330 Laureno Pl · Laguna Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located on the south side of 98 hwy - just three blocks from the Gulf. This 50×60 lot sits in a neighborhood undergoing steady redevelopment, surrounded by newer construction and rising values. A 1975 mobile home conveys AS-IS, currently livable and usable while you plan your next move. No HOA, RS zoning, and a location that supports Short Term Rentals, long-term rentals, or tear-down/new build. Under $200K for Gulf-area land in PCB is a shrinking window -- this is that window.
Key facts
- 50 x 60 lot
- Mobile home
- 2,962 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $84 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (13.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 0.9% in Laguna Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#283 in FL, #4,522 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: schools F, amenities F.
- Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1249 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $180k implies a 177% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.99%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $255,102
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- -29.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227 Deluna Pl | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 672 (0%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $409 | 92 |
| 19920 Bonita St | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 696 (+4%) | 16mo | $206,000 | $296 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-27,643
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-32,117
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32413
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 1249
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,550 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$123 /mo · $1,474/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $84
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $185 | -5% $134 | +0% $84 | +5% $33 | +10% $-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-39 | -5% $22 | +0% $84 | +5% $145 | +10% $206 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $174 | -0.5pp $129 | base $84 | +0.5pp $37 | +1.0pp $-10 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17784 Front Beach Rd #16 Panama City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 385 | $1,500 | $3.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 310 Malaga Pl Unit 1 Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $1,450 | $3.02 | 13d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 17614 Front Beach Rd Unit 16D Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $1,600 | $2.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $179,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-04-24status Active 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Located on the south side of 98 hwy - just three blocks from the Gulf. This 50×60 lot sits in a neighborhood undergoing steady redevelopment, surrounded by newer construction and rising values. A 1975 mobile home conveys AS-IS, currently livable and usable while you plan your next move. No HOA, RS zoning, and a location that supports Short Term Rentals, long-term rentals, or tear-down/new build. Under $200K for Gulf-area land in PCB is a shrinking window -- this is that window.
-
2026-04-17price $179,900 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Located on the south side of 98 hwy - just three blocks from the Gulf. This 50×60 lot sits in a neighborhood undergoing steady redevelopment, surrounded by newer construction and rising values. A 1975 mobile home conveys AS-IS, currently livable and usable while you plan your next move. No HOA, RS zoning, and a location that supports Short Term Rentals, long-term rentals, or tear-down/new build. Under $200K for Gulf-area land in PCB is a shrinking window -- this is that window.
-
2026-02-17price $189,900 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Located on the south side of 98 hwy - just three blocks from the Gulf. This 50×60 lot sits in a neighborhood undergoing steady redevelopment, surrounded by newer construction and rising values. A 1975 mobile home conveys AS-IS, currently livable and usable while you plan your next move. No HOA, RS zoning, and a location that supports Short Term Rentals, long-term rentals, or tear-down/new build. Under $200K for Gulf-area land in PCB is a shrinking window -- this is that window.
-
2026-02-03price $199,000 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Located on the south side of 98 hwy - just three blocks from the Gulf. This 50×60 lot sits in a neighborhood undergoing steady redevelopment, surrounded by newer construction and rising values. A 1975 mobile home conveys AS-IS, currently livable and usable while you plan your next move. No HOA, RS zoning, and a location that supports Short Term Rentals, long-term rentals, or tear-down/new build. Under $200K for Gulf-area land in PCB is a shrinking window -- this is that window.
-
2026-01-09$230,000 Active 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Located on the south side of 98 hwy - just three blocks from the Gulf. This 50×60 lot sits in a neighborhood undergoing steady redevelopment, surrounded by newer construction and rising values. A 1975 mobile home conveys AS-IS, currently livable and usable while you plan your next move. No HOA, RS zoning, and a location that supports Short Term Rentals, long-term rentals, or tear-down/new build. Under $200K for Gulf-area land in PCB is a shrinking window -- this is that window.
-
2021-12-14historical
-
2021-12-14historical
-
2017-02-20soldstatus $65,000
-
2017-02-16soldstatus $65,000
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2015-06-23$69,000
-
2012-08-01soldstatus $54,000
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2004-07-06$179,000
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2004-07-01$179,000
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2003-04-17soldstatus $28,000
-
2000-01-06soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,474 · $123/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,493 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- +$19/yr (+$2/mo · 1.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,605
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$1,474
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,488
- − Management
- −$1,488
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$2,056
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$494
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,497/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bay
- NCES district ID
- 1200090
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,740
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3014
- State rank
- #29 of 73 in FL
Livability — Laguna Beach
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #283
- US rank
- #4522
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Laguna Beach, FL
- County
- Bay County · 163,593 people
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,453
- Household income
- $80,039
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 531.0
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 206,264 people
- By 2030
- 217,740 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 238,738 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 255,545 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 288,295 · +39.8%
- By 2100
- 288,638 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -185.97%
- Current HPI
- 354.7469
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.52%
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1099.3% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — CPARMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $179,900 CPARMLS
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $189,900 CPARMLS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $199,000 CPARMLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $230,000 CPARMLS
- 2021-12-14 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2021-12-14 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2017-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2017-02-16 Sold (MLS) $65,000 CPARMLS
- 2015-06-23 Listed $69,000 CPARMLS
- 2012-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
- 2004-07-06 Listed $179,000 CPARMLS
- 2004-07-01 Listed $179,000 CPARMLS
- 2003-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 2000-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,474 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…