1100 W Jefferson Ave #15 · Hayden, CO
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable living in Hayden! The home features an open kitchen with a breakfast bar. The cook will love all the cabinet & countertop space in the open kitchen. This home has a roomy feel throughout and has been nicely updated. You will love the yard! It's a great place to retreat with mature trees & landscaping or hang out with friends & family. Two sheds in the rear, one makes a great storage/garden shed, the other one would make a great workshop/mancave. Space rent is super affordable being $477 per month and includes internet/cable. This affordable home in Hayden would make a great starter home, retiree home or investment property! Don't wait or it will be gone!
Key facts
- Ample cabinetry
- Fully fenced yard
- Breakfast bar
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property located in Hayden subdivision; Directions: Highway 40 to Meadow Village, #15
- HOA & community: No community features
Exterior
- Parking: See remarks for parking details
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Utilities: see remarks
- Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-family zoning
- Construction: Frame construction; Built as a mobile home
- Exterior features: Membrane roof; City lot; Paved road access; Sewer connected
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: See remarks for flooring details
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: See remarks for additional interior details; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $129 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 1.2% in Hayden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#154 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Hayden School District No. RE-1 (rural): math 15% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #115 of 176 in CO (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 597 units permitted in Routt County in 2024 (418 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Routt County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 326 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 326 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.74%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-11,973
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $279
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81639
- Home prices YoY
- -17.9%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,262 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $426/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $129
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $200 | -5% $165 | +0% $129 | +5% $94 | +10% $59 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $30 | -5% $80 | +0% $129 | +5% $179 | +10% $229 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $192 | -0.5pp $161 | base $129 | +0.5pp $97 | +1.0pp $64 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $124,900 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $124,900 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $124,900 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $124,900 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $124,900 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-03-11price $124,900
-
2025-09-09status Active
-
2025-09-02status Pending
-
2025-08-05price $139,900
-
2025-07-21$149,900 Active
-
2023-07-31soldstatus $125,000 Closed 685-char remark
Show marketing remark (685 chars)
Affordable living in Hayden! The home features an open kitchen with a breakfast bar. The cook will love all the cabinet & countertop space in the open kitchen. This home has a roomy feel throughout and has been nicely updated. You will love the yard! It's a great place to retreat with mature trees & landscaping or hang out with friends & family. Two sheds in the rear, one makes a great storage/garden shed, the other one would make a great workshop/mancave. Space rent is super affordable being $477 per month and includes internet/cable. This affordable home in Hayden would make a great starter home, retiree home or investment property! Don't wait or it will be gone!
-
2023-07-31soldstatus $125,000 Sold 685-char remark
Show marketing remark (685 chars)
Affordable living in Hayden! The home features an open kitchen with a breakfast bar. The cook will love all the cabinet & countertop space in the open kitchen. This home has a roomy feel throughout and has been nicely updated. You will love the yard! It's a great place to retreat with mature trees & landscaping or hang out with friends & family. Two sheds in the rear, one makes a great storage/garden shed, the other one would make a great workshop/mancave. Space rent is super affordable being $477 per month and includes internet/cable. This affordable home in Hayden would make a great starter home, retiree home or investment property! Don't wait or it will be gone!
-
2023-07-20status Pending 685-char remark
Show marketing remark (685 chars)
Affordable living in Hayden! The home features an open kitchen with a breakfast bar. The cook will love all the cabinet & countertop space in the open kitchen. This home has a roomy feel throughout and has been nicely updated. You will love the yard! It's a great place to retreat with mature trees & landscaping or hang out with friends & family. Two sheds in the rear, one makes a great storage/garden shed, the other one would make a great workshop/mancave. Space rent is super affordable being $477 per month and includes internet/cable. This affordable home in Hayden would make a great starter home, retiree home or investment property! Don't wait or it will be gone!
-
2023-07-20status Pending 685-char remark
Show marketing remark (685 chars)
Affordable living in Hayden! The home features an open kitchen with a breakfast bar. The cook will love all the cabinet & countertop space in the open kitchen. This home has a roomy feel throughout and has been nicely updated. You will love the yard! It's a great place to retreat with mature trees & landscaping or hang out with friends & family. Two sheds in the rear, one makes a great storage/garden shed, the other one would make a great workshop/mancave. Space rent is super affordable being $477 per month and includes internet/cable. This affordable home in Hayden would make a great starter home, retiree home or investment property! Don't wait or it will be gone!
-
2023-07-06price $139,900 685-char remark
Show marketing remark (685 chars)
Affordable living in Hayden! The home features an open kitchen with a breakfast bar. The cook will love all the cabinet & countertop space in the open kitchen. This home has a roomy feel throughout and has been nicely updated. You will love the yard! It's a great place to retreat with mature trees & landscaping or hang out with friends & family. Two sheds in the rear, one makes a great storage/garden shed, the other one would make a great workshop/mancave. Space rent is super affordable being $477 per month and includes internet/cable. This affordable home in Hayden would make a great starter home, retiree home or investment property! Don't wait or it will be gone!
-
2023-07-06price $139,900 685-char remark
Show marketing remark (685 chars)
Affordable living in Hayden! The home features an open kitchen with a breakfast bar. The cook will love all the cabinet & countertop space in the open kitchen. This home has a roomy feel throughout and has been nicely updated. You will love the yard! It's a great place to retreat with mature trees & landscaping or hang out with friends & family. Two sheds in the rear, one makes a great storage/garden shed, the other one would make a great workshop/mancave. Space rent is super affordable being $477 per month and includes internet/cable. This affordable home in Hayden would make a great starter home, retiree home or investment property! Don't wait or it will be gone!
-
2023-06-12$155,000 Active 685-char remark
Show marketing remark (685 chars)
Affordable living in Hayden! The home features an open kitchen with a breakfast bar. The cook will love all the cabinet & countertop space in the open kitchen. This home has a roomy feel throughout and has been nicely updated. You will love the yard! It's a great place to retreat with mature trees & landscaping or hang out with friends & family. Two sheds in the rear, one makes a great storage/garden shed, the other one would make a great workshop/mancave. Space rent is super affordable being $477 per month and includes internet/cable. This affordable home in Hayden would make a great starter home, retiree home or investment property! Don't wait or it will be gone!
-
2023-06-12$155,000 Active 685-char remark
Show marketing remark (685 chars)
Affordable living in Hayden! The home features an open kitchen with a breakfast bar. The cook will love all the cabinet & countertop space in the open kitchen. This home has a roomy feel throughout and has been nicely updated. You will love the yard! It's a great place to retreat with mature trees & landscaping or hang out with friends & family. Two sheds in the rear, one makes a great storage/garden shed, the other one would make a great workshop/mancave. Space rent is super affordable being $477 per month and includes internet/cable. This affordable home in Hayden would make a great starter home, retiree home or investment property! Don't wait or it will be gone!
-
2018-01-03soldstatus $50,000 484-char remark
Show marketing remark (484 chars)
You must see to appreciate how nice this turn key home really is. This is a 1975 14x70 mobile home with 2 add-ons and square footage is approximate. Home features all stainless appliances, newer flooring, walls, back porch/mud room, large eat in kitchen and as a bonus all furniture is also included and is in excellent condition. Newer roof, vinyl siding and trex front deck, fenced and landscaped yard. Space rent is $290.00. This is a must see, you'll be pleasantly surprised!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $426 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $687 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$261/yr (+$22/mo · 61.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,148
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$426
- − Insurance
- −$2,127
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,212
- − Management
- −$1,212
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable loss
- −$459
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$110
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,664/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hayden School District No. RE-1
- NCES district ID
- 0804590
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,956
- Composite
- 27.59/100
- National rank
- #12345
- State rank
- #115 of 176 in CO
Livability — Hayden
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #154
- US rank
- #12425
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hayden, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,617
Population outlook (Routt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,283 people
- By 2030
- 28,555 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 30,578 · +12.1%
- By 2050
- 32,328 · +18.5%
- By 2075
- 36,897 · +35.2%
- By 2100
- 38,794 · +42.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Slovak 6% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Routt
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 62.5% · R 34.8% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.9pp no change · 2008: 26.9pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+27.6 2016: D+17.0 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+26.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.13%
- Current HPI
- 439.4921
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+149.8% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $124,900 SAR
- 2025-09-09 Relisted — SAR
- 2025-09-02 Pending — SAR
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $139,900 SAR
- 2025-07-21 Listed $149,900 SAR
- 2023-07-31 Sold (MLS) $125,000 IRES
- 2023-07-31 Sold (MLS) $125,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-20 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-20 Pending — IRES
- 2023-07-06 Price Changed $139,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-06 Price Changed $139,900 IRES
- 2023-06-12 Listed $155,000 IRES
- 2023-06-12 Listed $155,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-03 Sold (MLS) $50,000 AGMLS
Property tax history
+15.8%/yrLatest (2025): $426 · +278.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…