201 North Ave · Gretna, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$37,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming residence at 201 North Ave in Gretna, FL. AS-IS Investor Special on 1/4 Acre! Needs TLC, Sweat Equity! Opportunity for a rehabber or future Land Lord. Compact 2BR/1BA 1960s wood-frame home 0.25-acre lot. Previously rented and ready for updates. The interior needs TLC and overall refresh. Permitted roof (2003). Utilities are currently off; buyer to verify utility activation and condition of systems. Great potential as a low price-point rental, or affordable starter home after renovation. Solid comparables present a nice and potentally profitable ARV. Excellent opportunity for a light renovation and long-term buy-and-hold rental, or a straightforward flip with a manageable rehab scope. Sold AS-IS. Buyer to verify all information, measurements, and due diligence. Don't miss out on this low priced opportunity!
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Built 1961
- Listed 108 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $404 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($837 rent vs $38k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#775 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Gadsden (rural): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #70 of 73 in FL (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 107 units permitted in Gadsden County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $229 of equity ($262 loan paydown + $-33 appreciation (-0.1% local appreciation)).
- Gadsden County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.65%
- DSCR
- 3.03
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,927
- List price
- $37,900
- Delta
- -61.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.09% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $24,459
- Equity at exit
- $10,840
- IRR
- 49.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.58×
- Total profit
- $59,246
- Equity at exit
- $12,899
Cash invested: $10,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32332
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $837 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$199
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $518/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$176
- Net cashflow
- $404
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,475
- Closing costs
- $1,137
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $37,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $37,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $37,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $37,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-02-13$37,900 Active 842-char remark
Show marketing remark (842 chars)
Welcome to this charming residence at 201 North Ave in Gretna, FL. AS-IS Investor Special on 1/4 Acre! Needs TLC, Sweat Equity! Opportunity for a rehabber or future Land Lord. Compact 2BR/1BA 1960s wood-frame home 0.25-acre lot. Previously rented and ready for updates. The interior needs TLC and overall refresh. Permitted roof (2003). Utilities are currently off; buyer to verify utility activation and condition of systems. Great potential as a low price-point rental, or affordable starter home after renovation. Solid comparables present a nice and potentally profitable ARV. Excellent opportunity for a light renovation and long-term buy-and-hold rental, or a straightforward flip with a manageable rehab scope. Sold AS-IS. Buyer to verify all information, measurements, and due diligence. Don't miss out on this low priced opportunity!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $518 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $518 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,047
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,123
- − Property taxes
- −$518
- − Insurance
- −$190
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$804
- − Management
- −$804
- − Depreciation
- −$1,103
- Taxable income
- $4,506
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,082
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,763/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gadsden
- NCES district ID
- 1200600
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,470
- Composite
- 25.75/100
- National rank
- #7373
- State rank
- #70 of 73 in FL
Livability — Gretna
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #775
- US rank
- #17563
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gretna, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,213
Population outlook (Gadsden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,956 people
- By 2030
- 40,878 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 36,218 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 31,502 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 21,828 · -49.2%
- By 2100
- 14,480 · -66.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Cuban 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 19%
Political lean MEDSL · Gadsden
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 65.0% · R 34.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+36.6 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+40.6 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.09%
- Current HPI
- 157.425
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-13 Listed $37,900 CATRS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $518 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…