60 S Lunen St · Melbourne, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this affordable 2 bed, 1 bath home conveniently located in town and priced to sell. This property offers a solid layout with comfortable living space and great potential. Ideal as a starter home or investment opportunity, whether you’re looking to build equity or add to your rental portfolio. Close to local amenities, schools, and shopping, making it a practical choice for homeowners and investors alike. Don’t miss this great value in a convenient location.
Key facts
- Solid layout
- Detached
- 3,920 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($846 rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.1% in Melbourne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#127 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Melbourne School District (rural): math 48% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #22 of 238 in AR (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Izard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
- Izard County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.25%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $97,697
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -33.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122 Jay St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+8%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $96 | 62 |
| 54 Spring St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+11%) | 18mo | $85,000 | $89 | 61 |
| 94 Circle Dr | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 984 (+14%) | 8mo | $109,000 | $111 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.23% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $22,812
- Equity at exit
- $26,435
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.29×
- Total profit
- $59,853
- Equity at exit
- $38,690
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72556
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $846 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $288/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$178
- Net cashflow
- $277
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
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2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-04-17status Price Change 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
Check out this affordable 2 bed, 1 bath home conveniently located in town and priced to sell. This property offers a solid layout with comfortable living space and great potential. Ideal as a starter home or investment opportunity, whether you’re looking to build equity or add to your rental portfolio. Close to local amenities, schools, and shopping, making it a practical choice for homeowners and investors alike. Don’t miss this great value in a convenient location.
-
2026-03-25historical Take Backups 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
Check out this affordable 2 bed, 1 bath home conveniently located in town and priced to sell. This property offers a solid layout with comfortable living space and great potential. Ideal as a starter home or investment opportunity, whether you’re looking to build equity or add to your rental portfolio. Close to local amenities, schools, and shopping, making it a practical choice for homeowners and investors alike. Don’t miss this great value in a convenient location.
-
2026-03-12price $65,000 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
Check out this affordable 2 bed, 1 bath home conveniently located in town and priced to sell. This property offers a solid layout with comfortable living space and great potential. Ideal as a starter home or investment opportunity, whether you’re looking to build equity or add to your rental portfolio. Close to local amenities, schools, and shopping, making it a practical choice for homeowners and investors alike. Don’t miss this great value in a convenient location.
-
2026-02-02$75,000 New Listing 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
Check out this affordable 2 bed, 1 bath home conveniently located in town and priced to sell. This property offers a solid layout with comfortable living space and great potential. Ideal as a starter home or investment opportunity, whether you’re looking to build equity or add to your rental portfolio. Close to local amenities, schools, and shopping, making it a practical choice for homeowners and investors alike. Don’t miss this great value in a convenient location.
-
2023-07-06soldstatus $49,900
-
2016-04-18soldstatus $13,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $288 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $416 · $35/mo
- Expected delta
- +$128/yr (+$11/mo · 44.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,158
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$288
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$813
- − Management
- −$813
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $2,388
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$573
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,748/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Melbourne School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509720
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,534
- Composite
- 41.18/100
- National rank
- #3548
- State rank
- #22 of 238 in AR
Livability — Melbourne
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #127
- US rank
- #11858
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Melbourne, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,846
Population outlook (Izard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,018 people
- By 2030
- 12,761 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 12,331 · -5.3%
- By 2050
- 12,041 · -7.5%
- By 2075
- 11,516 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 10,549 · -19.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Izard
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.9) · D 16.0% · R 81.9% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.1pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -65.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.9 2020: R+62.1 2016: R+54.3 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+26.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.23%
- Current HPI
- 173.362
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+400.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2026-03-25 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $65,000 CARMLS
- 2026-02-02 Listed $75,000 CARMLS
- 2023-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records
- 2016-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $288 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…