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14531 Lappin St
D Composite 42.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$20,000

14531 Lappin St · Detroit, MI 48205
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,180 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 605 Days on market
Built 1926 4,356 sqft lot $17/sqft · 52% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the latest offering from the Detroit Land Bank Authority. 3 Bedroom frame colonial in need of a total rehab offered in a 3 home package for one price all on the same street. Sale includes 14390 and 14578 Lappin as well. Please note that the Detroit Land bank Authority is entitled to a tax capture for the 5 tax years subsequent to transferring ownership of the property. The tax capture may be incompatible with tax abatements and/or lot combinations that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights and may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests. The payment will be determined upon reviewing the development proforma and effect of any tax abatements on the purchase and development financing. Please refer to DLBA proposal guidelines

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1926

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $948 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 63.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 605 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $2k; list at $20k implies a 1233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $17,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 605 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.84%
Cap rate
63.17%
Cash-on-cash
203.15%
DSCR
10.04
GRM
1.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$41,998
List price
$20,000
Delta
-52.38%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14788 Rossini Dr 0.44mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,099 (-7%) 1mo $82,000 $75 62
15416 Eastwood St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,211 (+3%) 2mo $70,000 $58 62
14910 Fairmount Dr 0.52mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,116 (-5%) 1mo $15,000 $13 61
15256 Fordham St 0.48mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,099 (-7%) 3mo $60,000 $55 57
15011 Bringard Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,208 (+2%) 2mo $125,000 $103 56
14076 Rossini Dr 0.49mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,055 (-11%) 0mo $90,000 $85 54
15017 Lappin St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-15%) 2mo $60,000 $60 54
19953 Regent Dr 0.46mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,038 (-12%) 2mo $55,000 $53 52
14078 Bringard Dr 0.66mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,110 (-6%) 2mo $76,000 $68 51
13900 Bringard Dr 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,242 (+5%) 2mo $49,000 $39 49
15275 Eastburn St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (-7%) 2mo $56,000 $51 49
14119 Edmore Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,278 (+8%) 2mo $70,000 $55 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
10.80×
Total profit
$54,895
Equity at exit
$2,982
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
21.83×
Total profit
$116,647
Equity at exit
$1,729

Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
373
Price-to-rent
1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,369 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$105
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $240/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$948

Break-even live

Break-even rent $169
Max offer price $20,000
Occupancy floor 26%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,000
Closing costs
$600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 989 $1,150 $1.16 17d 1 0.06mi
14481 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 43d 1 0.06mi
14504 Coram St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1203 $1,175 $0.98 24d 1 0.07mi
13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1031 $1,374 $1.33 17d 1 0.56mi
15604 Coram St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1210 $1,000 $0.83 43d 1 0.64mi
15616 E 7 Mile Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,150 $1.00 17d 1 0.70mi
14134 Collingham Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,350 $1.04 43d 1 0.77mi
19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,350 $1.32 17d 1 0.80mi
15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 937 $1,275 $1.36 43d 1 0.83mi
14068 Carlisle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,300 $1.27 24d 1 0.84mi
15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1018 $1,350 $1.33 43d 1 0.85mi
19170 Joann St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1020 $1,400 $1.37 43d 1 0.86mi
15909 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $1,266 $1.42 43d 1 0.87mi
13693 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1269 $1,550 $1.22 11d 1 0.88mi
15503 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1285 $1,100 $0.86 43d 1 0.93mi
19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,225 $1.14 17d 1 0.95mi
20227 Pelkey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 968 $1,350 $1.39 17d 1 0.96mi
20027 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,349 $1.35 17d 1 0.98mi
18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 874 $1,450 $1.66 21d 1 0.98mi
18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,450 $1.57 24d 1 0.98mi
20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 747 $1,300 $1.74 11d 1 1.00mi
19610 Westphalia St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,595 $1.33 17d 1 1.01mi
19207 Westphalia St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1179 $1,800 $1.53 17d 1 1.01mi
19419 Westphalia St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1293 $1,325 $1.02 17d 1 1.02mi
14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1296 $1,250 $0.96 43d 1 1.03mi
13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,195 $1.03 17d 1 1.04mi
15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $970 $0.85 17d 1 1.06mi
16225 Manning St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1036 $1,475 $1.42 43d 1 1.07mi
12716 Riad St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 974 $1,275 $1.31 17d 1 1.12mi
18530 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.5 1396 $1,375 $0.98 17d 1 1.12mi
16242 Bringard Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,300 $0.96 4d 1 1.23mi
18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1041 $1,400 $1.34 24d 1 1.23mi
16291 Eastburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 24d 1 1.24mi
20296 Waltham St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 986 $1,300 $1.32 17d 1 1.32mi
11911 Lansdowne St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1350 $1,400 $1.04 43d 1 1.33mi
16410 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $1,250 $1.47 14d 1 1.33mi
20091 Barlow St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 930 $1,300 $1.40 17d 1 1.33mi
12846 Georgiana Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,300 $1.43 24d 1 1.38mi
12807 Coleen Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,250 $1.16 24d 1 1.38mi
11689 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,350 $1.18 43d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 43 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $20,000 Active 605 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $20,000 Active 604 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $20,000 Active 602 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $20,000 Active 600 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $20,000 Active 599 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $20,000 Active 596 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $20,000 Active 595 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $20,000 Active 594 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $20,000 Active 591 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $20,000 Active 590 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $20,000 Active 588 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $20,000 Active 587 DOM
  13. 2024-10-21
    listed $20,000 Active 833-char remark
    Show marketing remark (833 chars)

    Welcome to the latest offering from the Detroit Land Bank Authority. 3 Bedroom frame colonial in need of a total rehab offered in a 3 home package for one price all on the same street. Sale includes 14390 and 14578 Lappin as well. Please note that the Detroit Land bank Authority is entitled to a tax capture for the 5 tax years subsequent to transferring ownership of the property. The tax capture may be incompatible with tax abatements and/or lot combinations that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights and may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests. The payment will be determined upon reviewing the development proforma and effect of any tax abatements on the purchase and development financing. Please refer to DLBA proposal guidelines

  14. 2024-10-21
    listed $20,000 Active 833-char remark
    Show marketing remark (833 chars)

    Welcome to the latest offering from the Detroit Land Bank Authority. 3 Bedroom frame colonial in need of a total rehab offered in a 3 home package for one price all on the same street. Sale includes 14390 and 14578 Lappin as well. Please note that the Detroit Land bank Authority is entitled to a tax capture for the 5 tax years subsequent to transferring ownership of the property. The tax capture may be incompatible with tax abatements and/or lot combinations that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights and may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests. The payment will be determined upon reviewing the development proforma and effect of any tax abatements on the purchase and development financing. Please refer to DLBA proposal guidelines

  15. 2023-06-26
    status Pending
  16. 2023-06-26
    status Pending
  17. 2023-06-26
    historical
  18. 2023-06-26
    historical
  19. 2020-09-19
    price $2,500
  20. 2020-09-18
    price $2,500
  21. 2020-04-21
    status Active
  22. 2020-04-21
    status Pending
  23. 2020-03-06
    listed $4,000 Active
  24. 2020-03-06
    listed $4,000 Active
  25. 2011-12-31
    historical
  26. 2011-12-31
    historical
  27. 2009-05-08
    listed $4,900
  28. 2009-05-08
    listed $4,900
  29. 2008-06-30
    soldstatus $1,500
  30. 2007-09-18
    listed $1,500
  31. 2006-03-02
    soldstatus $78,000
  32. 2005-08-22
    soldstatus $32,900
  33. 2005-08-22
    soldstatus $32,900
  34. 2005-05-09
    historical
  35. 2005-04-12
    listed $32,900
  36. 2005-04-12
    listed $32,900
  37. 2004-03-01
    soldstatus $78,000
  38. 2003-11-12
    soldstatus $30,000
  39. 2003-11-12
    soldstatus $30,000
  40. 2003-10-21
    historical
  41. 2003-08-06
    listed $39,900
  42. 2003-07-30
    listed $39,900
  43. 1996-07-20
    soldstatus $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$240 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$274 · $23/mo
Expected delta
+$34/yr (+$3/mo · 14.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,424
− Mortgage interest
−$1,120
− Property taxes
−$240
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,314
− Management
−$1,314
− Depreciation
−$582
Taxable income
$11,754
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,821
After-tax cash flow
$8,555/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.6% since first listed
31 events — show timeline
  • 2024-10-21 Listed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-10-21 Listed $20,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-06-26 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-06-26 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-06-26 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-06-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2020-09-19 Price Changed $2,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-09-18 Price Changed $2,500 REALCOMP
  • 2020-04-21 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2020-04-21 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2020-03-06 Listed $4,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-03-06 Listed $4,000 REALCOMP
  • 2011-12-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2011-12-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-05-08 Listed $4,900 REALCOMP
  • 2009-05-08 Listed $4,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-06-30 Sold (MLS) $1,500 REALCOMP
  • 2007-09-18 Listed $1,500 REALCOMP
  • 2006-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2005-08-22 Sold (MLS) $32,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-08-22 Sold (MLS) $32,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-05-09 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-04-12 Listed $32,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-04-12 Listed $32,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2003-11-12 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-11-12 Sold (MLS) $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2003-10-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-08-06 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-07-30 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1996-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-56.6%/yr

Latest (2016): $240 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…