3233 Glacier Dr · Lawrence, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- ARV discount +3.1/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in ready, one level home that is priced to sell! This home features an updated kitchen, large patio, kitchen appliances and washer/dryer staying. Three bedrooms, one bathroom and a single car garage. LOW HOA fees provide lawn care, snow removal, and access to community amenities, including a park and pool. Very convenient location!
Key facts
- Kitchen appliances
- Low hoa fees
- Washer dryer
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with $60 monthly fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Attached townhouse; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Built approximately 51–75 years ago
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 4,792 square feet; Flood plain status: Unknown; Maintenance provided by community
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first floor
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling (has cooling)
- Interior features: Ranch floor plan; Slab foundation
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.7% in Lawrence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#1 in KS, #237 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D-.
- Lawrence (urban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #46 of 169 in KS (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 246 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.19%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $168,640
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3315 Glacier Dr | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,054 (0%) | 20mo | $150,000 | $142 | 81 |
| 3227 Glacier Dr | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 | 1,124 (+7%) | 14mo | $190,000 | $169 | 74 |
| 2523 Morningside Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,050 (-0%) | 6mo | $179,500 | $171 | 71 |
| 3231 W 26th St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+14%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $158 | 65 |
| 3013 Havrone Way | 0.45mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,099 (+4%) | 10mo | $175,900 | $160 | 57 |
| 3004 Havrone Way | 0.42mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,099 (+4%) | 24mo | $175,000 | $159 | 46 |
| 2516 Crestline Ct | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 940 (-11%) | 12mo | $195,000 | $207 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-10,246
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $33,125
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66047
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,913 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,159/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$60
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$402
- Net cashflow
- $224
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $60 · $720/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingsnow removalpool
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Move in ready, one level home that is priced to sell! This home features an updated kitchen, large patio, kitchen appliances and washer/dryer staying. Three bedrooms, one bathroom and a single car garage. LOW HOA fees provide lawn care, snow removal, and access to community amenities, including a park and pool. Very convenient location!
-
2026-06-18$185,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Move in ready, one level home that is priced to sell! This home features an updated kitchen, large patio, kitchen appliances and washer/dryer staying. Three bedrooms, one bathroom and a single car garage. LOW HOA fees provide lawn care, snow removal, and access to community amenities, including a park and pool. Very convenient location!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,159 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,608 · $217/mo
- Expected delta
- +$449/yr (+$37/mo · 20.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,957
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,159
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,837
- − Management
- −$1,837
- − HOA
- −$720
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$265
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$63
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,754/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawrence
- NCES district ID
- 2008400
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,259
- Composite
- 32.02/100
- National rank
- #5826
- State rank
- #46 of 169 in KS
Livability — Lawrence
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lawrence, KS
- County
- Douglas County · 100,966 people
- City population
- 100,966
- Metro
- Lawrence, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,473
- Household income
- $65,392
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1202.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 136,863 people
- By 2030
- 147,255 · +7.6%
- By 2040
- 167,760 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 190,593 · +39.3%
- By 2075
- 253,850 · +85.5%
- By 2100
- 314,741 · +130.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 4% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.0) · D 68.2% · R 30.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.2pp toward D · 2008: 30.8pp · 2024: 38.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.0 2020: D+39.5 2016: D+32.7 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+30.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -181.17%
- Current HPI
- 216.2381
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.74%
- Metro
- Lawrence, KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+71.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $185,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-18 Listed $185,000 Lawrence MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2020-11-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-04-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-04-27 Sold (MLS) — Lawrence MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2018-03-21 Listed $108,000 Lawrence MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2017-12-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1991-02-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,159 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…