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205 E 9th St
B- Composite 69.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$79,900

205 E 9th St · Caruthersville, MO 63830
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,120 sqft · Other public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1978 10,454 sqft lot $71/sqft · at area comps Est $82k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This is a 4-bedroom, 1.5 bath brick home with a nice-sized yard and an open floor plan.

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Built 1978
  • Listed 36 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: No specific parking details provided
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220-volt electric service; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story house; Private ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Open lot; Asphalt road frontage on a city street

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 11x9)
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level); Bedroom sizes include 11x11, 12x10, 10x9, and an additional 11x13 room
  • Flooring: Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level); 1 half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Blinds on the windows; Linoleum flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry room (approx. 8x7)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($985 rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#780 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Caruthersville 18 (town): math 14% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #307 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Caruthersville Elementary (math 21% / reading 23%, grade F, #910 of 1,115 statewide, top 83%, 496 students, 99% FRL); Caruthersville High (math 2% / reading 44%, grade F, #453 of 521 statewide, top 87%, 258 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 69% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Pemiscot County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pemiscot County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,503 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
10.86%
Cash-on-cash
16.32%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$81,689
List price
$79,900
Delta
-2.19%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.4%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$12,240
Equity at exit
$18,133
10-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$40,876
Equity at exit
$18,075

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63830

Home prices YoY
-1.3%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$985 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $258/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$304

Break-even live

Break-even rent $600
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,900 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,900 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    listed $79,900 Active 87-char remark
  16. 2023-03-09
    soldstatus
  17. 2023-03-09
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$258 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$775 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$517/yr (+$43/mo · 200.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,818
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$258
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$945
− Management
−$945
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$2,469
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$593
After-tax cash flow
$3,058/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caruthersville 18
NCES district ID
2907470
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$29,187
Composite
15.06/100
National rank
#9349
State rank
#307 of 324 in MO

Livability — Caruthersville

Score
54/100
State rank
#780
US rank
#23872

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Caruthersville, MO
Population (ZIP)
6,315

Population outlook (Pemiscot County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,803 people
By 2030
14,934 · -5.5%
By 2040
13,246 · -16.2%
By 2050
11,669 · -26.2%
By 2075
8,426 · -46.7%
By 2100
6,057 · -61.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pemiscot

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.1) · D 25.3% · R 74.3%
2008→2024 swing
-35.9pp toward R · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -49.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.1 2020: R+44.6 2016: R+33.5 2012: R+14.6 2008: R+13.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.30%
Current HPI
99.2828
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $79,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-03-09 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $258 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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