLE HOME. KITCHEN IS CENTER OF HOME.

  23. 1996-02-27
    soldstatus $85,000
  24. 1975-01-01
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$924 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,074 · $173/mo
Expected delta
+$1,150/yr (+$96/mo · 124.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,199
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$924
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,936
− Management
−$1,936
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable loss
−$3,114
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$747
After-tax cash flow
$1,965/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — Bellview

Score
67/100
State rank
#561
US rank
#10731

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bellview, FL
County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
44,680
Household income
$75,098
Rent vs Own
23.8% rent · 76.2% own
Severe rent burden
1166.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Black 19% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.68%
Current HPI
252.6406
Rent YoY
▲ 4.42%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+614.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $249,900 PARMLS
  • 2005-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $126,900 Public Records
  • 2003-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $98,900 Public Records
  • 2003-11-25 Sold (MLS) $98,900 PARMLS
  • 2003-08-18 Listed $99,900 PARMLS
  • 1996-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 1975-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $924 · +21.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…