CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1267 Jacktown Rd
B- Composite 69.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

1267 Jacktown Rd · Marion, NC 28752
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1996 4.30 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

MULTIPLE OFFERS! HIGHEST AND BEST MUST BE SUBMITTED ON THE WEBSITE BY 2 PM ON TUESDAY (MAY 12)! You've got options at this list price! Either do a major renovation on the existing doublewide. .. OR. .. . remove it and replace it! OVER 4 ACRES!! Also. .. . there is a damaged singlewide on the back of the property (accessed by Christopher Rd). Previous listing suggests there are 2 wells and 2 septics on this property! Condition is unknown. Wonderful location just off the interstate! Great views! Come and get it!!

Key facts

  • 2 wells
  • Great views
  • 2 septics

Tags

OVER 4 ACRES2 WELLS2 SEPTICSGREAT VIEWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 4.3 acres
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Water from a private well; Septic system installed
  • Home design: Manufactured doublewide single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Manufactured construction with vinyl exterior; Crawl space foundation; One-story structure
  • Exterior features: Property includes other structures (see remarks); Road surfaces include dirt, gravel and paved; Publicly maintained road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliances specified
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Heating: Other (see remarks); Cooling: Other (see remarks)
  • Interior features: Open room count: 1; Appliances: None listed
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in a utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $809 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Cap rate 27.9% vs local median 3.3% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#93 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Mcdowell County Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #115 of 178 in NC (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 266 active listings in the ZIP; 175 units permitted in McDowell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • McDowell County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $45,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.18%
Cap rate
27.86%
Cash-on-cash
77.04%
DSCR
4.43
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
77.0%
Equity multiple
4.51×
Total profit
$44,253
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
80.7%
Equity multiple
9.33×
Total profit
$104,983
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28752

Active inventory
266
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,429 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $787/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$809

Break-even live

Break-even rent $405
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-09
    listed $45,000 Active
  3. 2025-06-10
    status Pending
  4. 2025-04-18
    status Active
  5. 2024-10-01
    listed $128,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$787 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$787 · $66/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,152
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$787
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,372
− Management
−$1,372
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$9,566
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,296
After-tax cash flow
$7,411/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mcdowell County Schools
NCES district ID
3702940
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$36,769
Composite
33.6/100
National rank
#5413
State rank
#115 of 178 in NC

Livability — Marion

Score
72/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#6157

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
30,602
Population (ZIP)
30,602

Population outlook (McDowell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,615 people
By 2030
44,002 · -1.4%
By 2040
42,285 · -5.2%
By 2050
39,906 · -10.6%
By 2075
34,396 · -22.9%
By 2100
27,970 · -37.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 8% German/W. Germanic 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McDowell

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.2) · D 25.1% · R 74.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.2pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -49.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.2 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+50.5 2012: R+31.9 2008: R+27.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.41%
Current HPI
182.9225
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-64.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $45,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-10 Pending CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-18 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-01 Listed $128,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $787 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…