619 Dallas St · York, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WONDERFULLY UPDATED HOME AT GREAT PRICE! SEE IT FIRST! Welcome home to this updated charmer! * Spacious Living Room & Dining Room boast laminate flooring * Remodeled Kitchen highlighted by maple cabinetry & tile floors * Beautiful updated bath! * 3 BR+walk-up attic for great storage or addl living * Terrific 1 car garage * CAC & Furnace 3 yrs old * Updated windows & siding
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 48 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $195 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 5.0% in York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#427 in PA, #3,987 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, employment F.
- York City SD (urban): math 4% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #534 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $125k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.70%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $144,640
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 615 Vander Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,304 (+2%) | 4mo | $103,000 | $79 | 74 |
| 1136 E South St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,328 (+4%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $109 | 73 |
| 219 S Albemarle St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,280 (0%) | 1mo | $142,000 | $111 | 69 |
| 857 E Princess St | 0.40mi | 4/1.0 | 1,360 (+6%) | 5mo | $182,000 | $134 | 67 |
| 368 Norway St | 0.27mi | 4/1.5 | 1,442 (+13%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $90 | 63 |
| 805 Donnelly St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,344 (+5%) | 5mo | $151,500 | $113 | 54 |
| 353 E Prospect St | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 | 1,422 (+11%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $102 | 52 |
| 203 Fulton St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (-14%) | 0mo | $174,000 | $158 | 49 |
| 715 E Clarke Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,182 (-8%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $55 | 49 |
| 926 E Market St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,158 (-10%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $134 | 46 |
| 68 S Albemarle St | 0.64mi | 4/1.5 | 1,459 (+14%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $137 | 42 |
| 1409 4th Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,088 (-15%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $165 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-5,475
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $21,124
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17403
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 213
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,527 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$303 /mo · $3,639/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $195
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715 Vander Ave York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $1,295 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 549 Lancaster Ave York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1458 | $1,875 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 626 S Queen St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1526 | $1,225 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 208 Liberty Ct York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 30 N Franklin St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,395 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 40 N Tremont St #2 York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 443 S Duke St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,225 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 339 E Market St Unit 1 York, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,650 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 514 S Duke St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1289 | $1,625 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 444 S Duke St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1505 3rd Ave York, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1408 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 631 Wallace St Unit 631 York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1545 | $1,325 | $0.86 | 13d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 720 Chestnut St Apt 2 York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,300 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 446 Wallace St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,295 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1538 1st Ave Unit 2 York, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 231 Franklin Way York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,195 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 119 W Jackson St York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,395 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 113 Arch St York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 13d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 334 N Beaver St York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,050 | $0.92 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 133 Stevens Ave York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-02-26status Pending
-
2026-02-17price $125,000
-
2026-01-27price $130,000
-
2026-01-09$135,000 Active
-
2014-07-18soldstatus $62,500
-
2014-07-11soldstatus $62,500 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
WONDERFULLY UPDATED HOME AT GREAT PRICE! SEE IT FIRST! Welcome home to this updated charmer! * Spacious Living Room & Dining Room boast laminate flooring * Remodeled Kitchen highlighted by maple cabinetry & tile floors * Beautiful updated bath! * 3 BR+walk-up attic for great storage or addl living * Terrific 1 car garage * CAC & Furnace 3 yrs old * Updated windows & siding
-
2014-06-06historical 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
WONDERFULLY UPDATED HOME AT GREAT PRICE! SEE IT FIRST! Welcome home to this updated charmer! * Spacious Living Room & Dining Room boast laminate flooring * Remodeled Kitchen highlighted by maple cabinetry & tile floors * Beautiful updated bath! * 3 BR+walk-up attic for great storage or addl living * Terrific 1 car garage * CAC & Furnace 3 yrs old * Updated windows & siding
-
2014-06-01historical
-
2014-06-01historical
-
2014-04-03$62,000 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
WONDERFULLY UPDATED HOME AT GREAT PRICE! SEE IT FIRST! Welcome home to this updated charmer! * Spacious Living Room & Dining Room boast laminate flooring * Remodeled Kitchen highlighted by maple cabinetry & tile floors * Beautiful updated bath! * 3 BR+walk-up attic for great storage or addl living * Terrific 1 car garage * CAC & Furnace 3 yrs old * Updated windows & siding
-
2014-01-27$69,900
-
2013-12-18$75,000
-
2006-12-07soldstatus $9,500
-
2006-11-21historical
-
2006-08-02$79,900
-
2004-07-20soldstatus $64,000
-
2004-07-19soldstatus $64,000
-
2004-06-29historical
-
2004-04-02$67,000
-
1998-06-01soldstatus $51,500
-
1998-05-28soldstatus $51,500
-
1998-05-05historical
-
1997-12-10$51,500
-
1984-11-30soldstatus $8,650
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,639 · $303/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,639 · $303/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,321
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$3,639
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,466
- − Management
- −$1,466
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $488
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$117
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,227/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- York City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226820
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,470
- Composite
- 7.61/100
- National rank
- #9943
- State rank
- #534 of 539 in PA
Livability — York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #427
- US rank
- #3987
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- York, PA
- County
- York County · 278,806 people
- City population
- 184,764
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,287
- Household income
- $75,384
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.51%
- Current HPI
- 284.0731
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.43%
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+1345.1% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-26 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
- 2014-07-11 Sold (MLS) $62,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-06-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-06-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-06-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-04-03 Listed $62,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-01-27 Listed $69,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-12-18 Listed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $9,500 Public Records
- 2006-11-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-08-02 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
- 2004-07-19 Sold (MLS) $64,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-06-29 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-04-02 Listed $67,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $51,500 Public Records
- 1998-05-28 Sold (MLS) $51,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 1998-05-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-12-10 Listed $51,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 1984-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $8,650 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,639 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…