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3233 Glacier Dr
D+ Composite 48.74
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.1/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

3233 Glacier Dr · Lawrence, KS 66047
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,054 sqft · Townhouse public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1971 4,792 sqft lot Est $169k · 10% over $60/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move in ready, one level home that is priced to sell! This home features an updated kitchen, large patio, kitchen appliances and washer/dryer staying. Three bedrooms, one bathroom and a single car garage. LOW HOA fees provide lawn care, snow removal, and access to community amenities, including a park and pool. Very convenient location!

Key facts

  • Kitchen appliances
  • Low hoa fees
  • Washer dryer

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENLARGE PATIOKITCHEN APPLIANCESWASHER DRYERLOW HOA FEESCOMMUNITY AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with $60 monthly fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Attached townhouse; Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Built approximately 51–75 years ago
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 4,792 square feet; Flood plain status: Unknown; Maintenance provided by community

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling (has cooling)
  • Interior features: Ranch floor plan; Slab foundation

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.7% in Lawrence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 88/100 on livability (#1 in KS, #237 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D-.
  • Lawrence (urban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #46 of 169 in KS (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 246 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $185,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.75%
Cash-on-cash
5.19%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$168,640
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3315 Glacier Dr 0.06mi 3/1.0 1,054 (0%) 20mo $150,000 $142 81
3227 Glacier Dr 0.03mi 3/1.5 1,124 (+7%) 14mo $190,000 $169 74
2523 Morningside Dr 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,050 (-0%) 6mo $179,500 $171 71
3231 W 26th St 0.04mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+14%) 12mo $190,000 $158 65
3013 Havrone Way 0.45mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,099 (+4%) 10mo $175,900 $160 57
3004 Havrone Way 0.42mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,099 (+4%) 24mo $175,000 $159 46
2516 Crestline Ct 0.71mi 2/2.0 (-1) 940 (-11%) 12mo $195,000 $207 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-10,246
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$33,125
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66047

Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,913 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$180 /mo · $2,159/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$60
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$224

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,629
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$60 · $720/yr
Likely covers
landscapingsnow removalpool

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Move in ready, one level home that is priced to sell! This home features an updated kitchen, large patio, kitchen appliances and washer/dryer staying. Three bedrooms, one bathroom and a single car garage. LOW HOA fees provide lawn care, snow removal, and access to community amenities, including a park and pool. Very convenient location!

  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $185,000 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Move in ready, one level home that is priced to sell! This home features an updated kitchen, large patio, kitchen appliances and washer/dryer staying. Three bedrooms, one bathroom and a single car garage. LOW HOA fees provide lawn care, snow removal, and access to community amenities, including a park and pool. Very convenient location!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,159 · $180/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,608 · $217/mo
Expected delta
+$449/yr (+$37/mo · 20.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,957
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$2,159
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,837
− Management
−$1,837
− HOA
−$720
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$265
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$63
After-tax cash flow
$2,754/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lawrence
NCES district ID
2008400
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$46,259
Composite
32.02/100
National rank
#5826
State rank
#46 of 169 in KS

Livability — Lawrence

Score
88/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#237

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lawrence, KS
County
Douglas County · 100,966 people
City population
100,966
Metro
Lawrence, KS
Population (ZIP)
20,473
Household income
$65,392
Rent vs Own
54.2% rent · 45.8% own
Severe rent burden
1202.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
136,863 people
By 2030
147,255 · +7.6%
By 2040
167,760 · +22.6%
By 2050
190,593 · +39.3%
By 2075
253,850 · +85.5%
By 2100
314,741 · +130.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 4% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.0) · D 68.2% · R 30.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+7.2pp toward D · 2008: 30.8pp · 2024: 38.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.0 2020: D+39.5 2016: D+32.7 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+30.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -181.17%
Current HPI
216.2381
Rent YoY
▲ 5.74%
Metro
Lawrence, KS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+71.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $185,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $185,000 Lawrence MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2020-11-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-04-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-04-27 Sold (MLS) Lawrence MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2018-03-21 Listed $108,000 Lawrence MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2017-12-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1991-02-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,159 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…