750 Hughes St · Muscle Shoals, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$162,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LOOKING FOR A 4BR HOME IN THE COUNTRY? CHECK OUT THIS 4BR/2BA HOME SITUATED ON A 1 ACRE LOT AT THE END OF A DEAD END STREET. THIS HOME FEATURES AN EAT IN KITCHEN W/ WHITE CABINETS, LIVING ROOM W/ WOOD LAMINATE FLOORING, A DEN W/ CLOSET THAT COULD BE USED AS A 5TH BEDROOM, & A LG BACK DECK OVERLOOKING A LEVEL BACKYARD. ALL INFORMATION IS DEEMED RELIABLE, BUT TO VERIFIED BY PURCHASER.
Key facts
- New flooring
- New kitchen cabinets
- 1 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: 1,500 above-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Approximately 123.89 x 352 lot dimensions; Approximately 1 acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: 9 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $162k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $134 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (2.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $159k (2.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.8% in Muscle Shoals — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#68 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Colbert County (rural): math 13% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #90 of 129 in AL (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Colbert County High School (math 5% / reading 32%, grade F, #184 of 305 statewide, top 61%, 455 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 59% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 254 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Colbert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Colbert County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $162k implies a 196% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.53%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $200,954
- List price
- $162,500
- Delta
- -19.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-17,775
- Equity at exit
- $24,229
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-4,394
- Equity at exit
- $14,050
Cash invested: $45,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35661
- Active inventory
- 254
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,591 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$852
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$203 /mo · $2,438/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $134
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $246 | -5% $190 | +0% $134 | +5% $78 | +10% $22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $8 | -5% $71 | +0% $134 | +5% $197 | +10% $260 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $216 | -0.5pp $175 | base $134 | +0.5pp $92 | +1.0pp $49 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,625
- Closing costs
- $4,875
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-07$162,500 Active 193-char remark
-
2016-06-30soldstatus $54,900
-
2016-06-28soldstatus $54,900
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
LOOKING FOR A 4BR HOME IN THE COUNTRY? CHECK OUT THIS 4BR/2BA HOME SITUATED ON A 1 ACRE LOT AT THE END OF A DEAD END STREET. THIS HOME FEATURES AN EAT IN KITCHEN W/ WHITE CABINETS, LIVING ROOM W/ WOOD LAMINATE FLOORING, A DEN W/ CLOSET THAT COULD BE USED AS A 5TH BEDROOM, & A LG BACK DECK OVERLOOKING A LEVEL BACKYARD. ALL INFORMATION IS DEEMED RELIABLE, BUT TO VERIFIED BY PURCHASER.
-
2015-10-21$59,900
-
2015-05-03$54,900
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
LOOKING FOR A 4BR HOME IN THE COUNTRY? CHECK OUT THIS 4BR/2BA HOME SITUATED ON A 1 ACRE LOT AT THE END OF A DEAD END STREET. THIS HOME FEATURES AN EAT IN KITCHEN W/ WHITE CABINETS, LIVING ROOM W/ WOOD LAMINATE FLOORING, A DEN W/ CLOSET THAT COULD BE USED AS A 5TH BEDROOM, & A LG BACK DECK OVERLOOKING A LEVEL BACKYARD. ALL INFORMATION IS DEEMED RELIABLE, BUT TO VERIFIED BY PURCHASER.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,093
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,103
- − Property taxes
- −$2,438
- − Insurance
- −$812
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,527
- − Management
- −$1,527
- − Depreciation
- −$4,727
- Taxable loss
- −$1,042
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$250
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,858/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Colbert County
- NCES district ID
- 0100840
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,710
- Composite
- 21.48/100
- National rank
- #8328
- State rank
- #90 of 129 in AL
Livability — Muscle Shoals
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #68
- US rank
- #9422
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,957
Population outlook (Colbert County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 54,154 people
- By 2030
- 53,746 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 52,431 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 50,303 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 44,789 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 36,676 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 14% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Colbert
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.4% · R 72.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: -20.3pp · 2024: -46.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.4 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+38.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.94%
- Current HPI
- 174.6414
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+196.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Pending — SAARMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $162,500 SAARMLS
- 2016-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $54,900 Public Records
- 2016-06-28 Sold (MLS) $54,900 SAARMLS
- 2015-10-21 Listed $59,900 SAARMLS
- 2015-05-03 Listed $54,900 SAARMLS
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $322 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…