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912 River St
B Composite 70.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.6/15.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

912 River St · Iowa Falls, IA 50126
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,256 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 82 Days on market
Built 1918 8,712 sqft lot $39/sqft · 36% below area Est $103k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Why rent when you can own? This affordable 4-bedroom home offers space, functionality, and incredible value. With generous bedroom sizes, a practical layout, and room to grow, this home is perfect for anyone needing extra space without stretching the budget. Enjoy a comfortable living area, abundant natural light, and upstairs and main level bath, and a yard ready for summer evenings. Affordable, move-in ready, and full of potential — don’t miss this opportunity. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Built 1918
  • Listed 82 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.8% in Iowa Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#172 in IA, #3,097 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Iowa Falls Community School District (town): math 62% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #184 of 289 in IA (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Hardin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hardin County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $29k; list at $89k implies a 207% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,660 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.54%
Cash-on-cash
11.58%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$102,982
List price
$89,000
Delta
-13.58%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
226 Elm 0.41mi 2/2.0 2,288 (+1%) 14mo $152,000 $66 63
112 Mildred Ave 0.35mi 3/1.5 (+1) 2,170 (-4%) 12mo $157,500 $73 60
216 Washington Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,284 (+1%) 13mo $163,900 $72 52
452 Lincoln Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,480 (+10%) 7mo $180,500 $73 48
420 School St 0.49mi 3/3.0 (+1) 2,117 (-6%) 12mo $237,000 $112 44
500 Lincoln Ave 0.45mi 3/3.0 (+1) 2,096 (-7%) 19mo $475,000 $227 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$906
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
1.82×
Total profit
$20,558
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50126

Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,074 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,248/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$240

Break-even live

Break-even rent $769
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 508-char remark
    Show marketing remark (508 chars)

    Why rent when you can own? This affordable 4-bedroom home offers space, functionality, and incredible value. With generous bedroom sizes, a practical layout, and room to grow, this home is perfect for anyone needing extra space without stretching the budget. Enjoy a comfortable living area, abundant natural light, and upstairs and main level bath, and a yard ready for summer evenings. Affordable, move-in ready, and full of potential — don’t miss this opportunity. Schedule your showing today!

  2. 2026-03-21
    price $89,000 508-char remark
    Show marketing remark (508 chars)

    Why rent when you can own? This affordable 4-bedroom home offers space, functionality, and incredible value. With generous bedroom sizes, a practical layout, and room to grow, this home is perfect for anyone needing extra space without stretching the budget. Enjoy a comfortable living area, abundant natural light, and upstairs and main level bath, and a yard ready for summer evenings. Affordable, move-in ready, and full of potential — don’t miss this opportunity. Schedule your showing today!

  3. 2026-02-18
    listed $98,000 Active 508-char remark
    Show marketing remark (508 chars)

    Why rent when you can own? This affordable 4-bedroom home offers space, functionality, and incredible value. With generous bedroom sizes, a practical layout, and room to grow, this home is perfect for anyone needing extra space without stretching the budget. Enjoy a comfortable living area, abundant natural light, and upstairs and main level bath, and a yard ready for summer evenings. Affordable, move-in ready, and full of potential — don’t miss this opportunity. Schedule your showing today!

  4. 2024-04-08
    historical
  5. 2024-03-21
    listed
  6. 2013-05-03
    soldstatus $29,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,248 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,323 · $110/mo
Expected delta
+$75/yr (+$6/mo · 6.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,885
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,248
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,031
− Management
−$1,031
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$1,556
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$373
After-tax cash flow
$2,512/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Iowa Falls Community School District
NCES district ID
1914730
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$46,696
Composite
56.12/100
National rank
#1182
State rank
#184 of 289 in IA

Livability — Iowa Falls

Score
77/100
State rank
#172
US rank
#3097

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Iowa Falls, IA
City population
6,362
Population (ZIP)
6,362

Population outlook (Hardin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,474 people
By 2030
17,369 · -0.6%
By 2040
17,018 · -2.6%
By 2050
16,454 · -5.8%
By 2075
14,665 · -16.1%
By 2100
12,404 · -29.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Hardin

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.4) · D 30.3% · R 68.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-39.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -38.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.4 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.54%
Current HPI
146.3741
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+206.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending IAR
  • 2026-03-21 Price Changed $89,000 IAR
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $98,000 IAR
  • 2024-04-08 Rental Removed RENT.
  • 2024-03-21 Listed for Rent RENT.
  • 2013-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,248 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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