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220 Ellis Dr
B- Composite 67.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

220 Ellis Dr · Waskom, TX 75692
8 bd · 4.5 ba · 3,066 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 2013 4.32 ac lot ↓ 28% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for privacy, space, and potential? This 4.32-acre property in Waskom, Texas offers a secluded setting just minutes from Shreveport. The existing unfinished 3-story structure provides the opportunity to complete the project, redesign it, or start fresh. The sellers are assigning no value to the structure and are simply looking to recoup their investment. If you've been searching for a private property with room to create your own vision, this could be the opportunity you've been waiting for. Motivated sellers—call today for more information!

Key facts

  • Secluded setting
  • 4.32-acre property
  • Private property

Tags

4.32-ACRE PROPERTYSECLUDED SETTINGUNFINISHED 3-STORY STRUCTUREPRIVATE PROPERTY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential property
  • Exterior features: 4.32-acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Interior features: Gas log fireplace; Electric water heater; 10 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#168 in TX, #4,434 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Waskom ISD (rural): math 38% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #387 of 826 in TX (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 85 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
9.90%
Cash-on-cash
12.89%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.9%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$3,585
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
12.6%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$32,262
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75692

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,781 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$410 /mo · $4,921/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$374
Net cashflow
$346

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,343
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 554-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $115,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,921 · $410/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,921 · $410/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,371
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$4,921
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,710
− Management
−$1,710
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$2,669
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$641
After-tax cash flow
$3,510/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waskom ISD
NCES district ID
4844670
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$49,184
Composite
34.82/100
National rank
#5103
State rank
#387 of 826 in TX

Livability — Waskom

Score
74/100
State rank
#168
US rank
#4434

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waskom, TX
Population (ZIP)
5,255

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,691 people
By 2030
69,317 · +0.9%
By 2040
69,973 · +1.9%
By 2050
70,090 · +2.0%
By 2075
70,607 · +2.8%
By 2100
67,546 · -1.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.4% · R 75.0%
2008→2024 swing
-19.2pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -50.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.6 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.51%
Current HPI
144.1058
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $115,000 LAAR
  • 2024-07-26 Listed $125,000 LAAR
  • 2023-09-01 Relisted LAAR
  • 2023-08-09 Delisted LAAR
  • 2023-06-09 Relisted LAAR
  • 2023-03-30 Price Changed $145,000 LAAR
  • 2022-11-11 Listed $160,000 LAAR

Property tax history

+9.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,921 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…