11230 Northern Blvd Unit 4G · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +2.2/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$283,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
WELCOME TO THIS TWO BEDROOM CO-OP ON THE 4TH FLOOR THAT COMBINES COMFORT, FUNCTIONALITY, AND SCENIC VIEWS. FROM THE LIVING ROOM ENJOY IMPRESSIVE VISTAS STRETCHING TOWARD FLUSHING BAY AND LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, ADDING A UNIQUE TOUCH TO EVERYDAY LIVING. UPON ENTRY, A SPACIOUS FOYER WELCOMES YOU WITH A LARGE COAT CLOSET AND AN ADDITIONAL CLOSET, PROVIDING EXCELLENT STORAGE. THE FULLY RENOVATED KITCHEN FEATURES GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, A TILED BACKSPLASH, TILE FLOORING, MODERN CABINETRY, RECESSED LIGHTING, AND STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES. A WINDOW BRINGS IN NATURAL LIGHT, AND THE LAYOUT ALLOWS FOR A CONVENIENT FLOW DIRECTLY INTO THE LIVING ROOM. THE LIVING ROOM IS GENEROUSLY SIZED, HIGHLIGHTED BY DOUBLE
Key facts
- Tiled backsplash
- Spacious foyer
- Excellent storage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association: Dorie Miller; Additional monthly assessment of $56 through June 2026
Exterior
- Parking: Garage; On-site parking lot; Parking fee applies (monthly)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Natural gas connected; Public trash collection
- Home design: Stock cooperative; Six-story building; One-level unit; Unit located between 3rd and 5th floors
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: Located on entry level 4
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Steam heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Elevator; Granite counters; Recessed lighting; Walk-through kitchen; Common finished basement with walk-out access
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry; Laundry room in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $283k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $283k).
- Recommended offer: $279k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 2.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 243 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,141/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 6817% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (7.4% local appreciation)).
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($279k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $283k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 49% of rent; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- -15.50%
- DSCR
- 0.31
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.4% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $41,644
- Equity at exit
- $203,549
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $171,302
- Equity at exit
- $393,582
Cash invested: $79,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11368
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 243
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,141 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,484
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$354 /mo · $4,245/yr
- Insurance
- −$118
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$1,549
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$660
- Net cashflow
- $-1,023
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-828 | -5% $-925 | +0% $-1,023 | +5% $-1,121 | +10% $-1,219 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,271 | -5% $-1,147 | +0% $-1,023 | +5% $-899 | +10% $-775 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-881 | -0.5pp $-951 | base $-1,023 | +0.5pp $-1,097 | +1.0pp $-1,171 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,750
- Closing costs
- $8,490
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3260 106th St East Elmhurst, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $3,750 | $6.25 | 8d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 31-47 102nd St Unit 2 fl Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,600 | $4.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3730 103rd St Corona, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $1,800 | $3.33 | 19d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2724 Gillmore St Unit 2 East Elmhurst, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $2,300 | $3.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 10302 42nd Ave Unit 4D Corona, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 761 | $3,400 | $4.47 | 19d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 98-07 37th Ave Flushing, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $3,350 | $4.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 31-40 98th St Unit 2 Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,100 | $2.62 | 8d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 25-61 99th St Unit 2nd Fl Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $3,200 | $4.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 10869 50th Ave Corona, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $3,300 | $3.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4911 108th St Unit 4A Corona, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $3,600 | $3.51 | 17d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 13105 40th Rd Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 762 | $4,500 | $5.90 | 3d | 3 | 1.03mi |
| 13105 40th Rd Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 626 | $3,350 | $5.35 | 19d | 3 | 1.03mi |
| 9707 24th Ave East Elmhurst, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $4,500 | $4.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 54-01 108th St Unit 2R Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,050 | $3.05 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4028 College Point Blvd #912 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1083 | $4,200 | $3.88 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 13101 40th Rd Unit 2P Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 761 | $3,300 | $4.34 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4022 College Point Blvd Flushing, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 983 | $4,000 | $4.07 | 25d | 2 | 1.13mi |
| 13327 39th Ave Unit 3N Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $3,600 | $5.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4105 College Point Blvd Unit 5I Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 600 | $2,600 | $4.33 | 4d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4142 College Point Blvd Unit 6A Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 868 | $3,000 | $3.46 | 2d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 13119 Fowler Ave Unit 7C Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 810 | $3,300 | $4.07 | 19d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8910 35th Ave Unit E1L Jackson Heights, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $3,050 | $3.59 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 13203 Sanford Ave Unit 7E Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 702 | $2,800 | $3.99 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 13222 41st Rd #501 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 843 | $3,400 | $4.03 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4050 Case St Elmhurst, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $3,900 | $3.95 | 8d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 40-85 Denman St Unit 2 Elmhurst, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 20d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3916 Prince St Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 530 | $2,900 | $5.47 | 15d | 2 | 1.27mi |
| 13416 35th Ave Unit 7E Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 681 | $3,300 | $4.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3371 Prince St Unit 6K Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 768 | $4,000 | $5.21 | 15d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3371 Prince St Unit 8J Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 741 | $4,075 | $5.50 | 15d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3371 Prince St Unit 8F Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 716 | $4,050 | $5.66 | 15d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3371 Prince St Unit 7C Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 773 | $4,025 | $5.21 | 15d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 13208 Pople Ave Unit 4A Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,500 | $3.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 133-08 41st Rd Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 9209 43rd Ave Unit 2 Elmhurst, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 13239 Pople Ave Unit 6D Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,500 | $3.33 | 5d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 13226 Avery Ave Unit 8A Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 725 | $2,800 | $3.86 | 4d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 137-02 Northern Blvd Unit 6K Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,850 | $3.17 | 11d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 133-38 Avery Ave Unit 3F-B Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 884 | $2,600 | $2.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 91-04 43rd Ave Unit 2ND Elmhurst, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,600 | $3.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-03-31$283,000 Active
-
2026-03-03historical
-
2025-09-08$260,000 Active
-
2025-08-09historical
-
2025-07-09price $260,000
-
2025-04-08$270,000 Active
-
2024-03-05soldstatus $150,000 Closed
-
2024-01-08status Pending
-
2023-06-14historical
-
2023-05-02price $169,999
-
2023-05-01price $169,999
-
2023-05-01price $170,000
-
2023-04-03$195,000 Active
-
2023-03-31status Active
-
2023-03-15historical
-
2022-06-14$195,000 Active
-
2022-06-14$195,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,694
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,852
- − Property taxes
- −$4,245
- − Insurance
- −$1,415
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,016
- − Management
- −$3,016
- − HOA
- −$18,588
- − Depreciation
- −$8,233
- Taxable loss
- −$16,670
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,001
- After-tax cash flow
- $-8,278/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This two-bedroom condo is in good condition with modern updates and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for value increase through exterior painting and window cleaning.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both Clean windows — Improves natural light and overall appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Clean windows — Improves natural light and overall appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 105,716
- Household income
- $72,270
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6817.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 75% Two or more races 14% Asian 12% Black 8% White 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 14%
- Foreign-born
- 60% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 15% English-only · Spanish 70% Chinese 6% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.40%
- Current HPI
- 282.8276
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+45.1% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Listed $283,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-08 Listed $260,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-09 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-09 Price Changed $260,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-08 Listed $270,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-05 Sold (MLS) $150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-08 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-14 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-02 Price Changed $169,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-01 Price Changed $169,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-01 Price Changed $170,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-03 Listed $195,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-31 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-15 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-14 Listed $195,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-14 Listed $195,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…