514 Coal St · Shenandoah, PA 17976

$149,900

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,647 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market

Built 1900 871 sqft lot Est $170k · 12% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.4/30.0
• ARV discount +12.7/15.0
• Appreciation +6.9/10.0
• DSCR +6.8/10.0
• 1% rule +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.4/10.0

Listing remarks

Must see!!! Large living room, formal dining area. modern kitchen. 4 bedrooms, 2 baths. Additional family area in the basement with walk out door.

Key facts

• Walk out door
• Large living room
• Formal dining area

Tags

• LARGE LIVING ROOM
• FORMAL DINING AREA
• MODERN KITCHEN
• ADDITIONAL FAMILY AREA
• WALK OUT DOOR

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Three or more levels
• Construction: Asbestos construction material; Asbestos shingle roof
• Exterior features: Patio; Cleared lot; Level lot

Interior

• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Baseboard heating
• Interior features: Electric water heater; Partially finished basement; Basement present

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (5.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $142k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 12.5% in Shenandoah — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#720 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, commute F, employment F.
• Shenandoah Valley SD (town): math 20% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #454 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
• Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $42k; list at $150k implies a 254% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $141,579 (5.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.94% ✗
• Cap rate: 8.06%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.32%
• DSCR: 1.28
• GRM: 8.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $169,641
• Comps found: 10

Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
28 N Gilbert St	0.12mi	4/1.0 (+1)	1,678 (+2%)	12mo	$90,000	$54	74
142 Schuylkill Ave	0.32mi	3/1.0	1,607 (-2%)	8mo	$68,250	$42	72
382 Ohio Ave	0.55mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,650 (+0%)	10mo	$210,000	$127	59
39 S Schuylkill Ave	0.41mi	3/1.0	1,765 (+7%)	11mo	$159,000	$90	58
332 W Columbus St	0.32mi	4/1.0 (+1)	1,525 (-7%)	23mo	$60,000	$39	47
252 Florida Ave	0.47mi	3/1.5	1,436 (-13%)	15mo	$169,900	$118	44
162 Swatara Rd	0.53mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,859 (+13%)	4mo	$191,000	$103	43
284 Indiana Ave	0.45mi	3/1.5	1,812 (+10%)	23mo	$170,000	$94	43
60 Schuylkill Ave	0.38mi	4/3.0 (+1)	1,827 (+11%)	20mo	$258,000	$141	37
258 Indiana Ave	0.43mi	3/1.0	1,407 (-15%)	23mo	$175,000	$124	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.84% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 15.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.93×
• Total profit: $38,883
• Equity at exit: $74,640

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.6%
• Equity multiple: 3.63×
• Total profit: $110,497
• Equity at exit: $121,006

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 17976

• Home prices YoY: 1.3%
• Active inventory: 63
• Price-to-rent: 8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,416 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax from tax record: −$49 /mo · $585/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$297
• Net cashflow: $221

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,136

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
230 W Arlington St Shenandoah, PA	3.0	1.0	1143	$1,400	$1.22	43d	1	0.18mi
25 E Oak St Shenandoah, PA	4.0	1.5	2220	$1,450	$0.65	43d	1	0.42mi

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $149,900 Active 17 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $149,900 Active 16 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $149,900 Active 15 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $149,900 Active 14 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $149,900 Active 12 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $149,900 Active 11 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $149,900 Active 8 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $149,900 Active 7 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $149,900 Active 6 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 5 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active 2 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    remarks 147-char remark
13. 2026-06-01
    listed $149,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $585 · $49/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,477 · $123/mo
• Expected delta: +$892/yr (+$74/mo · 152.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,989
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$585
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,359
• − Management: −$1,359
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable income: $179
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$43
• After-tax cash flow: $2,611/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Shenandoah Valley SD
• NCES district ID: 4221490
• Math proficiency: 20% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $31,968
• Composite: 23.58/100
• National rank: #7851
• State rank: #454 of 539 in PA

Livability — Shenandoah

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #720
• US rank: #7134

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Shenandoah, PA
• City population: 5,988
• Population (ZIP): 5,988

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 137,447 people
• By 2030: 133,121 · -3.1%
• By 2040: 124,172 · -9.7%
• By 2050: 115,611 · -15.9%
• By 2075: 100,796 · -26.7%
• By 2100: 86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (63%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 63% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 11%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 20% Iranian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada
• Languages at home: 68% English-only · Spanish 30% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 3.84%
• Current HPI: 308.8036
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

+899.3% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-01 Listed $149,900 LCAR
• 2004-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $42,400 Public Records
• 1996-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $585 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.