220 Ellis Dr · Waskom, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for privacy, space, and potential? This 4.32-acre property in Waskom, Texas offers a secluded setting just minutes from Shreveport. The existing unfinished 3-story structure provides the opportunity to complete the project, redesign it, or start fresh. The sellers are assigning no value to the structure and are simply looking to recoup their investment. If you've been searching for a private property with room to create your own vision, this could be the opportunity you've been waiting for. Motivated sellers—call today for more information!
Key facts
- Secluded setting
- 4.32-acre property
- Private property
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential property
- Exterior features: 4.32-acre lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Interior features: Gas log fireplace; Electric water heater; 10 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 8-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#168 in TX, #4,434 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Waskom ISD (rural): math 38% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #387 of 826 in TX (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 85 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.89%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $3,585
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $32,262
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75692
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,781 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$410 /mo · $4,921/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$374
- Net cashflow
- $346
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 554-char remark
-
2026-06-07$115,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,921 · $410/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,921 · $410/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,371
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$4,921
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,710
- − Management
- −$1,710
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $2,669
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$641
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,510/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waskom ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844670
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,184
- Composite
- 34.82/100
- National rank
- #5103
- State rank
- #387 of 826 in TX
Livability — Waskom
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #168
- US rank
- #4434
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waskom, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,255
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,691 people
- By 2030
- 69,317 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 69,973 · +1.9%
- By 2050
- 70,090 · +2.0%
- By 2075
- 70,607 · +2.8%
- By 2100
- 67,546 · -1.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.4% · R 75.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -50.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.6 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.51%
- Current HPI
- 144.1058
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-28.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $115,000 LAAR
- 2024-07-26 Listed $125,000 LAAR
- 2023-09-01 Relisted — LAAR
- 2023-08-09 Delisted — LAAR
- 2023-06-09 Relisted — LAAR
- 2023-03-30 Price Changed $145,000 LAAR
- 2022-11-11 Listed $160,000 LAAR
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,921 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…