301 NW Grove Ave · Cleveland, TN 37311

$127,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,624 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1978 0.59 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.2/30.0
• DSCR +8.9/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.0/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• 0.59 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1978

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Sold as-is; cash offers only; Property presented as a hoarder/renovation opportunity for investors or flippers

Exterior

• Parking: 2-car garage
• Utilities: Public sewer
• Home design: Detached property; 1,624 building area (per tax records)
• Construction: Brick and frame construction
• Exterior features: Level lot; Country setting views

Interior

• Flooring: Laminate flooring; Carpet
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: No central heating; Window unit cooling
• Interior features: 5 total rooms; Crawl space basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $127k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $127k).
• Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.5% in Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#55 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
• Cleveland (urban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #85 of 139 in TN (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 768 units permitted in Bradley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $878 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bradley County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $127,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.20% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.35%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.93%
• DSCR: 1.49
• GRM: 6.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $371,896
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1273 Brown Ave NW	0.37mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,580 (-3%)	1mo	$362,470	$229	72
605 Westover Dr SW	0.56mi	2/2.5	1,648 (+2%)	1mo	$284,000	$172	69
801 Grove Ave NW	0.22mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,550 (-5%)	14mo	$230,000	$148	65
8340 Cottage Way SW	0.07mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,815 (+12%)	12mo	$375,000	$207	60
873 Harle Ave NW	0.39mi	2/2.0	1,488 (-8%)	11mo	$365,000	$245	59
145 Silver Maple Cir SW	0.73mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,664 (+2%)	1mo	$339,900	$204	54
323 Bowman Ave NW	0.51mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,442 (-11%)	1mo	$437,800	$304	52
460 Johnson Ave NW	0.31mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,750 (+8%)	22mo	$310,000	$177	48
900 Willow St NW	0.29mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,843 (+14%)	16mo	$375,000	$203	46
263 15th St NW	0.65mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,728 (+6%)	11mo	$440,000	$255	42
630 NW Worth St	0.54mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,800 (+11%)	12mo	$425,000	$236	42
Lots 1-8	0.39mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,400 (-14%)	22mo	$600,000	$429	32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -0.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.00×
• Total profit: $-10
• Equity at exit: $18,936

10-year hold

• IRR: 9.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.74×
• Total profit: $26,334
• Equity at exit: $10,981

Cash invested: $35,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Tennessee: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 37311

• Home prices YoY: -25.4%
• Rents YoY: 3.0%
• Active inventory: 196
• Price-to-rent: 6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,526 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$666
• Tax from tax record: −$163 /mo · $1,955/yr
• Insurance: −$53
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$320
• Net cashflow: $324

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,116

Max offer price $127,000

Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $31,750
• Closing costs: $3,810
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-06-13
   listed $127,000 Pending 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,955 · $163/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,955 · $163/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,313
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,114
• − Property taxes: −$1,955
• − Insurance: −$635
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,465
• − Management: −$1,465
• − Depreciation: −$3,695
• Taxable income: $1,984
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$476
• After-tax cash flow: $3,409/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Cleveland
• NCES district ID: 4700690
• Math proficiency: 23% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 28% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $37,612
• Composite: 21.28/100
• National rank: #8394
• State rank: #85 of 139 in TN

Livability — Cleveland

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #55
• US rank: #7689

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Cleveland, TN
• County: Bradley County · 99,337 people
• City population: 99,337
• Metro: Cleveland, TN
• Population (ZIP): 30,720
• Household income: $47,153
• Rent vs Own: 53.4% rent · 46.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 1184.0

Population outlook (Bradley County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 114,901 people
• By 2030: 120,137 · +4.6%
• By 2040: 130,125 · +13.2%
• By 2050: 139,257 · +21.2%
• By 2075: 161,664 · +40.7%
• By 2100: 179,767 · +56.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (74%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 74% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 9% Two or more races 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bradley

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+58.9) · D 20.0% · R 78.9% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -9.2pp toward R · 2008: -49.7pp · 2024: -58.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+58.9 2020: R+55.3 2016: R+59.1 2012: R+53.9 2008: R+49.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -97.10%
• Current HPI: 285.0723
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.95%
• Metro: Cleveland, TN
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.78%
• F500 in state: 22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	3	$91B
▸Retail	3	$72B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$88B
▸Paper / Packaging	1	$19B
▸Insurance	1	$13B
▸Energy	1	$12B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-11 Pending — Knoxville MLS
• 2026-06-11 Listed $127,000 Knoxville MLS

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,955 · +18.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.