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1006 Cedar
D+ Composite 48.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

1006 Cedar · Crossett, AR 71635
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,628 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1950 0.42 ac lot Est $202k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Parcel:# 706-01232-000, Great location for the great investment of a home with 2628 sq ft, .42 Acre lot, concrete driveway, large living/dining room with hardwood floors, large windows, a huge family room with fireplace with built-ins on each side, 4 glass sliding doors leading to concrete patio, large kitchen with opening to the den from kitchen. Kitchen needs work but is an open slate of ideas just waiting for you to bring to life. A hall from entry hall leads to the four bedrooms and two bathrooms. All bedrooms are good size and have good closets. The two bathrooms have showers over bathtubs. Master bath is just off master bedroom which features two large closets. The large laundry room is also a half bath and is located just off hallway coming in from the backdoor coming in from the double carport. There is also a bonus room that could be a man cave or kids game room. This home is just waiting for the right family to make it their own.

Key facts

  • Glass sliding doors
  • Huge family room
  • Concrete patio

Tags

CONCRETE DRIVEWAYHUGE FAMILY ROOMFIREPLACE WITH BUILT-INSGLASS SLIDING DOORSCONCRETE PATIOLARGE KITCHEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 0.42 acre lot; Square footage recorded from courthouse/tax records

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric service (Entergy); Natural gas
  • Home design: Frame construction; Asbestos exterior material; Composition roof; Slab/crawl combination foundation
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asbestos exterior material; Composition roof; Slab/crawl combination foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Inside city limits

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Pantry
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood; Vinyl; Tile
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heat (gas); Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Carpet, wood, vinyl and tile flooring; Wood-burning site-built fireplace; Formal living room, den/family room and game room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $50 ($600/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (13.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 5.4% in Crossett — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#299 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, crime F.
  • Crossett School District (town): math 19% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #213 of 238 in AR (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ashley County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $84k; list at $135k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,175 (13.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.59%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$202,356
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1009 Cedar 0.05mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,664 (+1%) 4mo $155,000 $58 85
1105 Hickory St 0.13mi 4/3.0 2,544 (-3%) 12mo $205,000 $81 77
508 Walnut 0.54mi 4/2.5 2,536 (-4%) 2mo $205,000 $81 67
1415 Chestnut 0.56mi 4/2.0 2,560 (-3%) 11mo $208,900 $82 59
1405 Cedar St 0.41mi 4/3.0 2,768 (+5%) 21mo $170,000 $61 52
1102 Hickory 0.10mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,290 (-13%) 24mo $147,000 $64 45
1500 Pecan St 0.65mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,535 (-4%) 15mo $195,000 $77 44
806 Pecan 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,376 (-10%) 24mo $139,000 $59 40
705 Walnut St 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,341 (-11%) 24mo $199,000 $85 36
101 Dogwood Dr 0.68mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,277 (-13%) 24mo $171,000 $75 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.8%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-18,709
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-12,261
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71635

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,172 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,338/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$50

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,108
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $135,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 New Listing 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 New Listing 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $135,000 New Listing 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $135,000 New Listing 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,338 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,338 · $111/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,061
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,338
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,125
− Management
−$1,125
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$1,691
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$406
After-tax cash flow
$1,006/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crossett School District
NCES district ID
0504800
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$37,682
Composite
16.73/100
National rank
#9162
State rank
#213 of 238 in AR

Livability — Crossett

Score
59/100
State rank
#299
US rank
#20393

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Crossett, AR
Population (ZIP)
10,368

Population outlook (Ashley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,757 people
By 2030
17,541 · -6.5%
By 2040
15,243 · -18.7%
By 2050
13,136 · -30.0%
By 2075
8,901 · -52.5%
By 2100
5,626 · -70.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ashley

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.2% · R 73.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.9pp toward R · 2008: -28.1pp · 2024: -48.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.0 2020: R+43.2 2016: R+36.5 2012: R+25.4 2008: R+28.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.73%
Current HPI
125.616
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+45.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $135,000 CARMLS
  • 2023-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $83,700 Public Records
  • 2023-09-15 Pending CARMLS
  • 2023-09-15 Sold (MLS) $87,000 CARMLS
  • 2023-07-19 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2023-07-18 Listed $89,900 CARMLS
  • 2023-06-08 Listed $89,900 CARMLS
  • 2023-04-10 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2023-03-13 Listed $100,000 CARMLS
  • 2022-08-29 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2021-08-19 Listed $118,000 CARMLS
  • 2008-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $116,000 Public Records
  • 2006-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,338 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…