143 Penn Dr · Hayti, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home has been completely redone and is ready for you to move right in! You’ll love the open living room and kitchen layout with brand-new granite countertops, fresh cabinets, and stainless steel appliances. The master bedroom has a large closet and its own full bathroom, giving you plenty of space and privacy. Everything is updated — new siding, new flooring, and modern finishes throughout. All that’s left to do is make it your own!
Key facts
- New siding
- Large closet
- Full bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $588 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Coatesville Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #457 of 539 in PA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.52%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $225,823
- List price
- $129,000
- Delta
- -42.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $19,974
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.22×
- Total profit
- $80,303
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19320
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,847 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$141 /mo · $1,695/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $588
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $661 | -5% $624 | +0% $588 | +5% $551 | +10% $514 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $442 | -5% $515 | +0% $588 | +5% $660 | +10% $733 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $652 | -0.5pp $620 | base $588 | +0.5pp $554 | +1.0pp $520 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2104 Coatesville, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 771 | $1,654 | $2.15 | 16d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1910 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,890 | $1.74 | 16d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2209 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $2,000 | $1.86 | 16d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 2114 Coatesville, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,719 | $1.58 | 16d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Unit 1302 Coatesville, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $1,644 | $1.95 | 16d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 100 Cobblestone Dr Coatesville, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $2,039 | $2.09 | 21d | 19 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home has been completely redone and is ready for you to move right in! You’ll love the open living room and kitchen layout with brand-new granite countertops, fresh cabinets, and stainless steel appliances. The master bedroom has a large closet and its own full bathroom, giving you plenty of space and privacy. Everything is updated — new siding, new flooring, and modern finishes throughout. All that’s left to do is make it your own!
-
2026-02-27$129,000 Active 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home has been completely redone and is ready for you to move right in! You’ll love the open living room and kitchen layout with brand-new granite countertops, fresh cabinets, and stainless steel appliances. The master bedroom has a large closet and its own full bathroom, giving you plenty of space and privacy. Everything is updated — new siding, new flooring, and modern finishes throughout. All that’s left to do is make it your own!
-
2026-02-18historical
-
2026-01-03status Active
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-09-15$129,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,695 · $141/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,866 · $156/mo
- Expected delta
- +$172/yr (+$14/mo · 10.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,161
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$1,695
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,773
- − Management
- −$1,773
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable income
- $5,297
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,271
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,779/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coatesville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206240
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,753
- Composite
- 23.19/100
- National rank
- #7944
- State rank
- #457 of 539 in PA
Livability — Hayti
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Chester County · 432,350 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,941
- Household income
- $90,601
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1480.0
Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 546,756 people
- By 2030
- 559,441 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 576,377 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 580,602 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 581,575 · +6.4%
- By 2100
- 540,922 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Chester
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -195.38%
- Current HPI
- 274.045
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
-0.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $129,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-18 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-03 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-15 Listed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2026): $1,695 · +63.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…