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4549 Francisco Rd
D Composite 40.71
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +9.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0

$214,900

4549 Francisco Rd · Huntland, TN 37345
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 69 Days on market
Built 1980 4.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Are you HUNTING for a Fixer Upper? This house in HUNTLAND could be just what you're looking for. With 5 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms Plus almost 4 acres! This house is a AS IS property.

Key facts

  • 4 acre lot
  • 6 parking spots
  • Built 1980

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 4 acres lot
  • HOA & community: Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Covered parking for 2 vehicles; Carport with 2 spaces; Circular driveway with 4 open parking spaces (6 total); Gravel driveway
  • Security: Satellite dish
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Accessible approach with ramp
  • Construction: Stone exterior; Asbestos shingle roof; Existing construction
  • Exterior features: Covered porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bathroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer and Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-157 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $187k (12.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (34.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (34.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#254 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Franklin County (town): math 18% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #111 of 139 in TN (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Franklin Co High School (math 5% / reading 22%, grade F, #255 of 332 statewide, top 77%, 1,180 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 422 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Franklin County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $139,849 (34.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65%
Cap rate
5.42%
Cash-on-cash
-3.12%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
12.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.0%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$106,944
Equity at exit
$193,599
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
6.36×
Total profit
$322,549
Equity at exit
$417,503

Cash invested: $60,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37345

Home prices YoY
18.8%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
12.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,398 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $540/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$-157

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,597
Max offer price $187,219
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-35 -5% $-96 +0% $-157 +5% $-218 +10% $-278
Rent -10% $-267 -5% $-212 +0% $-157 +5% $-101 +10% $-46
Rate -1.0pp $-48 -0.5pp $-102 base $-157 +0.5pp $-212 +1.0pp $-269

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,725
Closing costs
$6,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $214,900 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $214,900 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $214,900 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $214,900 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $214,900 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $214,900 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $214,900 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on market $214,900 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $220,000 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $220,000 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $220,000 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $220,000 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $220,000 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $220,000 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $220,000 Active 51 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $220,000 Active 50 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $220,000 Active 49 DOM
  18. 2026-04-12
    listed $220,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$540 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,526 · $127/mo
Expected delta
+$986/yr (+$82/mo · 182.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,782
− Mortgage interest
−$12,038
− Property taxes
−$540
− Insurance
−$1,074
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,343
− Management
−$1,343
− Depreciation
−$6,252
Taxable loss
−$5,807
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,394
After-tax cash flow
$-487/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Franklin County
NCES district ID
4701290
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,108
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9094
State rank
#111 of 139 in TN

Livability — Huntland

Score
61/100
State rank
#254
US rank
#18084

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,635

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,858 people
By 2030
43,540 · +1.6%
By 2040
44,623 · +4.1%
By 2050
45,523 · +6.2%
By 2075
48,954 · +14.2%
By 2100
50,170 · +17.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Black 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.2) · D 23.0% · R 76.1%
2008→2024 swing
-30.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -53.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.2 2020: R+47.7 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 63.97%
Current HPI
403.4807
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $220,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $540 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…