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2554 N 51st St Duplex
B Composite 71.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

2554 N 51st St · Milwaukee, WI 53210
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,812 sqft · MultiFamily · 56 Days on market
Built 1923 Average condition 5,227 sqft lot $77/sqft · 6% below area Est $150k · 6% under ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Savvy investors and homeowners, take note. This large duplex offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bath in each unit. Walk into this opportunity generating immediate cash flow as there is a long term tenant who would like to remain. The roof, siding, and front porch were replaced a few years ago.

Key facts

  • Siding replaced
  • Front porch replaced
  • Large duplex

Tags

LARGE DUPLEXROOF REPLACEDSIDING REPLACEDFRONT PORCH REPLACED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $140k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $688 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $344/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,096/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 1730% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $135,800 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.19%
Cash-on-cash
21.07%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$149,569
List price
$140,000
Delta
-6.40%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2639 N 55th St 0.29mi 4/2.0 1,877 (+4%) 2mo $120,000 $64 79
2818 N 55th St Unit 2818A 0.40mi 4/2.0 1,825 (+1%) 4mo $208,000 $114 77
2726 N 56th St Unit 2726A 0.37mi 4/2.0 1,934 (+7%) 3mo $155,000 $80 69
2844 N 57th St Unit 2844A 0.50mi 4/2.0 1,867 (+3%) 7mo $150,000 $80 66
4324 W Lisbon Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,777 (-2%) 1mo $36,000 $20 60
2969 N 56th St Unit 2969A 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,742 (-4%) 7mo $137,500 $79 59
2834 N 54th St Unit 2834A 0.39mi 4/2.0 2,080 (+15%) 0mo $175,000 $84 57
2973 N 58th St #2975 0.68mi 4/2.0 1,878 (+4%) 7mo $160,000 $85 56
1900 N 55th St Unit 1900A 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,802 (-1%) 7mo $225,000 $125 54
2851 N 55th St Unit 2851A 0.46mi 4/2.0 2,067 (+14%) 3mo $165,000 $80 53
3024 N 44th St 0.73mi 4/2.0 1,998 (+10%) 1mo $120,775 $60 48
3019 N 52nd St #3021 0.59mi 4/2.0 2,078 (+15%) 6mo $155,000 $75 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$22,929
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
3.14×
Total profit
$83,820
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 53210

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Rents YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,096 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax est. 1.5%
$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$440
Net cashflow
$688

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,225
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 62%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,096

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2629 N 50th St Unit Upper Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1258 $1,375 $1.09 3d 1 0.06mi
2438 N 51st St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,650 $1.27 24d 1 0.18mi
2409 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1335 $1,248 $0.93 44d 1 0.24mi
2713 N 44th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,350 $0.93 44d 1 0.43mi
2976 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,300 $0.76 17d 1 0.52mi
2137 N 47th St Milwaukee, WI 5.0 2.0 1723 $1,850 $1.07 15d 1 0.60mi
3155 N 52nd St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 44d 1 0.73mi
3123 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI 4.0 1.0 1500 $1,700 $1.13 24d 1 0.88mi
3122 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1323 $1,495 $1.13 4d 1 0.90mi
2001 N 38th St #2003 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1326 $950 $0.72 2d 1 1.02mi
2809 W Clarke St Unit 12811 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 17d 1 1.41mi
1639 N 33rd St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1424 $950 $0.67 24d 1 1.43mi
2870 N 29th St #2872 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,250 $0.96 44d 1 1.44mi
2432 N 28th St Milwaukee, WI 5.0 1.5 1876 $1,600 $0.85 44d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $140,000 Pending 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $140,000 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-05-18
    price $145,000 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Savvy investors and homeowners, take note. This large duplex offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bath in each unit. Walk into this opportunity generating immediate cash flow as there is a long term tenant who would like to remain. The roof, siding, and front porch were replaced a few years ago.

  8. 2026-04-11
    listed $155,000 Active 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Savvy investors and homeowners, take note. This large duplex offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bath in each unit. Walk into this opportunity generating immediate cash flow as there is a long term tenant who would like to remain. The roof, siding, and front porch were replaced a few years ago.

  9. 2026-02-11
    historical 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Savvy investors and homeowners, take note. This large duplex offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bath in each unit. Walk into this opportunity generating immediate cash flow as there is a long term tenant who would like to remain. The roof, siding, and front porch were replaced a few years ago.

  10. 2025-10-22
    price $164,900 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Savvy investors and homeowners, take note. This large duplex offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bath in each unit. Walk into this opportunity generating immediate cash flow as there is a long term tenant who would like to remain. The roof, siding, and front porch were replaced a few years ago.

  11. 2025-09-25
    listed $169,900 Active 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Savvy investors and homeowners, take note. This large duplex offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bath in each unit. Walk into this opportunity generating immediate cash flow as there is a long term tenant who would like to remain. The roof, siding, and front porch were replaced a few years ago.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,152
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$2,100
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,012
− Management
−$2,012
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$6,413
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,539
After-tax cash flow
$6,721/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Average 55/100 Moderate rehab

This 2-unit duplex requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathrooms, which would significantly increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen cabinets — poor condition
  • Major kitchen countertops — poor condition
  • Major kitchen appliances — poor condition
  • Major bathroom fixtures — poor condition
  • Major bathroom tile — poor condition

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace kitchen cabinets, countertops, and appliances — modernizes kitchen and increases appeal
  • Both replace bathroom fixtures and tile — modernizes bathroom and increases appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen countertops · poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen appliances · poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom tile · poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace kitchen cabinets, countertops, and appliances — modernizes kitchen and increases appeal
  • Both replace bathroom fixtures and tile — modernizes bathroom and increases appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milwaukee School District
NCES district ID
5509600
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$36,339
Composite
11.61/100
National rank
#9696
State rank
#337 of 342 in WI

Livability — Milwaukee

Score
81/100
State rank
#55
US rank
#1534

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milwaukee, WI
County
Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
City population
573,768
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
Population (ZIP)
23,922
Household income
$48,217
Rent vs Own
60.4% rent · 39.6% own
Severe rent burden
1730.0

Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
995,758 people
By 2030
1,009,124 · +1.3%
By 2040
1,028,128 · +3.3%
By 2050
1,040,066 · +4.4%
By 2075
1,057,849 · +6.2%
By 2100
1,039,774 · +4.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.77%
Current HPI
280.0133
Rent YoY
▲ 3.82%
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $145,000 METROMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Listed $155,000 METROMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Listing Removed METROMLS
  • 2025-10-22 Price Changed $164,900 METROMLS
  • 2025-09-25 Listed $169,900 METROMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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