1267 Jacktown Rd · Marion, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
MULTIPLE OFFERS! HIGHEST AND BEST MUST BE SUBMITTED ON THE WEBSITE BY 2 PM ON TUESDAY (MAY 12)! You've got options at this list price! Either do a major renovation on the existing doublewide. .. OR. .. . remove it and replace it! OVER 4 ACRES!! Also. .. . there is a damaged singlewide on the back of the property (accessed by Christopher Rd). Previous listing suggests there are 2 wells and 2 septics on this property! Condition is unknown. Wonderful location just off the interstate! Great views! Come and get it!!
Key facts
- 2 wells
- Great views
- 2 septics
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 4.3 acres
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Water from a private well; Septic system installed
- Home design: Manufactured doublewide single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Manufactured construction with vinyl exterior; Crawl space foundation; One-story structure
- Exterior features: Property includes other structures (see remarks); Road surfaces include dirt, gravel and paved; Publicly maintained road access
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliances specified
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Heating: Other (see remarks); Cooling: Other (see remarks)
- Interior features: Open room count: 1; Appliances: None listed
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in a utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $809 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Cap rate 27.9% vs local median 3.3% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#93 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D-, amenities F.
- Mcdowell County Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #115 of 178 in NC (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 266 active listings in the ZIP; 175 units permitted in McDowell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- McDowell County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 77.04%
- DSCR
- 4.43
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 77.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.51×
- Total profit
- $44,253
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 80.7%
- Equity multiple
- 9.33×
- Total profit
- $104,983
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28752
- Active inventory
- 266
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,429 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $787/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $809
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-05-09$45,000 Active
-
2025-06-10status Pending
-
2025-04-18status Active
-
2024-10-01$128,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $787 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $787 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,152
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$787
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,372
- − Management
- −$1,372
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $9,566
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,296
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,411/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcdowell County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702940
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,769
- Composite
- 33.6/100
- National rank
- #5413
- State rank
- #115 of 178 in NC
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #6157
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 30,602
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,602
Population outlook (McDowell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,615 people
- By 2030
- 44,002 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 42,285 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 39,906 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 34,396 · -22.9%
- By 2100
- 27,970 · -37.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 8% German/W. Germanic 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McDowell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.2) · D 25.1% · R 74.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.2pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -49.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.2 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+50.5 2012: R+31.9 2008: R+27.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.41%
- Current HPI
- 182.9225
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-64.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-09 Listed $45,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-10 Pending — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-18 Relisted — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-01 Listed $128,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $787 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…