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37 Tammy Ln Unit 608S
B- Composite 69.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.0/30.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,995

37 Tammy Ln Unit 608S · Cheektowaga, NY 14225
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 728 sqft · Manufactured · 116 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition $151/sqft · 110% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Take a peak at this beautiful brand new 2 bedroom home in Sky Harbor. Drywall throughout with accent wall to make mounting your TV a lot easier. All kitchen appliances included with central A/C. Off-street parking with brand new shed for storage. Call us today for a viewing!

Key facts

  • Brand new shed
  • Central a/c
  • Off-street parking

Tags

CENTRAL A/COFF-STREET PARKINGBRAND NEW SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.8% in Cheektowaga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#54 in NY, #811 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
  • Lancaster Central School District (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #234 of 590 in NY (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $100,095 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.01%
Cash-on-cash
13.28%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$52,333
List price
$109,995
Delta
110.18%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
28 Estelle Dr 0.04mi 2/1.0 732 (+0%) 20mo $23,000 $31 80
62 Jenny Ln 0.07mi 2/1.5 720 (-1%) 17mo $29,999 $42 78
12 Annamarie Ter 0.08mi 2/1.0 720 (-1%) 22mo $38,500 $53 76
11 Melody Ln 0.13mi 2/1.0 672 (-8%) 6mo $50,000 $74 76

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$3,902
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$31,432
Equity at exit
$9,510

Cash invested: $30,799 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14225

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,394 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax est. 1.5%
$137 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$341

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $109,995
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,499
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4925 Genesee St Cheektowaga, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 680 $1,399 $2.06 19d 1 0.27mi
5841 Transit Rd Unit 3 Depew, NY 2.0 1.0 750 $1,335 $1.78 3d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,995 Active 116 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,995 Active 115 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,995 Active 114 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,995 Active 113 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,995 Active 111 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,995 Active 110 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $109,995 Active 108 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,995 Active 107 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,995 Active 106 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,995 Active 105 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,995 Active 101 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,995 Active 100 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,995 Active 99 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,995 Active 98 DOM
  15. 2026-02-22
    listed $109,995 Active 275-char remark
    Show marketing remark (275 chars)

    Take a peak at this beautiful brand new 2 bedroom home in Sky Harbor. Drywall throughout with accent wall to make mounting your TV a lot easier. All kitchen appliances included with central A/C. Off-street parking with brand new shed for storage. Call us today for a viewing!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,723
− Mortgage interest
−$6,161
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,338
− Management
−$1,338
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$2,486
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$597
After-tax cash flow
$3,493/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This brand new 2-bedroom manufactured home in Sky Harbor is move-in ready with no visible signs of wear or damage. It's ideal for both resale and rental due to its pristine condition and modern features.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lancaster Central School District
NCES district ID
3616680
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$64,668
Composite
51.64/100
National rank
#1700
State rank
#234 of 590 in NY

Livability — Cheektowaga

Score
84/100
State rank
#54
US rank
#811

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cheektowaga, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
55,470
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
33,620
Household income
$67,237
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
991.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 13% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -120.26%
Current HPI
320.6248
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-22 Listed $109,995 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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