CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
143 Penn Dr
B+ Composite 75.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,000

143 Penn Dr · Hayti, PA 19320
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 990 sqft · Manufactured · 67 Days on market
Built 2000 $130/sqft · 43% below area Est $226k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home has been completely redone and is ready for you to move right in! You’ll love the open living room and kitchen layout with brand-new granite countertops, fresh cabinets, and stainless steel appliances. The master bedroom has a large closet and its own full bathroom, giving you plenty of space and privacy. Everything is updated — new siding, new flooring, and modern finishes throughout. All that’s left to do is make it your own!

Key facts

  • New siding
  • Large closet
  • Full bathroom

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSFRESH CABINETSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESLARGE CLOSETFULL BATHROOMNEW SIDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $129k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $588 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Coatesville Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #457 of 539 in PA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,260 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
11.76%
Cash-on-cash
19.52%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$225,823
List price
$129,000
Delta
-42.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$19,974
Equity at exit
$19,234
10-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
3.22×
Total profit
$80,303
Equity at exit
$11,154

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19320

Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,847 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax from tax record
$141 /mo · $1,695/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$588

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,103
Max offer price $129,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $661 -5% $624 +0% $588 +5% $551 +10% $514
Rent -10% $442 -5% $515 +0% $588 +5% $660 +10% $733
Rate -1.0pp $652 -0.5pp $620 base $588 +0.5pp $554 +1.0pp $520

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,250
Closing costs
$3,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2104 Coatesville, PA 1.0 1.0 771 $1,654 $2.15 16d 1 1.38mi
100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1910 Coatesville, PA 2.0 2.0 1088 $1,890 $1.74 16d 1 1.38mi
100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2209 Coatesville, PA 2.0 2.0 1078 $2,000 $1.86 16d 1 1.38mi
100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2114 Coatesville, PA 2.0 2.0 1088 $1,719 $1.58 16d 1 1.38mi
100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1302 Coatesville, PA 1.0 1.0 845 $1,644 $1.95 16d 1 1.38mi
100 Cobblestone Dr Coatesville, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 974 $2,039 $2.09 21d 19 1.38mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home has been completely redone and is ready for you to move right in! You’ll love the open living room and kitchen layout with brand-new granite countertops, fresh cabinets, and stainless steel appliances. The master bedroom has a large closet and its own full bathroom, giving you plenty of space and privacy. Everything is updated — new siding, new flooring, and modern finishes throughout. All that’s left to do is make it your own!

  2. 2026-02-27
    listed $129,000 Active 477-char remark
    Show marketing remark (477 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home has been completely redone and is ready for you to move right in! You’ll love the open living room and kitchen layout with brand-new granite countertops, fresh cabinets, and stainless steel appliances. The master bedroom has a large closet and its own full bathroom, giving you plenty of space and privacy. Everything is updated — new siding, new flooring, and modern finishes throughout. All that’s left to do is make it your own!

  3. 2026-02-18
    historical
  4. 2026-01-03
    status Active
  5. 2025-12-31
    historical
  6. 2025-09-15
    listed $129,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,695 · $141/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,866 · $156/mo
Expected delta
+$172/yr (+$14/mo · 10.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,161
− Mortgage interest
−$7,226
− Property taxes
−$1,695
− Insurance
−$645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,773
− Management
−$1,773
− Depreciation
−$3,753
Taxable income
$5,297
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,271
After-tax cash flow
$5,779/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coatesville Area SD
NCES district ID
4206240
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$66,753
Composite
23.19/100
National rank
#7944
State rank
#457 of 539 in PA

Livability — Hayti

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Chester County · 432,350 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
55,941
Household income
$90,601
Rent vs Own
26.2% rent · 73.8% own
Severe rent burden
1480.0

Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
546,756 people
By 2030
559,441 · +2.3%
By 2040
576,377 · +5.4%
By 2050
580,602 · +6.2%
By 2075
581,575 · +6.4%
By 2100
540,922 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Chester

2024 margin
D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -195.38%
Current HPI
274.045
Rent YoY
▲ 4.82%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $129,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-18 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-03 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-15 Listed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,695 · +63.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…