256 W Chicago Ave · Pontiac, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't delay on this two story 4 bedroom, 2.2 bath home. A little clean up and sweet equity will go a long ways. Property offers 4 large bedrooms along with the primary bed and bathroom on the main level along with a finished lower level with additional bathroom.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1967
- Listed 11 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway, no garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 half bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Full, partially finished basement; 8 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $238 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 6.7% in Pontiac — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,802/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 1460% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 11 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.37%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $202,511
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- -21.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256 W Chicago Ave | 0.00mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,640 (+2%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $72 | 91 |
| 343 W Newport Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 2,265 (-12%) | 19mo | $253,500 | $112 | 49 |
| 1622 Prairie Dr | 0.67mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,517 (-2%) | 21mo | $278,000 | $110 | 40 |
| 1649 Marshbank Dr | 0.63mi | 3/3.5 | 2,224 (-14%) | 9mo | $335,000 | $151 | 38 |
| 490 Moonlight Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 2,424 (-6%) | 23mo | $230,000 | $95 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-7,511
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $26,819
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48340
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,802 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$280 /mo · $3,366/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $238
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1554 Meadow Ridge Dr Pontiac, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2616 | $2,500 | $0.96 | 18d | 1 | 0.73mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Don't delay on this two story 4 bedroom, 2.2 bath home. A little clean up and sweet equity will go a long ways. Property offers 4 large bedrooms along with the primary bed and bathroom on the main level along with a finished lower level with additional bathroom.
-
2026-05-04status Pending 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Don't delay on this two story 4 bedroom, 2.2 bath home. A little clean up and sweet equity will go a long ways. Property offers 4 large bedrooms along with the primary bed and bathroom on the main level along with a finished lower level with additional bathroom.
-
2026-04-23$159,900 Active 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Don't delay on this two story 4 bedroom, 2.2 bath home. A little clean up and sweet equity will go a long ways. Property offers 4 large bedrooms along with the primary bed and bathroom on the main level along with a finished lower level with additional bathroom.
-
2026-04-23$159,900 Active 262-char remark
Show marketing remark (262 chars)
Don't delay on this two story 4 bedroom, 2.2 bath home. A little clean up and sweet equity will go a long ways. Property offers 4 large bedrooms along with the primary bed and bathroom on the main level along with a finished lower level with additional bathroom.
-
2025-07-09historical
-
2025-07-09historical
-
2025-06-14$265,000 Active
-
2025-06-14$265,000 Active
-
2025-06-07historical
-
2020-03-16soldstatus $176,000
-
2020-03-02soldstatus $175,000
-
2020-03-02soldstatus $175,000
-
2019-12-28$175,000
-
2019-12-28$175,000
-
2019-12-18historical
-
2019-12-18historical
-
2019-09-19$172,833
-
2019-09-19$172,833
-
2019-04-15soldstatus $72,500
-
2019-04-09soldstatus $72,500 Sold
-
2019-04-09soldstatus $72,500 Closed
-
2019-02-13status Pending
-
2019-02-13status Pending
-
2019-02-12$75,000 Active
-
2019-02-12$75,000 Active
-
2003-05-29soldstatus $128,000
-
2003-04-30soldstatus $128,000
-
2002-09-04$129,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,366 · $280/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,366 · $280/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,619
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$3,366
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,730
- − Management
- −$1,730
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $386
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$93
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,759/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pontiac City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628740
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,888
- Composite
- 10.12/100
- National rank
- #9802
- State rank
- #514 of 540 in MI
Livability — Pontiac
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #14703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pontiac, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 44,593
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,669
- Household income
- $47,891
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1460.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 31% White 29% Two or more races 22% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -295.80%
- Current HPI
- 177.961
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.73%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+47.3% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Sold (MLS) $190,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-03 Sold (MLS) $190,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-04 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-04 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-23 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-23 Listed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-07-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-14 Listed $265,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-14 Listed $265,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-07 Coming Soon — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $176,000 Public Records
- 2020-03-02 Sold (MLS) $175,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-03-02 Sold (MLS) $175,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-12-28 Listed $175,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-12-28 Listed $175,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-12-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-12-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-09-19 Listed $172,833 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-09-19 Listed $172,833 REALCOMP
- 2019-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
- 2019-04-09 Sold (MLS) $72,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-04-09 Sold (MLS) $72,500 REALCOMP
- 2019-02-13 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-02-13 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-02-12 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-02-12 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records
- 2003-04-30 Sold (MLS) $128,000 REALCOMP
- 2002-09-04 Listed $129,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,366 · +89.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…