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827 Ingersoll
B- Composite 69.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.9/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,500

827 Ingersoll · Ottumwa, IA 52501
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 592 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1910 0.34 ac lot Est $57k · at est. ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled on a quiet street along the south edge of town, this charming and budget-friendly home offers the perfect chance to trade renting for owning. Featuring two bedrooms and one bath, the home is impeccably maintained and completely move-in ready. With its peaceful setting and affordable price, it’s an ideal option for comfortable, easy living. Contact a Realtor today to schedule your private showing!

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • Built 1910
  • Listed 53 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $376 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($954 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 5.7% in Ottumwa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#91 in IA, #1,900 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, employment D-.
  • Ottumwa Community School District (town): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #277 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 44 units permitted in Wapello County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $411 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wapello County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,715 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
13.88%
Cash-on-cash
27.10%
DSCR
2.21
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$57,424
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
827 Ingersoll 0.00mi 2/1.0 592 (0%) 1mo $57,000 $96 99
719 Sharon Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 616 (+4%) 18mo $60,000 $97 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$14,313
Equity at exit
$8,872
10-year hold
IRR
29.2%
Equity multiple
3.60×
Total profit
$43,291
Equity at exit
$5,144

Cash invested: $16,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52501

Active inventory
192
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$954 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$312
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $490/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$376

Break-even live

Break-even rent $478
Max offer price $59,500
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $410 -5% $393 +0% $376 +5% $359 +10% $343
Rent -10% $301 -5% $339 +0% $376 +5% $414 +10% $452
Rate -1.0pp $406 -0.5pp $391 base $376 +0.5pp $361 +1.0pp $345

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,875
Closing costs
$1,785
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-21
    historical Active Under Contract
  4. 2026-04-03
    status Active
  5. 2026-03-12
    historical Active Under Contract
  6. 2026-03-02
    listed $59,500 Active
  7. 2026-01-20
    price $59,500
  8. 2025-12-04
    price $65,000
  9. 2025-08-12
    listed $69,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$490 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$712 · $59/mo
Expected delta
+$222/yr (+$19/mo · 45.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,451
− Mortgage interest
−$3,333
− Property taxes
−$490
− Insurance
−$298
− Repairs & maintenance
−$916
− Management
−$916
− Depreciation
−$1,731
Taxable income
$3,767
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$904
After-tax cash flow
$3,610/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ottumwa Community School District
NCES district ID
1922110
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$39,864
Composite
43.46/100
National rank
#3004
State rank
#277 of 289 in IA

Livability — Ottumwa

Score
80/100
State rank
#91
US rank
#1900

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ottumwa, IA
Population (ZIP)
30,341

Population outlook (Wapello County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,472 people
By 2030
35,563 · +0.3%
By 2040
36,083 · +1.7%
By 2050
37,287 · +5.1%
By 2075
43,898 · +23.8%
By 2100
52,973 · +49.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Black 4% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wapello

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.6% · R 65.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-45.0pp toward R · 2008: 13.5pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+20.8 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -94.66%
Current HPI
174.6021
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending IAR
  • 2026-04-22 Relisted IAR
  • 2026-04-21 Contingent IAR
  • 2026-04-03 Relisted IAR
  • 2026-03-12 Contingent IAR
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $59,500 IAR
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $59,500 IAR
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $65,000 IAR
  • 2025-08-12 Listed $69,000 IAR

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $490 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…