Multi-family
1018 Hall St · Elmira, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$73,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Updated duplex on a quiet side street with updates throughout. New roof, plumbing and electric, mechanicals, windows and flooring, separate utilities as well as laundry facilities in each unit. Ideal for investors or owner-occupied.
Key facts
- 7,923 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1900
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $74k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $74k).
- Cap rate 24.5% vs local median 10.1% in Elmira — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#832 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Ernie Davis Academy (math 5% / reading 31%, grade F, #691 of 729 statewide, top 95%, 802 students, 66% FRL).
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($511 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $54k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 65.07%
- DSCR
- 3.90
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $77,532
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317 Roe Ave | 0.67mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,016 (+1%) | 0mo | $50,000 | $25 | 61 |
| 712 E Washington Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,042 (+3%) | 19mo | $58,000 | $28 | 60 |
| 313 Roe Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,909 (-4%) | 1mo | $137,500 | $72 | 57 |
| 365 E Thurston St | 0.54mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,026 (+2%) | 14mo | $79,000 | $39 | 55 |
| 912 Magee St | 0.48mi | 4/2.5 | 1,769 (-11%) | 3mo | $109,000 | $62 | 54 |
| 768 Linden Pl | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,788 (-10%) | 13mo | $65,000 | $36 | 51 |
| 382 Norton St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 1,692 (-15%) | 12mo | $27,000 | $16 | 48 |
| 1054 College Ave | 0.59mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,214 (+11%) | 22mo | $130,000 | $59 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 76.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.40×
- Total profit
- $111,834
- Equity at exit
- $66,575
- IRR
- 70.7%
- Equity multiple
- 14.21×
- Total profit
- $273,387
- Equity at exit
- $143,571
Cash invested: $20,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14901
- Home prices YoY
- 15.9%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,256 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$388
- Tax from tax record
- −$242 /mo · $2,903/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$474
- Net cashflow
- $1,122
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,164 | -5% $1,143 | +0% $1,122 | +5% $1,101 | +10% $1,080 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $944 | -5% $1,033 | +0% $1,122 | +5% $1,211 | +10% $1,300 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,159 | -0.5pp $1,141 | base $1,122 | +0.5pp $1,103 | +1.0pp $1,083 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,256 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,128 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,128 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,256 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,475
- Closing costs
- $2,217
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 W 2nd St Unit A Elmira, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1395 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 355 W Clinton St Unit 1 Elmira, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $1,400 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 514 W 1st St Unit A Elmira, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,275 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-03-22status Pending
-
2026-03-09$73,900 Active
-
2025-12-17historical $950
-
2025-10-22$950
-
2025-08-14historical $1,000
-
2025-07-11$1,000
-
2021-10-26soldstatus $53,900
-
2021-10-18soldstatus $53,900 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Updated duplex on a quiet side street with updates throughout. New roof, plumbing and electric, mechanicals, windows and flooring, separate utilities as well as laundry facilities in each unit. Ideal for investors or owner-occupied.
-
2021-07-10$59,900 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Updated duplex on a quiet side street with updates throughout. New roof, plumbing and electric, mechanicals, windows and flooring, separate utilities as well as laundry facilities in each unit. Ideal for investors or owner-occupied.
-
2015-03-19historical
-
2014-08-29$40,000
-
2008-06-16historical
-
2008-01-15$27,900
-
2005-11-29soldstatus $27,000
-
2005-11-28soldstatus $27,000
-
2005-08-03$29,900
-
1993-11-22soldstatus $34,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,903 · $242/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,903 · $242/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,072
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,140
- − Property taxes
- −$2,903
- − Insurance
- −$370
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,166
- − Management
- −$2,166
- − Depreciation
- −$2,150
- Taxable income
- $13,179
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,163
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,301/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elmira City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610560
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,180
- Composite
- 24.39/100
- National rank
- #7688
- State rank
- #580 of 590 in NY
Livability — Elmira
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #832
- US rank
- #16139
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elmira, NY
- City population
- 14,276
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,430
Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,931 people
- By 2030
- 80,356 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 74,745 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 69,012 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 55,689 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 41,428 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 15% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chemung
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 32.34%
- Current HPI
- 236.2674
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+114.2% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-22 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $73,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-12-17 Rental Removed $950 UNYREIS
- 2025-10-22 Listed for Rent $950 UNYREIS
- 2025-08-14 Rental Removed $1,000 UNYREIS
- 2025-07-11 Listed for Rent $1,000 UNYREIS
- 2021-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $53,900 Public Records
- 2021-10-18 Sold (MLS) $53,900 UNYREIS
- 2021-07-10 Listed $59,900 UNYREIS
- 2015-03-19 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2014-08-29 Listed $40,000 UNYREIS
- 2008-06-16 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2008-01-15 Listed $27,900 UNYREIS
- 2005-11-29 Sold (MLS) $27,000 UNYREIS
- 2005-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
- 2005-08-03 Listed $29,900 UNYREIS
- 1993-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,903 · -10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…