25 Turcotte St · Berlin, NH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $507 – $941
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 85°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LOVELY GAMBREL HOME ON LARGE CORNER LOT IN A VERY NICE LOCATION! LARGE LIVING ROOM FEATURES BEAMS, WOODBURNING STOVE ON A BRICK HEARTH AND LOTS OF WINDOWS.
Key facts
- Corner flat lot
- 0.46 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property is listed as foreclosed / bank-owned / REO
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with space for 2 cars
- Utilities: Public water (metered); Public sewer; Circuit breaker electrical service; No internet service listed
- Home design: Gambrel architectural style; Existing structure; Beige exterior
- Construction: Built in 1943; Wood frame with vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: City lot on a corner, level terrain; Paved driveway; 200 feet road frontage on a public paved road
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Baseboard heating; Hot water heating
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Unfinished basement with concrete floor and sump pump; interior access
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $775 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 7.1% in Berlin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#67 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Berlin School District (town): math 24% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #91 of 98 in NH (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Berlin Elementary School (math 35% / reading 33%, grade F, #188 of 263 statewide, top 71%, 422 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 95 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Coos County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.23%
- DSCR
- 2.48
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $197,834
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -49.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Rheims St | 0.23mi | 4/1.0 | 1,700 (+4%) | 14mo | $280,000 | $165 | 70 |
| 1786 Hutchins St | 0.18mi | 4/2.5 | 1,829 (+12%) | 7mo | $203,000 | $111 | 60 |
| 539 Lincoln Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,396 (-14%) | 13mo | $295,000 | $211 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.71×
- Total profit
- $103,768
- Equity at exit
- $89,998
- IRR
- 43.4%
- Equity multiple
- 10.54×
- Total profit
- $266,841
- Equity at exit
- $194,084
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Hampshire
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 03570
- Home prices YoY
- 14.3%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,854 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$389
- Net cashflow
- $775
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18price $99,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $109,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$109,900 Active 149-char remark
-
2004-08-23soldstatus $99,900
-
2004-08-18soldstatus $99,900 155-char remark
Show marketing remark (155 chars)
LOVELY GAMBREL HOME ON LARGE CORNER LOT IN A VERY NICE LOCATION! LARGE LIVING ROOM FEATURES BEAMS, WOODBURNING STOVE ON A BRICK HEARTH AND LOTS OF WINDOWS.
-
2004-06-25$99,900 155-char remark
Show marketing remark (155 chars)
LOVELY GAMBREL HOME ON LARGE CORNER LOT IN A VERY NICE LOCATION! LARGE LIVING ROOM FEATURES BEAMS, WOODBURNING STOVE ON A BRICK HEARTH AND LOTS OF WINDOWS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,252
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,780
- − Management
- −$1,780
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $8,192
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,966
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,329/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berlin School District
- NCES district ID
- 3301860
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,494
- Composite
- 22.5/100
- National rank
- #8095
- State rank
- #91 of 98 in NH
Livability — Berlin
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #67
- US rank
- #11665
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berlin, NH
- City population
- 9,473
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,473
Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,912 people
- By 2030
- 29,872 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 27,449 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 25,049 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 19,584 · -36.6%
- By 2100
- 13,818 · -55.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 21% German 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Coos
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.8) · D 42.7% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.1pp toward R · 2008: 18.3pp · 2024: -13.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.8 2020: R+5.9 2016: R+9.1 2012: D+17.6 2008: D+18.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 55.16%
- Current HPI
- 440.9127
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+10.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $109,900 PrimeMLS
- 2004-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records
- 2004-08-18 Sold (MLS) $99,900 PrimeMLS
- 2004-06-25 Listed $99,900 PrimeMLS
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $5,114 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…