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15554 State Hwy 1
B- Composite 68.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,500

15554 State Hwy 1 · Cook, MN 55723
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 450 sqft · Other public records · 146 Days on market
Built 2001 22 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Your social distancing oasis!! Located just a quick walk away from a local restaurant/tavern you can pick up those togo meals too up in the Northwoods of Minnesota! 22+ Acres, darling little 2 bedroom cabin with a loft has electricity and holding tank for conveniences in the deep woods! This property ADJOINS PUBLIC LANDS to the North; and there are trails galore and nearby lakes for your recreation needs. This is an affordable get away! Call today for your personal tour!

Key facts

  • 22.5 acre lot
  • Built 2001
  • Listed 146 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $238 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($793 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 0.7% in Cook — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#545 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, health & safety D.
  • Grand Rapids Public School District (town): math 46% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #119 of 301 in MN (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Itasca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $411 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Itasca County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $52,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
11.09%
Cash-on-cash
17.15%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$5,520
Equity at exit
$8,872
10-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$24,323
Equity at exit
$5,144

Cash invested: $16,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55723

Home prices YoY
-22.9%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$793 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$312
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $616/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$166
Net cashflow
$238

Break-even live

Break-even rent $491
Max offer price $59,500
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $272 -5% $255 +0% $238 +5% $221 +10% $204
Rent -10% $175 -5% $207 +0% $238 +5% $269 +10% $301
Rate -1.0pp $268 -0.5pp $253 base $238 +0.5pp $223 +1.0pp $207

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,875
Closing costs
$1,785
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2021-01-31
    status Pending
  2. 2021-01-27
    status Pending
  3. 2021-01-26
    status Pending
  4. 2020-10-19
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Your social distancing oasis!! Located just a quick walk away from a local restaurant/tavern you can pick up those togo meals too up in the Northwoods of Minnesota! 22+ Acres, darling little 2 bedroom cabin with a loft has electricity and holding tank for conveniences in the deep woods! This property ADJOINS PUBLIC LANDS to the North; and there are trails galore and nearby lakes for your recreation needs. This is an affordable get away! Call today for your personal tour!

  5. 2020-10-19
    historical 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Your social distancing oasis!! Located just a quick walk away from a local restaurant/tavern you can pick up those togo meals too up in the Northwoods of Minnesota! 22+ Acres, darling little 2 bedroom cabin with a loft has electricity and holding tank for conveniences in the deep woods! This property ADJOINS PUBLIC LANDS to the North; and there are trails galore and nearby lakes for your recreation needs. This is an affordable get away! Call today for your personal tour!

  6. 2020-10-07
    historical Contingent - Inspection
  7. 2020-05-26
    listed $59,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Your social distancing oasis!! Located just a quick walk away from a local restaurant/tavern you can pick up those togo meals too up in the Northwoods of Minnesota! 22+ Acres, darling little 2 bedroom cabin with a loft has electricity and holding tank for conveniences in the deep woods! This property ADJOINS PUBLIC LANDS to the North; and there are trails galore and nearby lakes for your recreation needs. This is an affordable get away! Call today for your personal tour!

  8. 2020-05-26
    listed $59,500 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Your social distancing oasis!! Located just a quick walk away from a local restaurant/tavern you can pick up those togo meals too up in the Northwoods of Minnesota! 22+ Acres, darling little 2 bedroom cabin with a loft has electricity and holding tank for conveniences in the deep woods! This property ADJOINS PUBLIC LANDS to the North; and there are trails galore and nearby lakes for your recreation needs. This is an affordable get away! Call today for your personal tour!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$616 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$641 · $53/mo
Expected delta
+$25/yr (+$2/mo · 4.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,512
− Mortgage interest
−$3,333
− Property taxes
−$616
− Insurance
−$298
− Repairs & maintenance
−$761
− Management
−$761
− Depreciation
−$1,731
Taxable income
$2,013
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$483
After-tax cash flow
$2,374/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grand Rapids Public School District
NCES district ID
2713170
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$49,762
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3077
State rank
#119 of 301 in MN

Livability — Cook

Score
65/100
State rank
#545
US rank
#13111

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,861

Population outlook (Itasca County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,885 people
By 2030
45,890 · +0.0%
By 2040
45,171 · -1.6%
By 2050
43,946 · -4.2%
By 2075
40,950 · -10.8%
By 2100
34,909 · -23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 14% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Itasca

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.2) · D 39.1% · R 59.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.9pp · 2024: -20.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.2 2020: R+16.8 2016: R+16.5 2012: D+9.9 2008: D+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.80%
Current HPI
194.5825
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2021-01-31 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-01-27 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-01-26 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-10-19 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-10-19 Delisted LSAR
  • 2020-10-07 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-05-26 Listed $59,500 LSAR
  • 2020-05-26 Listed $59,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $616 · -2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…